Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs GLYPH - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f2be727bfeb33e5fa6de47ffce356bb7d52b3ae4ab45321fe0ac116f5bc0dcd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GLYPHof Team Nemesis, GLYPH
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,992
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,270
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,992 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked GLYPH | 38c | 1,022$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.85 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Team Nemesis | 66c | 520.3$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.99 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed GLYPH | 41c | 476.13$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.27 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed GLYPH | 76c | 243.47$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.95 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…8f3fbacked Team Nemesis | 62c | 200$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Nemesis | 65c | 192.32$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.76 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…5539backed Team Nemesis | 68c | 133.74$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.65 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed Team Nemesis | 25c | 120.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed GLYPH | 38c | 103.42$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.19 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…c55ebacked GLYPH | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Team Nemesis | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc933…f519backed Team Nemesis | 36c | 96.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…6b39backed Team Nemesis | 51c | 85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.35 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed GLYPH | 40c | 83.8$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.06 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…3015backed Team Nemesis | 61c | 81.29$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.38 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked GLYPH | 67c | 74.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…2e9abacked Team Nemesis | 55c | 70.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06d9…7cfbbacked GLYPH | 36c | 69.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.49 | 201 | 51.2%103 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd439…21d3backed Team Nemesis | 63c | 62.08$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | -18.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Team Nemesis | 51c | 54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…36d1backed Team Nemesis | 52c | 51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 36cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked GLYPH | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Team Nemesis | 64c | 39.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 125 | 68%85 W · 40 L | +12.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed GLYPH | 39c | 38.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa0…168cbacked GLYPH | 36c | 38.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed Team Nemesis | 63c | 27.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 214 | 65%139 W · 75 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Team Nemesis | 51c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 253 | 51.4%130 W · 123 L | +23.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…19eebacked Team Nemesis | 75c | 24.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Team Nemesis | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +15.1wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs GLYPH - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs GLYPH (BO3) - BLAST Slam Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier PlayoffsGLYPH won
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs GLYPH - Game 2 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.