TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification: Alex Bolt vs Alex Rybakov

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Alex Boltof Alex Bolt, Alex Rybakov
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$114,593
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$121,313

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,593 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3b5c…126ebacked Alex Rybakov42c33,151$13,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,865.1580938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Alex Bolt51c12,331$6,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,100.682,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Alex Bolt45c6,218$2,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,418.637,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Alex Bolt71c3,492$2,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.632,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Alex Rybakov48c3,002$1,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,440.926,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Alex Bolt55c2,095$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.171,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Alex Rybakov43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.9858232%186 W · 396 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Alex Rybakov43c1,978$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857.092,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Alex Bolt49c1,949$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.9650644.9%227 W · 279 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Alex Bolt50c1,749$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.6537342.6%159 W · 214 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Alex Bolt56c1,419$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.2350952.1%265 W · 244 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Alex Bolt51c1,411$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.2234744.4%154 W · 193 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Alex Bolt57c1,328$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.22,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Alex Rybakov42c1,317$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.691,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Alex Rybakov38c1,250$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4751,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Alex Bolt63c1,198$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.3546553.8%250 W · 215 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Alex Rybakov43c1,166$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,26756.6%717 W · 550 L-18.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8430…3961backed Alex Bolt50c832.04$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.041625%4 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-43.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d56…a287backed Alex Bolt52c783.44$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.443056.7%17 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+52.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x59db…2e36backed Alex Bolt51c696.24$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.6914772.8%107 W · 40 L+19.7wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+22.3%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x9b3a…df40backed Alex Rybakov70c689.46$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.6223847.1%112 W · 126 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Alex Rybakov40c683.99$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.974124.4%10 W · 31 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-45.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Alex Rybakov47c669.99$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.031,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe857…e646backed Alex Bolt53c664.15$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Alex Bolt50c621.3$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.823,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Alex Rybakov49c603.96$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.372,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8eb2…fea3backed Alex Bolt44c594.71$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.357945.6%36 W · 43 L-7.8wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-21.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7896…c2ffbacked Alex Bolt39c580.44$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.079453.2%50 W · 44 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Alex Rybakov6c570$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.11,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Alex Bolt63c563.61$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.6154450.6%275 W · 269 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Alex Bolt38c531.05$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.051,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Alex Bolt44c455.91$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.9124638.2%94 W · 152 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Alex Rybakov40c439$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.8428038.2%107 W · 173 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Alex Rybakov5c421$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0565647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Alex Bolt57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17241060.5%248 W · 162 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x068a…6fe7backed Alex Bolt46c375.13$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.736852.9%36 W · 32 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Alex Rybakov55c333.66$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.474,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Alex Rybakov31c325$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.221,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Alex Rybakov55c320.3$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.659,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Alex Bolt63c316.7$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.1868350.1%342 W · 341 L-25.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2db3…667abacked Alex Rybakov51c299.92$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.2625448.4%123 W · 131 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Alex Rybakov40c287.99$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.136,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0676…f0f0backed Alex Bolt52c287$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13720552.7%108 W · 97 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93c8…adffbacked Alex Rybakov45c285.04$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.226847%126 W · 142 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Alex Bolt52c274$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.112,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x974a…98c3backed Alex Bolt54c261$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.062860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+21.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Alex Rybakov53c250$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.311,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Alex Bolt52c246.95$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.362,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Alex Rybakov37c243.24$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6d6…2546backed Alex Bolt57c236.14$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.542958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0772…b4eabacked Alex Bolt43c235.23$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.03862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Alex Rybakov42c230$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.61,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Alex Rybakov45c226.83$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.023,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Alex Rybakov34c226$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.843,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Alex Rybakov45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10057349.6%284 W · 289 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94bb…77eebacked Alex Bolt35c219.3$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.981933.1%271 W · 548 L-30.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc539…5ec2backed Alex Rybakov34c205.88$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7032843.9%144 W · 184 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x423c…25d5backed Alex Bolt22c202.17$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.6910317.5%18 W · 85 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Alex Rybakov50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40cc…f83abacked Alex Bolt42c197.39$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Alex Bolt53c184$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.4885748.2%413 W · 444 L+33.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Alex Bolt42c183.09$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.661,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bfa…a8debacked Alex Rybakov59c174.58$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.3335951.3%184 W · 175 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Alex Bolt50c168.59$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.2922033.6%74 W · 146 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Alex Rybakov36c156.02$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.177,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bd…6cecbacked Alex Bolt65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8523248.3%112 W · 120 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4008…2942backed Alex Rybakov44c151.63$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.46041.7%25 W · 35 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Alex Rybakov37c150$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.51,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e5f…6cecbacked Alex Bolt48c149.61$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7827749.8%138 W · 139 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf69b…a6ddbacked Alex Bolt44c146.99$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.5319250.5%97 W · 95 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x125f…b7e8backed Alex Bolt70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.869359.1%55 W · 38 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Alex Bolt53c140$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.899056%554 W · 436 L+32.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Alex Rybakov45c130.21$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Alex Bolt56c127.72$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.451,35443.9%595 W · 759 L-62.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda22…6d2abacked Alex Bolt41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9535344.8%158 W · 195 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Alex Bolt43c115.96$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.16,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Alex Bolt54c114.81$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8150259%296 W · 206 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87ba…e7eebacked Alex Bolt62c110.98$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.171968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick65cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x023d…23acbacked Alex Bolt47c105.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.4261755.9%345 W · 272 L+18.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Alex Rybakov58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10fd…633bbacked Alex Bolt57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436360.3%38 W · 25 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d41…f237backed Alex Rybakov37c94.59$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c18…ab90backed Alex Bolt43c93.02$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.02771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+42%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd42…c4aebacked Alex Bolt23c86.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.965339.6%21 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Alex Bolt55c86$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.781255.3%449 W · 363 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Alex Rybakov41c85$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8577047.9%369 W · 401 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e2…4459backed Alex Bolt61c81.69$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8610372.8%75 W · 28 L+10.6wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+19.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5f65…c1d0backed Alex Bolt57c80$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.430349.8%151 W · 152 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf689…3e3fbacked Alex Bolt45c79.44$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.838543.5%37 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x56cd…2ddcbacked Alex Rybakov32c78.24$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2523249.1%114 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Alex Bolt49c78$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7829958.5%175 W · 124 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Alex Bolt56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4343353.6%232 W · 201 L+32.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed Alex Bolt50c70.12$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7838460.4%232 W · 152 L+29.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b01…7844backed Alex Bolt47c67.55$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.712955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x96bc…d2b5backed Alex Bolt54c63.63$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4341668%283 W · 133 L+23.6wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Alex Rybakov41c61$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0122847.4%108 W · 120 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fe1…e700backed Alex Bolt50c60.02$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.02633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-35.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Alex Bolt42c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.840048.5%194 W · 206 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65cf…5cdebacked Alex Bolt53c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.222646%104 W · 122 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2488…ff0ebacked Alex Bolt51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.448650.6%246 W · 240 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.