TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CA Tigre vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,085
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,444

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,085 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Over35c52,239$18,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,325.5529446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under65c14,415$9,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,041.658,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under64c11,569$7,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,202.465,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under64c5,540$3,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,994.298643%37 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbca0…d7a0backed Over43c4,627$1,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,994.6114829.7%44 W · 104 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed Under64c4,230$2,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,522.91457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under65c3,533$2,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,234.113,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over35c2,969$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.7321839.4%86 W · 132 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under63c2,705$1,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.12,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under68c2,360$1,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.0333560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Over31c1,749$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.0714022.1%31 W · 109 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Under65c1,496$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.182944.8%13 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+25.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under63c1,414$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.263360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under66c1,041$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.2416255.6%90 W · 72 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under65c900$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.51,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under65c900$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.51,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under65c761.75$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.1620953.1%111 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under66c742.08$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.3136757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under66c742.08$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.3126160.9%159 W · 102 L+20.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Under64c684.41$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.391346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Under65c614.33$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.115651.8%29 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd06f…0263backed Over35c595.57$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.451656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9541…3b71backed Under66c581.15$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.012100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Under49c537.7$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.026555.4%36 W · 29 L+8.0wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+28.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under66c494.95$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.1210456.7%59 W · 45 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Under71c481.65$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Under64c465.93$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.7410564.8%68 W · 37 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed Under66c449.77$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.636558.5%38 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked Under66c395.46$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.536866.2%45 W · 23 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over50c387.93$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.8546530.3%141 W · 324 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under66c371.05$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.1628158.7%165 W · 116 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under66c371.05$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.1619056.3%107 W · 83 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under66c323.55$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.769361.3%57 W · 36 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under76c320.22$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.8510250%51 W · 51 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over33c299.92$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.98540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-37.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Under78c291.93$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.22560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b84…2f73backed Under70c280.57$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.172254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Under58c265.35$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.17955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under65c250.74$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.0735758%207 W · 150 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under66c246.8$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.9133266.3%220 W · 112 L+24.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under61c244.08$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.772,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b14…5301backed Under65c239.81$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.624415.9%7 W · 37 L-4.3wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-63.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over41c232.33$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.251827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-27.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over22c216.64$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.665113.7%7 W · 44 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over52c195.14$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.487060%42 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under61c194.16$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.621,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under66c180$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.255155%303 W · 248 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x94d4…18f9backed Under66c168.22$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.21291.7%11 W · 1 L+3.6wins+0.30per pick62cpaid+44.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9d41…f237backed Under64c168.16$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Under66c165.97$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.436369.8%44 W · 19 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+24.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under64c165.35$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.5342962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…46e5backed Over35c164.74$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.662035%7 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-35.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb089…a271backed Over35c164.74$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.66120%0 W · 12 L-5.1wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under66c149.95$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.985554.5%30 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under66c148.42$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4618859%111 W · 77 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under66c148.42$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4618154.7%99 W · 82 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under66c148.42$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4617857.3%102 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Under66c148.39$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.454866.7%32 W · 16 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Under66c148.39$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.452466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+24.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over39c148.22$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.839127.1%106 W · 285 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under66c147.18$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0419955.8%111 W · 88 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under71c138.4$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1463657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under66c133.58$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.4214844.6%66 W · 82 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x17f5…3e64backed Under66c131.99$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.881485.7%12 W · 2 L+3.7wins+0.27per pick59cpaid+43.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5470…7685backed Under64c131.59$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.37771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+33.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under65c127.9$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.769953.5%53 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30b9…9b83backed Under50c126.22$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.11875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+27.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef5c…6ababacked Under67c118.73$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.026274.2%46 W · 16 L+8.7wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+19.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6d54…81a1backed Over27c106.35$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7111036.4%40 W · 70 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under65c102$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.482,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over38c100.77$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1923551.5%121 W · 114 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e9f…5403backed Under64c99.67$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.883773%27 W · 10 L+6.8wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+32.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x758e…ad1cbacked Under66c97.96$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.311145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over37c96.22$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.683642.9%359 W · 477 L-3.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Under66c89.05$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.288964%57 W · 32 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e75…0143backed Under66c85.72$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.145240.4%21 W · 31 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd76…3269backed Under76c84$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.74666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa361…3ea7backed Under64c81.44$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under49c79.13$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3622145.7%101 W · 120 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d29…c9eebacked Under67c77.33$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.85156.9%29 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Under64c76.44$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.521675%12 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+39.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed Under67c76.21$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.044761.7%29 W · 18 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over28c75.18$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1233658.3%196 W · 140 L+32.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8a22…2929backed Over26c74.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.68728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-53.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf421…2e3abacked Under66c74.21$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.232373.9%17 W · 6 L+4.3wins+0.19per pick55cpaid+34.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x07b9…3efebacked Under66c74.21$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.23850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x64a4…5bc2backed Under66c74.21$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.237100%7 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+112.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0198…37e6backed Under68c71.89$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.853461.8%21 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under65c71.59$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8919264.1%123 W · 69 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe777…c734backed Under66c71.21$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.375860.3%35 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb1a…5cddbacked Under65c69.07$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.182268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+28.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd708…b9d2backed Under64c68.79$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.77650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over35c68.64$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.033636.1%13 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Under40c67.41$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2129362.5%183 W · 110 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc55a…7281backed Under66c59.93$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.38757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd45…f2aabacked Under64c57.3$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.63333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under65c55.15$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.313050.8%66 W · 64 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6724…9592backed Over28c53.08$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.63650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-24.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c29…ed84backed Over28c50.4$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.11475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+191.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.