TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CA Tigre vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,572
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,555

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,572 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Over61c48,390$29,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,823.9229446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under42c18,210$7,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,597.758,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Under38c9,938$3,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,776.281770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+32.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9c4…6f95backed Over62c9,747$6,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,703.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Under39c9,387$3,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,660.925050%25 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under39c7,011$2,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,734.1317049.4%84 W · 86 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Over45c4,390$1,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,413.791145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed Under39c3,556$1,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3873151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Under39c2,532$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.493148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under42c1,908$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.5933560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Over48c1,365$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.8714022.1%31 W · 109 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under39c1,238$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.5426160.9%159 W · 102 L+20.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under39c1,235$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.6236757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under34c1,134$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.731,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under39c1,107$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.7216255.6%90 W · 72 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-37.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Under37c999.94$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.982766.7%18 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x00a8…c071backed Under39c928.82$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.24250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under38c854.6$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.472,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under53c729.08$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.929361.3%57 W · 36 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over69c641.4$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.3916656%93 W · 73 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under39c632.51$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.0620953.1%111 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under39c617.54$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.8428158.7%165 W · 116 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under39c617.54$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.8419056.3%107 W · 83 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over63c569.45$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.73,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Under39c532.23$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.982944.8%13 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+25.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3fa5…4f56backed Under37c520.11$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.442065%13 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25014654.1%79 W · 67 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Under39c462.36$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.325651.8%29 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over66c445.9$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.0519135.1%67 W · 124 L+0.9wins0.00per pick35cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under39c423.83$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.8310456.7%59 W · 45 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc52f…d64abacked Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e4a…4ce0backed Under38c340.83$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.52862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+36%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed Under49c321.21$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.194761.7%29 W · 18 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under43c303.14$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.1235758%207 W · 150 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under39c272.96$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.4619955.8%111 W · 88 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed Under39c247.45$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.346558.5%38 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under39c247$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3318859%111 W · 77 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under39c247$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3318154.7%99 W · 82 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Under39c247$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.334866.7%32 W · 16 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under39c247$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3317857.3%102 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Under39c247$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.332466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+24.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over57c199.86$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.941936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd831…30c1backed Under39c197.62$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under38c195.87$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.331,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under39c185.32$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.555155%303 W · 248 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…eda7backed Under36c150.62$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.22771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99be…3622backed Under31c143.79$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+48%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ccb…6e97backed Over59c136.92$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.551258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under39c132.75$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7733266.3%220 W · 112 L+24.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x23da…60d9backed Under39c130.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.14250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x701f…9b8fbacked Under37c127.43$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.15250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under36c123.96$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6233745.4%153 W · 184 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf421…2e3abacked Under39c123.49$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.162373.9%17 W · 6 L+4.3wins+0.19per pick55cpaid+34.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under39c119.13$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.272,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under54c108.16$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6663657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under41c104$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7323551.5%121 W · 114 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Under44c99.72$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.138964%57 W · 32 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over63c97.78$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1883642.9%359 W · 477 L-3.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x741c…bf80backed Under39c96.34$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.574219%8 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick15cpaid+26.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1234…c1bbbacked Under37c95.91$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.49837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+27.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4d…46e5backed Over53c91.68$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.092035%7 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-35.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0198…37e6backed Under55c91.47$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.053461.8%21 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7190…00e7backed Over59c85.85$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.61369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.26per pick44cpaid+46.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe1e3…4f06backed Over64c84.97$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.592100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x405b…e12bbacked Under42c76.18$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.961520%3 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-58.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Under39c74.18$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9310943.1%47 W · 62 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under39c74.18$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9324253.3%129 W · 113 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under40c73.04$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4719264.1%123 W · 69 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e4…ca6abacked Under48c72.4$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.51366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb7f…0abbbacked Over69c68.91$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.561573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.7wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+56.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3f0d…bea7backed Under40c65.48$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.89475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x241e…04cbbacked Over60c65.38$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.35250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe9c…1700backed Under39c61.73$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.085362.3%33 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Under39c61.73$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0815654.5%85 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed Under39c61.68$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.063063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under39c60.69$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6710033%33 W · 67 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over55c57.57$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8124654.9%135 W · 111 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fca…e8edbacked Under43c57.26$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.47450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over76c57.06$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6976951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d54…81a1backed Over44c55.36$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1911036.4%40 W · 70 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed Over69c53.97$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6310875%81 W · 27 L+16.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+25.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x3a0e…b0babacked Under39c49.41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.271741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d4…18f9backed Under39c48.64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.971291.7%11 W · 1 L+3.6wins+0.30per pick62cpaid+44.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over60c48.46$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.169361.3%57 W · 36 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Over50c48.41$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.384475%33 W · 11 L+6.7wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+30.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3d84…4b14backed Under40c48$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.99450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x622e…1a89backed Over63c45.31$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.963748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over62c43.66$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6444939.2%176 W · 273 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3d4…5847backed Under39c42.22$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.46757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x873d…f7a9backed Over60c40.75$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.35955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Over73c40.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.927973.4%58 W · 21 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under37c40.04$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.815554.5%30 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd69f…1cacbacked Over41c39.83$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+51.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under38c39.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.086842.6%29 W · 39 L-8.7wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-29.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Under37c38.49$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.242250%11 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e1c…a9a5backed Under43c37.55$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.152969%20 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb17…32b2backed Under39c36.89$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.34957.1%28 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4947…d93abacked Over66c36.66$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.43580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.