South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Tigre vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97c5d5bd17957c6c7d025720b8423ced2431c2c92d2d68a7e827e1cb2ccd166b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,347
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 3,427$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,793.06 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa359…4387backed Yes | 47c | 1,056$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.7 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 57c | 1,050$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.4 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8562…ad77backed Yes | 57c | 880$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 43c | 731.89$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.69 | 140 | 22.1%31 W · 109 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Yes | 40c | 702.67$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.93 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd573…f99ebacked Yes | 46c | 636.17$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.68 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 53c | 635.26$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.88 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 59c | 488.57$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 60c | 399.9$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.94 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…50febacked No | 54c | 362$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.79 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 54c | 346.62$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.13 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Yes | 58c | 303.23$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.81 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1234…c1bbbacked No | 57c | 273.34$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.48 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed No | 55c | 263.8$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.02 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 57c | 229.01$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.46 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 46c | 210.35$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 56c | 180$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed No | 49c | 168.16$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.76 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 53c | 127$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.69 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 46c | 114.06$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.44 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…d64abacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 43c | 90.58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.9 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 43c | 89.87$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 43c | 80.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.74 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 54c | 59.59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.41 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Yes | 45c | 59.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…26febacked No | 63c | 57.39$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed No | 43c | 56.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Yes | 43c | 44.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -5.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked No | 57c | 41.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb277…c7eebacked No | 46c | 36.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c0…f0c5backed Yes | 56c | 32.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 54c | 31.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 52c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked No | 43c | 27.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed No | 56c | 22.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 56c | 19.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Tigre vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CA Tigre vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Tigre vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: CA Tigre (-1.5)CS Independiente Rivadavia won
- Spread: CS Independiente Rivadavia (-2.5)CA Tigre won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.