UFC · resolved market
O/U 2.5 Rounds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x721fb09a72dfaf5206ebc8cf9488df2656aaae2e755cdcf39b449289db77cfd3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,464
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,709
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,464 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 39c | 99,883$38,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,954.1 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa680…211bbacked Over | 61c | 44,262$27,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,262.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 61c | 17,205$10,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,717.4 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Over | 61c | 13,250$8,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,167.5 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 61c | 10,500$6,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,095 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 39c | 9,000$3,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,509.99 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Over | 61c | 4,000$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Over | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 61c | 1,800$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…aedfbacked Over | 61c | 1,700$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Over | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.34 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 61c | 1,334$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.45 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 60c | 700$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 61c | 675.67$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.51 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Under | 39c | 655$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.45 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Over | 61c | 580.33$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.33 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Over | 61c | 573.77$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.77 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x108c…122dbacked Over | 61c | 572$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 61c | 490.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.67 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x362a…f541backed Over | 61c | 396.2$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 38c | 389.91$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.17 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Over | 62c | 312$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.56 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Over | 61c | 287$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.93 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Over | 61c | 287$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.93 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Over | 61c | 287$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.93 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked Over | 61c | 287$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.93 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb74f…030abacked Over | 61c | 287$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.93 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Over | 61c | 286.89$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.89 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -31%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5b…24adbacked Under | 40c | 285$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…d662backed Over | 61c | 235$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e4…a1adbacked Over | 61c | 234$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -59%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f6…bab8backed Over | 61c | 213$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.07 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Over | 61c | 202$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.78 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Over | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…9a83backed Over | 61c | 196.72$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.72 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…aa92backed Under | 40c | 175$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Over | 61c | 174$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.86 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d8…c0f2backed Over | 61c | 170$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked Over | 61c | 163.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.82 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6d…e537backed Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6222…b3e8backed Over | 61c | 151$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.89 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e8…ed04backed Over | 61c | 147.54$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.54 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 61c | 147.54$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.54 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…2e44backed Under | 40c | 145$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x540f…92bebacked Over | 61c | 145$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…39e2backed Over | 61c | 145$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Over | 61c | 145$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.55 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec38…ca10backed Over | 61c | 145$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.55 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x342d…608cbacked Over | 61c | 145$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4a…1a5cbacked Over | 61c | 144.26$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.26 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d83…8eb4backed Over | 61c | 133.43$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Over | 61c | 132$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.48 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Over | 64c | 117.44$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Over | 61c | 117$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.63 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Over | 61c | 117$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.63 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Over | 61c | 116$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.24 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Over | 61c | 113.57$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.29 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60d…03a8backed Over | 61c | 101.64$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.64 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0654…f5a9backed Over | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…b382backed Over | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 59c | 94.52$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 420 | 54%227 W · 193 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x990a…a9cebacked Over | 61c | 90.83$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 61c | 89.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Over | 61c | 88$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x743c…53a2backed Under | 40c | 86.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Under | 39c | 82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed Under | 39c | 82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…053ebacked Over | 61c | 82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -49%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 61c | 81.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e4…6ee4backed Over | 61c | 79$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.81 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d2…8547backed Under | 40c | 76.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc47a…68e6backed Over | 61c | 74$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x776c…8863backed Over | 61c | 73.77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ab3dbacked Over | 62c | 73$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d4…253cbacked Under | 40c | 71.84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Over | 61c | 71$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…3a77backed Over | 61c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 38c | 69.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d41…f237backed Over | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…3d55backed Over | 61c | 63.74$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca7…e965backed Over | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Over | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4a…4ce0backed Over | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 61c | 59.02$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4025…8a80backed Over | 61c | 59.02$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa484…705dbacked Over | 61c | 58.98$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Over | 61c | 58$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb409…03e9backed Over | 61c | 54.56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…12a6backed Over | 61c | 53.38$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb49…21b1backed Over | 61c | 51.39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb7…2c57backed Over | 61c | 50.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6100…ffaabacked Over | 61c | 50.42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa18f…c57abacked Over | 61c | 49.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f98…ce6dbacked Over | 61c | 46.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3d…b2f3backed Over | 61c | 42.96$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Over | 61c | 40.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa68d…fa24backed Over | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 2.5 Roundsthis page
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- Will Adrian Yanez win by KO or TKO?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.