NHL · resolved market
Red Wings vs. Rangers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda7310f15e565bca08e4b6c645fdeca961f66bbec6b47bf230dbcb5e54a8e4f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rangersof Red Wings, Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $705,813
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $698,891
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $705,813 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 468 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Red Wings | 57c | 349,705$199,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199,264.55 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Rangers | 43c | 200,000$86,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113,999.97 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Rangers | 43c | 150,000$64,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,500 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…4654backed Red Wings | 57c | 90,000$51,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,300 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Rangers | 43c | 25,000$10,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,249.96 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Rangers | 43c | 18,888$8,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,766.16 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Rangers | 59c | 14,308$8,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,937.11 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Red Wings | 40c | 12,216$4,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,832.98 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Rangers | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,700 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +10.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Rangers | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,699.95 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Red Wings | 56c | 9,000$5,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,039.96 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Red Wings | 57c | 8,500$4,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,833.74 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Rangers | 43c | 7,000$3,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,990 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa115…6c5abacked Rangers | 63c | 6,770$4,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,519.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Rangers | 45c | 6,121$2,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360.41 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Rangers | 44c | 5,648$2,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,162.85 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Rangers | 43c | 5,299$2,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,020.62 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8410…d59cbacked Red Wings | 57c | 5,283$3,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,011.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Red Wings | 44c | 5,068$2,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,225.91 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…53a1backed Rangers | 43c | 4,700$2,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,679 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Rangers | 44c | 4,503$1,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,543.92 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Rangers | 61c | 4,215$2,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.3 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Rangers | 60c | 4,199$2,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,682.8 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Rangers | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Rangers | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Rangers | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279.96 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rangers | 59c | 3,550$2,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,443.34 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Rangers | 43c | 3,500$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Rangers | 43c | 3,500$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Rangers | 43c | 3,500$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Red Wings | 56c | 3,474$1,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,955.99 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Rangers | 66c | 3,308$2,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.71 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Rangers | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Red Wings | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Red Wings | 23c | 2,982$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.29 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5396…61a9backed Red Wings | 57c | 2,795$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rangers | 59c | 2,752$1,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.9 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Red Wings | 56c | 2,461$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.96 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Rangers | 63c | 2,410$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.7 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c4…14c7backed Rangers | 58c | 2,300$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.02 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Rangers | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.73 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Red Wings | 1c | 2,255$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Rangers | 43c | 2,222$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.53 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…5da2backed Red Wings | 5c | 2,150$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 220 | 43.2%95 W · 125 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc689…5250backed Red Wings | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba9c…d2c1backed Rangers | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Red Wings | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Rangers | 44c | 1,982$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.89 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rangers | 59c | 1,954$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.49 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Red Wings | 37c | 1,856$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.88 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Red Wings | 39c | 1,838$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.82 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Red Wings | 41c | 1,707$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.87 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Red Wings | 61c | 1,696$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.7 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Red Wings | 37c | 1,569$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.24 | 92 | 31.5%29 W · 63 L | -12.7wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Rangers | 45c | 1,552$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.16 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +9.3wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Red Wings | 15c | 1,400$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Red Wings | 47c | 1,337$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.39 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Red Wings | 46c | 1,235$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Red Wings | 56c | 1,179$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.05 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Red Wings | 45c | 1,174$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.76 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…9a62backed Rangers | 44c | 1,170$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.45 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rangers | 59c | 1,118$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.66 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Red Wings | 27c | 1,105$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.38 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Rangers | 41c | 1,073$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.07 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Red Wings | 43c | 1,047$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.23 | 270 | 37.4%101 W · 169 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Red Wings | 56c | 1,016$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.82 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Red Wings | 37c | 1,009$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.74 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Rangers | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Red Wings | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…ba3dbacked Rangers | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Red Wings | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +27.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Rangers | 61c | 999.99$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Rangers | 59c | 999.98$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.99 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64a0…e18ebacked Red Wings | 58c | 999.95$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Red Wings | 46c | 967$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.63 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…9bd9backed Rangers | 44c | 951.53$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.86 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Rangers | 44c | 901.49$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.83 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Rangers | 39c | 895$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Red Wings | 57c | 880$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.6 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Rangers | 43c | 879.8$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.48 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed Red Wings | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Rangers | 66c | 870.34$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.92 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Rangers | 58c | 869.96$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.38 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Red Wings | 35c | 862.86$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa732…2723backed Red Wings | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Rangers | 44c | 806$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.36 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d46…84fcbacked Red Wings | 39c | 800.05$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.02 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Red Wings | 43c | 800$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.2 | 198 | 36.9%73 W · 125 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Rangers | 43c | 800$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Rangers | 58c | 711.4$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.5 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Rangers | 57c | 684.76$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.29 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Rangers | 44c | 681.56$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.43 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Red Wings | 44c | 679$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Red Wings | 57c | 665.28$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.46 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Red Wings | 41c | 636$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.76 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Rangers | 40c | 635.52$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.28 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Rangers | 44c | 600$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Rangers | 57c | 572.13$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.58 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Rangers | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.18 | 299 | 46.8%140 W · 159 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Rangers | 44c | 561.96$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.7 | 529 | 46.9%248 W · 281 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Wings vs. Rangersthis page
- Red Wings vs. Rangers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Red Wings vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Red Wings vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Red Wings vs. Rangers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.