NHL · resolved market
Red Wings vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f830f24494f3f0c73a949e132a4b6373d0ebfabe7f57666208238c2c317c34d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,771
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,888
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,771 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 55c | 2,998$1,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.17 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 45c | 1,990$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.62 | 174 | 56.3%98 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 26c | 1,634$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.48 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 45c | 1,012$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.4 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 73c | 831.18$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.07 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 41c | 817.32$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.09 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 799.94$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.95 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 59c | 762.71$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 49c | 259.5$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.05 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 72c | 231$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.22 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 48c | 217.18$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.25 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Over | 50c | 200.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Under | 75c | 190$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…d4fbbacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 33c | 153.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe6…1bfabacked Under | 74c | 109.78$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 23c | 89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 43c | 87.43$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.84 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…04cbbacked Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…9c06backed Over | 59c | 66.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 43c | 65.32$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.23 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0eb…af1ebacked Under | 43c | 58.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 172 | 27.3%47 W · 125 L | -17.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 68c | 54$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 42c | 48.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 56c | 47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…98f2backed Under | 43c | 42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 74c | 40.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 74c | 37.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 127 | 58.3%74 W · 53 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 57c | 37.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…1052backed Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 57c | 33.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 74c | 29.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 75c | 29.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 76c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Under | 59c | 23.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea5d…d375backed Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…91a8backed Under | 71c | 19.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked Under | 74c | 19.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Wings vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5this page
- Red Wings vs. RangersRangers won
- Red Wings vs. Rangers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Red Wings vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Red Wings vs. Rangers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.