NHL · resolved market
Red Wings vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc4c231f63ed4be3ea4c9e5884088edf5efce92ddc528f04d4096935663492c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,385
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,899
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,385 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 48c | 1,137$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.9 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 53c | 1,032$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.57 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 799.42$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.34 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 53c | 750$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.5 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Under | 52c | 367.5$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.4 | 97 | 62.9%61 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 52c | 364$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.72 | 207 | 56.5%117 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 48c | 288.97$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 52c | 265.5$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.46 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 52c | 205.99$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.87 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf43…306abacked Under | 73c | 171$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.06 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Under | 69c | 109.5$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.19 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -8.5wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 39c | 79.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x015d…7bc7backed Over | 47c | 61.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0eb…af1ebacked Under | 53c | 60.38$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 172 | 27.3%47 W · 125 L | -17.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 53c | 57.96$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…ed6bbacked Over | 47c | 42.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 52c | 37.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 212 | 53.3%113 W · 99 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cac…988ebacked Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 72c | 27.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Under | 62c | 25.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf87…439fbacked Over | 46c | 24.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c9…7c83backed Over | 46c | 24.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…853bbacked Under | 53c | 23.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 69c | 22.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7362…139bbacked Under | 54c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbef…8457backed Under | 54c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e1…d4ffbacked Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6e…3aefbacked Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Under | 62c | 16.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Wings vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5this page
- Red Wings vs. RangersRangers won
- Red Wings vs. Rangers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Red Wings vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Red Wings vs. Rangers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.