NBA · resolved market
Spread: Hawks (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a218243afbb1d96c615b430d7c4f9e7907e4ed41cd3d1f738ac635d2b5c333a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Hawks, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,727,036
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,727,036 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 636 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Grizzlies | 50c | 894,123$443,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443,505.88 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Hawks | 51c | 585,144$297,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287,396.62 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Grizzlies | 49c | 254,039$125,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125,142.94 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Hawks | 50c | 192,600$96,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96,300 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Hawks | 50c | 127,148$63,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,574 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Grizzlies | 49c | 75,149$36,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,476.15 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Hawks | 50c | 70,170$35,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,818.3 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Hawks | 50c | 64,282$32,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,141 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Hawks | 55c | 61,851$33,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,100.65 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…b46ebacked Grizzlies | 50c | 60,000$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Hawks | 50c | 52,461$26,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,256.36 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Hawks | 50c | 30,673$15,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,338.7 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Grizzlies | 45c | 21,469$9,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,660.97 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Hawks | 50c | 15,079$7,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,592.85 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Hawks | 50c | 14,680$7,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,340 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Grizzlies | 49c | 12,358$6,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,088.59 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Hawks | 50c | 12,323$6,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,161.5 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Grizzlies | 51c | 12,221$6,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,277.15 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Hawks | 50c | 11,358$5,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,725.45 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…7976backed Hawks | 50c | 11,333$5,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,666.64 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Hawks | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Grizzlies | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Hawks | 50c | 7,600$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,800 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Grizzlies | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Hawks | 50c | 6,350$3,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,168 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Hawks | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies | 38c | 5,916$2,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222.99 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Hawks | 53c | 5,660$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660.38 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfea7…5a9dbacked Hawks | 53c | 5,654$2,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,657.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c37…6d9abacked Grizzlies | 49c | 5,529$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac26…ea37backed Hawks | 53c | 5,094$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,394.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Hawks | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Hawks | 50c | 4,456$2,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,227.96 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Hawks | 50c | 4,450$2,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,225 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Hawks | 50c | 4,227$2,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,113.5 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Hawks | 51c | 4,200$2,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,057.99 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Hawks | 50c | 4,166$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,066.04 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Grizzlies | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Hawks | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.58 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Grizzlies | 50c | 3,570$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,784.82 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Hawks | 49c | 3,564$1,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,805.51 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Grizzlies | 45c | 2,879$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.68 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf303…5847backed Hawks | 50c | 2,800$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef99…ef8dbacked Hawks | 53c | 2,241$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.5 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Hawks | 50c | 2,238$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Grizzlies | 48c | 2,000$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.24 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Hawks | 53c | 1,931$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.4 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Hawks | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Hawks | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Hawks | 50c | 1,781$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.86 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Hawks | 61c | 1,600$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.8 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Hawks | 61c | 1,466$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.34 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Hawks | 50c | 1,455$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.5 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Hawks | 54c | 1,419$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.74 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Hawks | 48c | 1,333$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.27 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c86…d939backed Grizzlies | 47c | 1,257$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.46 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Hawks | 50c | 1,247$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.4 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…dab4backed Hawks | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.08 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Hawks | 47c | 1,115$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.39 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Grizzlies | 41c | 1,097$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.8 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Hawks | 50c | 1,089$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.94 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Hawks | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Hawks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Hawks | 50c | 876.12$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.19 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Hawks | 50c | 866.38$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.19 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Hawks | 50c | 827$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.59 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Grizzlies | 39c | 825.63$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.91 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd5…b74abacked Hawks | 52c | 788.5$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.48 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Grizzlies | 41c | 759.88$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.36 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Grizzlies | 45c | 756.95$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.27 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Hawks | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.72 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 700$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Hawks | 51c | 657.76$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.53 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Hawks | 50c | 640$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Grizzlies | 46c | 630$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.8 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Grizzlies | 50c | 625$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.5 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Grizzlies | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Hawks | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Grizzlies | 52c | 577$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.04 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc4…7a8fbacked Hawks | 51c | 539$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.11 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab0…1b9cbacked Hawks | 51c | 538$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.62 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 532.64$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.38 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb0…66e1backed Hawks | 51c | 514$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.86 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62bd…52b6backed Hawks | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Hawks | 47c | 499.98$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.99 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Grizzlies | 46c | 492.73$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.96 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5f…e8debacked Hawks | 51c | 484$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Grizzlies | 41c | 482.59$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.86 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd779…7cf7backed Hawks | 51c | 461$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.89 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Grizzlies | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7583…0469backed Grizzlies | 51c | 411.75$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Grizzlies | 35c | 400.52$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.9 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x197a…d3d1backed Hawks | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x974a…7878backed Hawks | 51c | 391$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.59 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Hawks | 50c | 390.51$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.52 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b00…3df7backed Hawks | 51c | 390$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Hawks | 50c | 383.59$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.56 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41d5…fdc1backed Hawks | 51c | 358$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.42 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Hawks | 50c | 351.45$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.3 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hawks (-13.5)this page
- Grizzlies vs. HawksHawks won
- Grizzlies vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Grizzlies vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 123.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Hawks: O/U 231.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Hawks: O/U 234.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Hawks: O/U 237.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Hawks: O/U 239.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Hawks: O/U 240.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Hawks: O/U 241.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Hawks: O/U 243.5Over won
- Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Spread: Hawks (-12.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-14.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-16.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-17.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.