NBA · resolved market
Spread: Hawks (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0e39a640c68d678b7e1abf7a68517be3718364ba45f28c1e764b3c3e7a52526
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Hawks, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $180,265
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,265 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Grizzlies | 53c | 55,871$29,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,790.92 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Hawks | 45c | 39,554$17,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,589.26 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Hawks | 46c | 26,742$12,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,440.67 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Grizzlies | 55c | 12,104$6,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,657.22 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Hawks | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Grizzlies | 53c | 7,547$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.89 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Hawks | 50c | 7,235$3,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,617.5 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Grizzlies | 54c | 5,670$3,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,061.36 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Grizzlies | 54c | 3,750$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025.08 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 3,748$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.06 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Grizzlies | 55c | 3,723$2,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,045.88 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Hawks | 46c | 3,203$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,729.59 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Grizzlies | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Grizzlies | 55c | 2,902$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.06 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hawks | 50c | 2,740$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.61 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Grizzlies | 53c | 2,177$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.43 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Grizzlies | 55c | 2,019$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.51 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Hawks | 46c | 1,927$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.53 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Grizzlies | 53c | 1,826$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.82 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Grizzlies | 54c | 1,654$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.08 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Hawks | 45c | 1,610$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.24 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Grizzlies | 52c | 1,500$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Grizzlies | 55c | 1,455$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Hawks | 46c | 1,428$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.78 | 277 | 35%97 W · 180 L | -30.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Hawks | 45c | 1,417$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.43 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Hawks | 46c | 1,159$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.69 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x430a…a940backed Grizzlies | 30c | 1,134$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.65 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…9992backed Hawks | 45c | 872$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.6 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Hawks | 50c | 768.04$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.02 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 688.51$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.03 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Hawks | 46c | 662.3$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.64 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Hawks | 46c | 652$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.08 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Hawks | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Hawks | 47c | 621.54$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.37 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Grizzlies | 49c | 588.08$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.34 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Hawks | 47c | 549.36$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.12 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Hawks | 47c | 514.96$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.93 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Hawks | 47c | 500.2$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.11 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Grizzlies | 55c | 494.43$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.94 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Hawks | 47c | 434.81$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.6 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Hawks | 46c | 410$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.4 | 239 | 46.4%111 W · 128 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Hawks | 46c | 397.5$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.65 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Grizzlies | 50c | 391.44$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.8 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Hawks | 51c | 390.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.86 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Grizzlies | 55c | 388.5$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.68 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Hawks | 46c | 370.05$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.21 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Hawks | 49c | 322.69$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Grizzlies | 54c | 301.33$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.14 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Grizzlies | 54c | 293.4$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.67 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Grizzlies | 55c | 280.1$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.05 | 186 | 48.9%91 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Hawks | 45c | 271.53$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.18 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hawks | 46c | 264.35$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.84 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Hawks | 47c | 249.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.67 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Grizzlies | 60c | 241.11$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.11 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Hawks | 47c | 240.26$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.15 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Hawks | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Hawks | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Hawks | 46c | 215.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.11 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Grizzlies | 54c | 213.38$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.03 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Hawks | 46c | 207.22$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.76 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…b386backed Hawks | 50c | 200.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.06 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f43…c0c2backed Hawks | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…65a6backed Hawks | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Grizzlies | 50c | 199.79$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.95 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3918…b552backed Grizzlies | 51c | 196.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…8e43backed Grizzlies | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Hawks | 47c | 173.44$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.81 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…c67dbacked Grizzlies | 55c | 168.27$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.42 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Hawks | 47c | 147.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.41 | 463 | 46.4%215 W · 248 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Grizzlies | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Grizzlies | 53c | 132.31$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.95 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Grizzlies | 53c | 114.8$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.84 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…45d9backed Grizzlies | 54c | 114.79$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.38 | 343 | 42.9%147 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Hawks | 47c | 112.28$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.44 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Hawks | 46c | 109.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.08 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Grizzlies | 55c | 108.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.95 | 250 | 49.6%124 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Grizzlies | 54c | 108.26$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.46 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03eb…47b0backed Hawks | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 198 | 51%101 W · 97 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Hawks | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Hawks | 48c | 105.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.7 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Hawks | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Hawks | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Grizzlies | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1130…2098backed Grizzlies | 41c | 95.24$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…2a41backed Hawks | 47c | 93.48$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 229 | 53.3%122 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…978fbacked Hawks | 47c | 91.58$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Hawks | 47c | 79.1$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.02 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Grizzlies | 48c | 77.25$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.79 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Hawks | 46c | 74.74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.36 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…dcabbacked Hawks | 47c | 74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.22 | 236 | 55.5%131 W · 105 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Hawks | 45c | 68.79$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Hawks | 46c | 65.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 399 | 43.1%172 W · 227 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52c6…564dbacked Hawks | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Hawks | 52c | 57.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d15…8026backed Hawks | 54c | 55.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6912…2aabbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 50.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Grizzlies | 55c | 50.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Grizzlies | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Hawks | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…eaafbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hawks (-14.5)this page
- Grizzlies vs. HawksHawks won
- Grizzlies vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Grizzlies vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 123.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Hawks: O/U 231.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Hawks: O/U 234.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Hawks: O/U 237.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Hawks: O/U 239.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Hawks: O/U 240.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Hawks: O/U 241.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Hawks: O/U 243.5Over won
- Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Spread: Hawks (-12.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-13.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-16.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-17.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.