NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Hawks: O/U 239.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x323b29ed3e2e13738b1f9aadad5a159e7b4c91c70e6f90c72a9f4ed6d7156467
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,172
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,172 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 3,563$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782.17 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 51c | 3,011$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.02 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7595…50ffbacked Over | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 1,625$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.33 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Under | 51c | 1,531$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.73 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 1,207$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.78 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 66c | 1,140$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.58 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 49c | 1,102$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.73 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 49c | 1,021$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.75 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 725.49$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.29 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 34c | 557.47$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.39 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2c…bb26backed Over | 48c | 539.31$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.44 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Under | 48c | 420.83$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 324 | 50.6%164 W · 160 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Under | 50c | 361.83$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.88 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 48c | 340.86$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.61 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 49c | 336.12$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.7 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 328.64$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.19 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 49c | 316$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.16 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed Over | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 41c | 236.55$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.34 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Over | 54c | 222.33$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.33 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Over | 52c | 210$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Over | 50c | 201.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.96 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 50c | 200.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.84 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…0999backed Over | 30c | 192.14$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.5 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 47c | 162.65$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.45 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 52c | 150.15$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.37 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 51c | 144.39$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.64 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6276…7f2ebacked Under | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 191 | 66.5%127 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 126.36$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.28 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 40c | 121.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…5463backed Under | 50c | 107.59$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.07 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Under | 49c | 101.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 633 | 53.1%336 W · 297 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 64c | 93.46$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Over | 53c | 79.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.59 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…81e0backed Over | 53c | 76.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.13 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 46c | 73.12$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16d3…7c23backed Over | 48c | 65.26$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.94 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 60.39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.63 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf8…6b87backed Over | 52c | 57.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +4.5wins | +0.41per pick | 50cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x917e…eed9backed Under | 45c | 57.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 210 | 49.5%104 W · 106 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Over | 54c | 55.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…4648backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 273 | 59%161 W · 112 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Under | 68c | 39.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 298 | 48%143 W · 155 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 45c | 39.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Under | 66c | 38.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 49c | 37.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Under | 66c | 35.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 340 | 47.1%160 W · 180 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 47c | 32.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 44c | 30.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19da…8cd3backed Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 49c | 25.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…1661backed Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 70c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 52c | 23.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x290e…0783backed Over | 53c | 23.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 59c | 21.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 48c | 21.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…7014backed Under | 47c | 21.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 48c | 20.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…e8c8backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Over | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 390 | 55.6%217 W · 173 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Hawks: O/U 239.5this page
- Grizzlies vs. HawksHawks won
- Grizzlies vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Grizzlies vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 123.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Hawks: O/U 231.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Hawks: O/U 234.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Hawks: O/U 237.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Hawks: O/U 240.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Hawks: O/U 241.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Hawks: O/U 243.5Over won
- Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Spread: Hawks (-12.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-13.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-14.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-16.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-17.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.