NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Hawks: O/U 240.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1486dab03859a82e7eb89b47cf6af4416bb7c38f90df3912f2df2811145f600
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $227,791
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $227,791 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 243 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 51c | 66,633$33,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,778.68 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 50c | 25,000$12,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,500 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 19,431$9,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,604.28 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd2…1c0cbacked Under | 49c | 12,129$5,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,943 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 12,105$6,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,015.24 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 51c | 11,000$5,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,389.99 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Under | 50c | 10,355$5,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,177.5 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b90…0880backed Over | 49c | 9,000$4,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,590 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…06f8backed Under | 51c | 9,000$4,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,590 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Under | 50c | 8,201$4,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100.73 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 49c | 6,987$3,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,528.87 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 52c | 6,956$3,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,338.86 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…0999backed Over | 50c | 6,876$3,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,437.79 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Under | 49c | 6,545$3,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,207.05 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5733…630abacked Under | 49c | 6,087$2,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,982.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x054a…3c39backed Under | 50c | 5,287$2,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,643.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Under | 49c | 5,084$2,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,491.16 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…b97dbacked Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0936…6c02backed Over | 50c | 4,600$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44da…eb1fbacked Over | 52c | 4,402$2,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,112.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…d0c0backed Under | 48c | 4,200$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Under | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ab…b6ffbacked Under | 51c | 4,014$2,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,047.36 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 49c | 3,965$1,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,939.23 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 49c | 3,869$1,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,898.81 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 49c | 3,716$1,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,824.87 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8681…6e7bbacked Over | 52c | 3,602$1,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728.96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 44c | 3,412$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,903.01 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Under | 49c | 3,411$1,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,684.4 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…a72bbacked Under | 48c | 3,233$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e0…9748backed Under | 48c | 3,158$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x269c…9017backed Under | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.99 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Under | 50c | 2,860$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ac…da7ebacked Over | 52c | 2,601$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 52c | 2,588$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.07 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under | 49c | 2,549$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.96 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f0…0c54backed Under | 48c | 2,525$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc281…a8aabacked Under | 50c | 2,427$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228d…abb0backed Over | 50c | 2,414$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0133…6832backed Under | 50c | 2,383$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3606…8f25backed Over | 50c | 2,340$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…4817backed Over | 52c | 2,323$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…10a2backed Under | 50c | 2,319$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Under | 50c | 2,285$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.3 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 48c | 2,230$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.76 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad3…2a06backed Under | 50c | 2,186$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7095…2905backed Over | 52c | 2,081$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe461…a98fbacked Over | 50c | 2,020$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…a573backed Over | 50c | 2,006$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…9992backed Over | 50c | 1,859$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.64 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde94…c3cebacked Under | 48c | 1,822$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb32f…504dbacked Under | 48c | 1,758$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0c…cae3backed Over | 50c | 1,755$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4484…3af5backed Under | 50c | 1,734$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c60…b238backed Over | 52c | 1,687$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf5…6e5abacked Over | 50c | 1,669$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 51c | 1,618$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.65 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…4767backed Under | 51c | 1,524$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.75 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 50c | 1,364$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.27 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 52c | 1,330$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.61 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29fe…daf0backed Under | 49c | 1,296$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14a3…ccffbacked Under | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Under | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.76 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Under | 50c | 1,179$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.89 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8953…ac5ebacked Under | 50c | 1,155$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 32c | 937.65$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.67 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 49c | 909.18$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.5 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 50c | 908.34$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.9 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 53c | 907.25$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.27 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe57f…4d74backed Over | 50c | 898$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +5.9wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…14cdbacked Over | 50c | 896$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +6.1wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Under | 50c | 891$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.5 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…303dbacked Under | 50c | 846$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 710.39$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.82 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 665.08$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.63 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 51c | 573.34$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.61 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 49c | 566.07$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.28 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Over | 50c | 557.36$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.68 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 50c | 517.65$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.78 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Over | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 50c | 491.72$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.62 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 63c | 468.81$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.79 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 50c | 467.14$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.57 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Under | 49c | 453.06$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 184 | 56%103 W · 81 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x46bd…37e8backed Under | 50c | 434.8$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.4 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -20.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x003d…56b3backed Over | 51c | 418.63$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.13 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…697abacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 206 | 50%103 W · 103 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Under | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 319 | 54.5%174 W · 145 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…2ee3backed Over | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 68c | 367.65$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.65 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 38c | 360.79$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.29 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 355.24$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.4 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c65…6b11backed Under | 29c | 323$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bed…65a7backed Under | 50c | 320$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Hawks: O/U 240.5this page
- Grizzlies vs. HawksHawks won
- Grizzlies vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Grizzlies vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 123.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Hawks: O/U 231.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Hawks: O/U 234.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Hawks: O/U 237.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Hawks: O/U 239.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Hawks: O/U 241.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Hawks: O/U 243.5Over won
- Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Spread: Hawks (-12.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-13.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-14.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-16.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-17.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.