TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Grizzlies vs. Hawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hawksof Grizzlies, Hawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,270,978

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,270,978 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 238 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf28e…cab2backed Grizzlies13c142,729$18,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,554.856646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c86…d939backed Grizzlies12c58,469$7,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,271.655655.4%31 W · 25 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Grizzlies13c46,000$5,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,75018151.9%94 W · 87 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00d5…ed84backed Grizzlies13c45,192$5,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,864.5517050%85 W · 85 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked Grizzlies13c38,937$4,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,927.916651.5%34 W · 32 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa1f1…c5f8backed Grizzlies12c34,200$4,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,104862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+28.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc2c1…9fe2backed Grizzlies13c33,568$4,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,363.857240.3%29 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Grizzlies13c31,394$4,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,081.2737448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9367…f6bebacked Grizzlies13c27,732$3,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,564.6960%0 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Grizzlies12c26,077$3,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,029.191,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Grizzlies0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Grizzlies12c24,400$3,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,04231644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Grizzlies12c20,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4009018.9%17 W · 73 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Grizzlies12c16,256$1,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,965.12,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Grizzlies11c15,722$1,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,729.4772648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5aa…9134backed Grizzlies13c13,928$1,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,810.6419957.8%115 W · 84 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf176…91d0backed Grizzlies12c10,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2001643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc94a…cfcabacked Grizzlies13c9,120$1,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,185.61421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.19per pick40cpaid-53%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Grizzlies4c8,697$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.351,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed Grizzlies12c8,554$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,026.4627247.1%128 W · 144 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Grizzlies13c7,500$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97522143%95 W · 126 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbbd…d6f0backed Grizzlies13c7,500$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9757248.6%35 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x478d…9ea9backed Grizzlies12c7,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-69.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Grizzlies12c7,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8401,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Grizzlies0c6,462$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.448820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6203…6280backed Grizzlies12c6,042$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.044443.2%19 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+37.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x655b…677fbacked Grizzlies2c5,104$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f06…e4f2backed Grizzlies12c4,860$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc414…d870backed Grizzlies7c4,600$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3442462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Grizzlies12c4,560$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.29629.2%28 W · 68 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-35.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e5e…5778backed Grizzlies13c4,374$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.591717.6%3 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-46.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd5…3b78backed Grizzlies1c4,286$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.948326.5%22 W · 61 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3335…3656backed Grizzlies12c4,100$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4938759.8%52 W · 35 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+33.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5696…9f97backed Grizzlies12c4,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4802040%8 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x034b…b22bbacked Grizzlies13c3,846$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003070%21 W · 9 L+4.6wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+18%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Grizzlies13c3,846$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.981,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Grizzlies12c3,727$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.241,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ba9…0516backed Grizzlies5c3,500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1607412.2%9 W · 65 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0206…479fbacked Grizzlies12c3,480$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.591323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-65.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc864…97dfbacked Grizzlies13c3,477$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4524257.1%24 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+27.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0441…b3aabacked Grizzlies12c3,400$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4088441.7%35 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Grizzlies12c3,321$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.524831.9%79 W · 169 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01f5…5cfbbacked Grizzlies12c3,279$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40016421.3%35 W · 129 L-10.7wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc1b6…c914backed Grizzlies3c3,184$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009220.7%19 W · 73 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-42.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Grizzlies1c3,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1564517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7595…50ffbacked Grizzlies12c2,990$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.7611156.8%63 W · 48 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf0b9…0eddbacked Grizzlies12c2,875$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.991747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Grizzlies1c2,704$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1583039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb2c…bb26backed Grizzlies12c2,667$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.982138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Grizzlies12c2,591$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.922,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aec…b4cebacked Grizzlies3c2,561$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768838.6%34 W · 54 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf22f…cdb7backed Grizzlies12c2,502$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf984…5098backed Grizzlies12c2,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007337%27 W · 46 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Grizzlies12c2,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30058740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Grizzlies12c2,300$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27620537.1%76 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Grizzlies12c2,280$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.68543.5%37 W · 48 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d97…64d7backed Grizzlies12c2,200$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Grizzlies12c2,189$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.6524841.1%102 W · 146 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed Grizzlies12c1,927$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.197532%24 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Grizzlies10c1,755$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.4726638.7%103 W · 163 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Grizzlies13c1,731$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22546632.6%152 W · 314 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x536a…d21dbacked Grizzlies12c1,596$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.52560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+28.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x963f…baf4backed Grizzlies12c1,550$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1861764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8150…e7f1backed Grizzlies14c1,433$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.625632.1%18 W · 38 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58df…76b4backed Grizzlies12c1,350$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1621353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc079…8accbacked Grizzlies13c1,313$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.697152.1%37 W · 34 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ddc…03c3backed Grizzlies12c1,222$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.652334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Grizzlies14c1,071$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15017532%56 W · 119 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c9c…6824backed Grizzlies11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1104429.5%13 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+23%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdec…ec75backed Grizzlies13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13012329.3%36 W · 87 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-41.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Grizzlies3c1,000$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2928245.4%128 W · 154 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ee9…f179backed Grizzlies12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2790…2233backed Grizzlies12c999.98$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12019735%69 W · 128 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb241…a635backed Grizzlies3c929.76$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc20b…2fb8backed Grizzlies12c900$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1085119.6%10 W · 41 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-45.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x312b…c287backed Grizzlies12c898$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.76933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72b9…8142backed Grizzlies4c890.89$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.432114.3%3 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-70.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x97c2…eee2backed Grizzlies12c845.08$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5ab5…ff12backed Grizzlies12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003917.9%7 W · 32 L-5.5wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-46.9%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x9d2a…9ee3backed Grizzlies12c799.62$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8885248.9%417 W · 435 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Grizzlies13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010225.5%26 W · 76 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb6f…e0ddbacked Grizzlies13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006744.8%30 W · 37 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Grizzlies6c726.95$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.223833.2%79 W · 159 L-19.1wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-47.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbe4…e51fbacked Grizzlies12c700$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842450%12 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+55%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x348a…9c6bbacked Grizzlies13c661.54$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869637.5%36 W · 60 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1dbf…7776backed Grizzlies12c616.75$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.0118343.7%80 W · 103 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a9e…f670backed Grizzlies15c600$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9011345.1%51 W · 62 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed Grizzlies13c600$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7826530.9%82 W · 183 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe189…13fbbacked Grizzlies12c600$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722839.3%11 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff72…512bbacked Grizzlies11c600$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6421935.6%78 W · 141 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Grizzlies14c581$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.5211843.2%51 W · 67 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefa5…b417backed Grizzlies13c570$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.118133.7%61 W · 120 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed Grizzlies13c565.38$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.55543.6%24 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x093d…1593backed Grizzlies13c553.46$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.032650%13 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+36%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Grizzlies14c525$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.0661939.6%245 W · 374 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Grizzlies7c500$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.593543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7f5…b853backed Grizzlies12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+30.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13c9…5e53backed Grizzlies12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6030544.6%136 W · 169 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Grizzlies12c477.3$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2864347.7%307 W · 336 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf97…dc45backed Grizzlies7c477.08$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.934240.5%17 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.