NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Hawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e5f2ffbcb7eef803288f65cdb2779889e8535d4bb67aee02d5a9fd796d9fae8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Grizzlies, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,270,978
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,270,978 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 238 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Grizzlies | 13c | 142,729$18,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,554.8 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c86…d939backed Grizzlies | 12c | 58,469$7,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,271.65 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Grizzlies | 13c | 46,000$5,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,750 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Grizzlies | 13c | 45,192$5,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,864.55 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked Grizzlies | 13c | 38,937$4,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,927.91 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f1…c5f8backed Grizzlies | 12c | 34,200$4,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,104 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Grizzlies | 13c | 33,568$4,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,363.85 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Grizzlies | 13c | 31,394$4,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,081.27 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9367…f6bebacked Grizzlies | 13c | 27,732$3,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,564.69 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Grizzlies | 12c | 26,077$3,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,029.19 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Grizzlies | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Grizzlies | 12c | 24,400$3,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,042 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Grizzlies | 12c | 20,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 90 | 18.9%17 W · 73 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Grizzlies | 12c | 16,256$1,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,965.1 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Grizzlies | 11c | 15,722$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729.47 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…9134backed Grizzlies | 13c | 13,928$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810.64 | 199 | 57.8%115 W · 84 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf176…91d0backed Grizzlies | 12c | 10,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…cfcabacked Grizzlies | 13c | 9,120$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.6 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 40cpaid | -53%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Grizzlies | 4c | 8,697$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.35 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9391backed Grizzlies | 12c | 8,554$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.46 | 272 | 47.1%128 W · 144 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Grizzlies | 13c | 7,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…d6f0backed Grizzlies | 13c | 7,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478d…9ea9backed Grizzlies | 12c | 7,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Grizzlies | 12c | 7,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Grizzlies | 0c | 6,462$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed Grizzlies | 12c | 6,042$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.04 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x655b…677fbacked Grizzlies | 2c | 5,104$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f06…e4f2backed Grizzlies | 12c | 4,860$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc414…d870backed Grizzlies | 7c | 4,600$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Grizzlies | 12c | 4,560$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.2 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5e…5778backed Grizzlies | 13c | 4,374$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.59 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd5…3b78backed Grizzlies | 1c | 4,286$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 83 | 26.5%22 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…3656backed Grizzlies | 12c | 4,100$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…9f97backed Grizzlies | 12c | 4,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x034b…b22bbacked Grizzlies | 13c | 3,846$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Grizzlies | 13c | 3,846$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.98 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Grizzlies | 12c | 3,727$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.24 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba9…0516backed Grizzlies | 5c | 3,500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0206…479fbacked Grizzlies | 12c | 3,480$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.59 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Grizzlies | 13c | 3,477$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0441…b3aabacked Grizzlies | 12c | 3,400$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Grizzlies | 12c | 3,321$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.5 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01f5…5cfbbacked Grizzlies | 12c | 3,279$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 164 | 21.3%35 W · 129 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b6…c914backed Grizzlies | 3c | 3,184$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 20.7%19 W · 73 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Grizzlies | 1c | 3,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7595…50ffbacked Grizzlies | 12c | 2,990$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.76 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b9…0eddbacked Grizzlies | 12c | 2,875$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.99 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Grizzlies | 1c | 2,704$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2c…bb26backed Grizzlies | 12c | 2,667$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.98 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Grizzlies | 12c | 2,591$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.92 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aec…b4cebacked Grizzlies | 3c | 2,561$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf22f…cdb7backed Grizzlies | 12c | 2,502$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Grizzlies | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Grizzlies | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Grizzlies | 12c | 2,300$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 205 | 37.1%76 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Grizzlies | 12c | 2,280$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.6 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d97…64d7backed Grizzlies | 12c | 2,200$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Grizzlies | 12c | 2,189$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.65 | 248 | 41.1%102 W · 146 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…5501backed Grizzlies | 12c | 1,927$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.19 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Grizzlies | 10c | 1,755$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.47 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Grizzlies | 13c | 1,731$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x536a…d21dbacked Grizzlies | 12c | 1,596$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x963f…baf4backed Grizzlies | 12c | 1,550$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8150…e7f1backed Grizzlies | 14c | 1,433$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.62 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58df…76b4backed Grizzlies | 12c | 1,350$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8accbacked Grizzlies | 13c | 1,313$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.69 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…03c3backed Grizzlies | 12c | 1,222$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.65 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Grizzlies | 14c | 1,071$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 175 | 32%56 W · 119 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9c…6824backed Grizzlies | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdec…ec75backed Grizzlies | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 123 | 29.3%36 W · 87 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Grizzlies | 3c | 1,000$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 282 | 45.4%128 W · 154 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…f179backed Grizzlies | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2790…2233backed Grizzlies | 12c | 999.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 197 | 35%69 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb241…a635backed Grizzlies | 3c | 929.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc20b…2fb8backed Grizzlies | 12c | 900$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x312b…c287backed Grizzlies | 12c | 898$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.76 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b9…8142backed Grizzlies | 4c | 890.89$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…eee2backed Grizzlies | 12c | 845.08$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab5…ff12backed Grizzlies | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -5.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Grizzlies | 12c | 799.62$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.88 | 852 | 48.9%417 W · 435 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Grizzlies | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 25.5%26 W · 76 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6f…e0ddbacked Grizzlies | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Grizzlies | 6c | 726.95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 238 | 33.2%79 W · 159 L | -19.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe4…e51fbacked Grizzlies | 12c | 700$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +55%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x348a…9c6bbacked Grizzlies | 13c | 661.54$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…7776backed Grizzlies | 12c | 616.75$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.01 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9e…f670backed Grizzlies | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb64…5e23backed Grizzlies | 13c | 600$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 265 | 30.9%82 W · 183 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe189…13fbbacked Grizzlies | 12c | 600$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff72…512bbacked Grizzlies | 11c | 600$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 219 | 35.6%78 W · 141 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Grizzlies | 14c | 581$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.52 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…b417backed Grizzlies | 13c | 570$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 181 | 33.7%61 W · 120 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed Grizzlies | 13c | 565.38$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x093d…1593backed Grizzlies | 13c | 553.46$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.03 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +36%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Grizzlies | 14c | 525$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.06 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Grizzlies | 7c | 500$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f5…b853backed Grizzlies | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed Grizzlies | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 305 | 44.6%136 W · 169 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Grizzlies | 12c | 477.3$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.28 | 643 | 47.7%307 W · 336 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf97…dc45backed Grizzlies | 7c | 477.08$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Hawksthis page
- Grizzlies vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Grizzlies vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 123.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Hawks: O/U 231.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Hawks: O/U 234.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Hawks: O/U 237.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Hawks: O/U 239.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Hawks: O/U 240.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Hawks: O/U 241.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Hawks: O/U 243.5Over won
- Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Spread: Hawks (-12.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-13.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-14.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-16.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-17.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.