TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,864
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,206

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,864 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8f03…64d6backed Under50c13,483$6,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,741.451,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over50c5,856$2,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,942.744,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e1e…bb68backed Over54c5,556$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0009556.8%54 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc43…96d3backed Over51c5,008$2,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,554.26654.5%36 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Under49c4,012$1,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,046.0360351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x24a7…cbefbacked Under48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5601100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92fc…2f25backed Under49c2,941$1,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.811258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under52c2,751$1,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,322.311,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over50c2,608$1,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,303.611,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Under47c2,000$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.9813148.1%63 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under49c1,966$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.411,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Under51c1,957$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.941,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under50c1,907$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.854,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over50c1,903$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.52,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over39c1,462$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.528,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over51c1,274$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.824,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Over51c1,172$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60014251.4%73 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under49c1,111$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.123,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c7e…4ed0backed Over52c1,100$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over36c1,054$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.432,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under50c1,018$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.851,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…cb49backed Over52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb097…0e61backed Over54c966.22$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52212240.2%49 W · 73 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ea2…9ad4backed Over53c946.45$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012855.5%71 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Over51c930.38$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47441742%175 W · 242 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over50c903.95$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.712,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0445…5117backed Over52c900$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6df…dda7backed Under51c876.12$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.5424247.1%114 W · 128 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over49c795.58$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.8387453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over50c789$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.56,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Over52c768$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.3625049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under52c749.96$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.9848054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Over51c698$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.5611543.5%50 W · 65 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Under51c679.83$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.1222948.5%111 W · 118 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under45c666.43$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.431,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9804…d512backed Over46c640$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.3110349.5%51 W · 52 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over49c625.21$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.354,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Under47c607.58$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.1716642.2%70 W · 96 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over52c576.9$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9916347.2%77 W · 86 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d69…6f27backed Over52c559.62$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2911020%2 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-60.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Over49c482.15$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.2538947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Under48c419.99$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.420846.6%97 W · 111 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over50c406$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2032,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over54c400$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21484150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Under47c384.77$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.9422140.7%90 W · 131 L+0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over51c383.24$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.9595047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under51c368.89$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1801,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under47c338.06$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.751,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Over50c331.19$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.6758450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over18c328.37$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1152230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Over49c323.55$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.8647436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under50c314$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1571,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Over42c299.99$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12616159.6%96 W · 65 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb295…4ee4backed Under49c248.12$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.541154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+32.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2273…7e01backed Under49c240.22$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.517028.6%20 W · 50 L-8.8wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-49.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over53c222$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.481,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cad…0758backed Over55c217.64$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.33243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d46…3248backed Over7c206.95$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.494746.8%22 W · 25 L+6.5wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+81.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under49c206$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.0668645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Under49c205$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.5527455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9878652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ece…8786backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+27.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10025049.6%124 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdae4…f1fcbacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10019054.7%104 W · 86 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d8c…35b0backed Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006950.7%35 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under57c175.8$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.895452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over50c170.81$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.773,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8db2…f8a2backed Over50c167.18$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-35.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ea4…aa27backed Under46c167$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.18650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9eb…cc21backed Under48c167$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.84450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under52c163.75$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.692058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x993b…ecfbbacked Under44c161$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.377142.3%30 W · 41 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over53c150$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.560346.4%280 W · 323 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb49…7fc9backed Under45c150$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.18666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+36.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77da…d3bdbacked Under46c144$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.76560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under51c137$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.1356843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6598…5f36backed Under49c132.65$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.657145.1%32 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c8…32a6backed Under46c132$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf69b…a6ddbacked Under49c130.39$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.59735.1%34 W · 63 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under52c126.29$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.7789853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over50c117.7$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.851,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over48c116.9$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.231,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf433…2464backed Over52c114.34$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6014444.4%64 W · 80 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Over35c114.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4027138.7%105 W · 166 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Over50c113.04$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.265349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Over49c112.84$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.2955347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Under46c111.59$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.2662541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under49c110.85$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.8687049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Under48c105$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.635849.7%178 W · 180 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x514e…a604backed Over49c103$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.479551.6%49 W · 46 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52c6…564dbacked Under49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.044254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Under49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0438152.8%201 W · 180 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcab4…6e0fbacked Under49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.04520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-59.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Under49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0413541.5%56 W · 79 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8894…085cbacked Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52850%4 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fb1…a819backed Over51c99.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4638…aa0ebacked Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c29…ed84backed Under49c94.79$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.342138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x891d…b19fbacked Under49c92$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.928251.2%42 W · 40 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.