TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 23.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,365
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,699

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,365 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x339a…1eaebacked Yes56c1,906$1,075 inWon+$830.311,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed No43c1,750$758 inLost-$757.579650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed No43c235.03$100 inLost-$10052146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Yes57c187.24$107 inWon+$80.5192058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed No36c156.25$56 inLost-$56.2522140.7%90 W · 131 L+0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefd1…c520backed Yes64c156.25$100 inWon+$56.258654.7%47 W · 39 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed No47c140.99$66 inLost-$66.2476247.1%359 W · 403 L+2.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked No43c138.68$60 inLost-$60.0443447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes58c86.22$50 inWon+$36.2189853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed No37c68.24$25 inLost-$25.351,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bf7…6f57backed Yes57c60$34 inWon+$25.830256.6%171 W · 131 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No35c55.38$19 inLost-$19.34,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd31a…28f5backed Yes63c49.94$31 inWon+$18.484949%24 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79ee…dae9backed Yes62c48.33$30 inWon+$18.334746.8%22 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbef…0c11backed Yes65c30.77$20 inWon+$10.774360.5%26 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x751f…3100backed Yes75c26.64$20 inWon+$6.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Yes56c22.87$13 inWon+$10.0646255.6%257 W · 205 L+22.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.