NBA · resolved market
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ea6cc79d1f4631661ef7e4565acaa6be0cdeb2f569de124ed2d86537ccee838
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,885
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,250
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,885 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf4c7…6f98backed Celtics | 44c | 3,570$1,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ef…dcb1backed Hawks | 56c | 3,570$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Celtics | 45c | 2,987$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,642.67 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Celtics | 49c | 1,535$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.53 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hawks | 55c | 1,511$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.88 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Hawks | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Hawks | 56c | 889$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.84 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…87b6backed Hawks | 59c | 848.47$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Hawks | 49c | 731.98$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.67 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Hawks | 55c | 624.85$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.46 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Celtics | 43c | 567.94$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.08 | 221 | 40.7%90 W · 131 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Hawks | 51c | 544.47$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.2 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Celtics | 49c | 526.97$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.87 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Hawks | 60c | 496.66$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d46…3248backed Hawks | 13c | 474$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.88 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +6.5wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Celtics | 43c | 385.63$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.24 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hawks | 55c | 236$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.8 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Celtics | 45c | 225.77$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Hawks | 55c | 224.45$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.45 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Hawks | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x917d…9429backed Hawks | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Celtics | 41c | 182.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.93 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed Hawks | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 138 | 37%51 W · 87 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Celtics | 40c | 169.66$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.11 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Hawks | 9c | 156$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Hawks | 39c | 148.3$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.62 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Hawks | 9c | 132$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Celtics | 41c | 131.44$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.55 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Hawks | 56c | 130.25$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.13 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Hawks | 55c | 130$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Celtics | 48c | 129.56$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.42 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Celtics | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…e3b4backed Hawks | 68c | 80$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Celtics | 32c | 75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Celtics | 41c | 72.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Celtics | 41c | 71.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.43 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Hawks | 56c | 68.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Hawks | 56c | 61.28$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Celtics | 47c | 60.35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.22 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Celtics | 41c | 41.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 248 | 41.9%104 W · 144 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Hawks | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 372 | 53.5%199 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…0322backed Celtics | 42c | 34.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Celtics | 41c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Celtics | 41c | 31.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Hawks | 55c | 30.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Celtics | 44c | 26.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hawks | 60c | 22.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Hawks | 59c | 20.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Hawks | 59c | 17.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Celtics (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-3.5)Hawks won
- Derrick White: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Derrick White: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Dyson Daniels: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Hawks vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Hawks vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Hawks vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 218.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 226.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 227.5Under won
- Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Neemias Queta: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Celtics (-4.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.