NBA · resolved market
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x975cd4e765026bc811d1b7d5530bff4a082a21fcd07965c66b588ec158645166
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,153,575
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,198,854
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,153,575 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 435 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Celtics | 51c | 738,699$379,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359,491.34 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Hawks | 49c | 505,247$247,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247,502.31 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Hawks | 48c | 100,000$48,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,000 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Celtics | 52c | 79,225$41,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,078.12 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Hawks | 48c | 69,552$33,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,384.96 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Celtics | 51c | 47,723$24,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,403.97 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…fd1ebacked Celtics | 39c | 33,927$13,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,659.78 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Hawks | 49c | 25,306$12,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,400 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Hawks | 48c | 18,377$8,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,821 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Hawks | 49c | 14,918$7,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,246.16 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Hawks | 60c | 13,314$7,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,987.75 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…7976backed Hawks | 48c | 12,286$5,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,897.28 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa136…ea3cbacked Hawks | 49c | 12,245$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Hawks | 49c | 12,000$5,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,880 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Celtics | 50c | 12,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Hawks | 49c | 10,272$5,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,024.91 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hawks | 65c | 9,616$6,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,268.18 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb12d…f73cbacked Hawks | 54c | 9,360$5,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,054.51 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Hawks | 48c | 9,042$4,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,309.98 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Hawks | 48c | 8,809$4,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,237.86 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Celtics | 50c | 8,142$4,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,071 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Celtics | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,919.9 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Celtics | 52c | 7,749$4,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,719.57 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Hawks | 48c | 7,708$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x144e…eca0backed Hawks | 48c | 7,708$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Hawks | 50c | 7,684$3,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,838.38 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Hawks | 48c | 7,652$3,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,683.26 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d69…6f27backed Hawks | 49c | 7,022$3,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,441 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Celtics | 52c | 6,532$3,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,135.43 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Hawks | 48c | 6,506$3,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,102.04 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Hawks | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Hawks | 48c | 6,042$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef99…ef8dbacked Hawks | 50c | 5,588$2,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,793.8 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Hawks | 50c | 5,384$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Hawks | 48c | 5,203$2,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,497.63 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Hawks | 49c | 5,178$2,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,537.2 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Hawks | 48c | 5,067$2,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,432 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Celtics | 51c | 4,998$2,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,468.89 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Hawks | 48c | 4,923$2,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,363 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Celtics | 53c | 4,667$2,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.12 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Hawks | 48c | 4,550$2,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,184 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Celtics | 51c | 4,444$2,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,177.56 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…3760backed Hawks | 50c | 4,396$2,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,175.99 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Celtics | 48c | 4,380$2,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,267.56 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Celtics | 58c | 4,133$2,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750.75 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Celtics | 47c | 4,113$1,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,177.39 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Celtics | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Celtics | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…4569backed Hawks | 48c | 3,881$1,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862.88 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…6d61backed Celtics | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.58 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Hawks | 48c | 3,654$1,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,753.8 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Hawks | 48c | 3,501$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680.48 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Hawks | 48c | 3,438$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.24 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e70…f06fbacked Hawks | 48c | 3,333$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Hawks | 48c | 3,325$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Hawks | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb8…5596backed Hawks | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 50cpaid | -72%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Hawks | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf96…5156backed Hawks | 48c | 2,998$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Hawks | 50c | 2,996$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.18 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc08e…3487backed Hawks | 49c | 2,832$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Celtics | 52c | 2,743$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.88 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Hawks | 48c | 2,705$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.6 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -17.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…731cbacked Celtics | 46c | 2,661$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,436.84 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Celtics | 52c | 2,604$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.77 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Hawks | 50c | 2,600$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b0…57aebacked Celtics | 51c | 2,594$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Hawks | 48c | 2,550$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…2ba1backed Celtics | 51c | 2,541$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Hawks | 48c | 2,526$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.41 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Celtics | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Celtics | 51c | 2,500$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.97 | 657 | 62.3%409 W · 248 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…2185backed Hawks | 49c | 2,469$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7973…3e1ebacked Celtics | 51c | 2,336$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Hawks | 48c | 2,315$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.43 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21e8…1cf2backed Hawks | 49c | 2,242$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c9…a0f4backed Celtics | 51c | 2,229$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Hawks | 49c | 2,192$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.04 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…a0d8backed Hawks | 48c | 2,158$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Hawks | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Hawks | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Celtics | 46c | 2,065$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.22 | 324 | 50.6%164 W · 160 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Hawks | 48c | 2,042$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Hawks | 53c | 2,010$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.77 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Celtics | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Hawks | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7183…8f69backed Hawks | 49c | 1,963$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Hawks | 47c | 1,916$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.48 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Hawks | 49c | 1,900$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.99 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Hawks | 48c | 1,839$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.5 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…290bbacked Hawks | 49c | 1,838$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Hawks | 48c | 1,658$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.84 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Hawks | 47c | 1,649$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.95 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Celtics | 52c | 1,610$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.62 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Celtics | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Celtics | 51c | 1,590$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.68 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hawks | 48c | 1,547$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.19 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Hawks | 65c | 1,542$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7023…1c9dbacked Celtics | 51c | 1,525$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Celtics | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 282 | 45.4%128 W · 154 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Celtics (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-3.5)Hawks won
- Derrick White: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Derrick White: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Dyson Daniels: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Hawks vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Hawks vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Hawks vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 218.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 226.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 227.5Under won
- Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Neemias Queta: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.