TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$174,298
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$174,226

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,298 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcb6e…48e6backed Under51c78,395$39,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,413.522661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under50c34,077$17,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,038.541,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over50c25,000$12,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,5001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under50c21,901$10,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,950.261,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over48c13,939$6,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,745.864,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Over49c11,204$5,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,490.218749.2%92 W · 95 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Under55c10,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,499.9716346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3824…5f15backed Over49c8,163$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0001040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Over50c8,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00026648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over49c6,122$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00048546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76e0…a0ccbacked Over49c5,640$2,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,763.71040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Over50c5,600$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80018349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x549a…c6dabacked Over49c5,510$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb172…23dcbacked Over49c5,306$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Over49c5,158$2,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,527.432150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef99…ef8dbacked Over50c4,888$2,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,444.099952.5%52 W · 47 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Over49c4,556$2,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,232.4425049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Over49c3,920$1,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,920.831643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x62e3…4876backed Over49c3,094$1,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,516425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1366…f38abacked Over49c2,890$1,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,416250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over49c2,857$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40038946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x955f…2a6fbacked Over49c2,856$1,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,393.661136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-28.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9c8…04febacked Under49c2,748$1,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,401.38933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-34.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Under48c2,660$1,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,387.681,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over46c2,600$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,183.143,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Over49c2,513$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,231.314940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Over50c2,346$1,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17316640.4%67 W · 99 L-14.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x975b…3760backed Over52c2,200$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1445547.3%26 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7438…b102backed Over50c2,037$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0162055%11 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over46c1,941$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.54,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over49c1,941$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.9935749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under50c1,737$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.081,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over52c1,647$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.573,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over50c1,616$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.542,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under51c1,572$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.394,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91f7…4767backed Over49c1,512$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.8810651.9%55 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under49c1,510$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.22,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over53c1,500$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.9769149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Over50c1,260$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63025951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfb8…5596backed Over50c1,210$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.35per pick50cpaid-72%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Over50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60014251.4%73 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over51c1,078$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55087453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Over49c1,070$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.7816147.2%76 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Over49c1,005$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.4524450%122 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over49c991.97$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.0770246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under52c827.86$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.376,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Over49c755.1$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37021943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Over49c707$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.4336351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over45c698.86$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.18,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Over47c639.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008844.3%39 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under47c638.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.327746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36f2…dab4backed Over49c609.64$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007951.9%41 W · 38 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over51c501$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.511,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6512…5291backed Over51c499.99$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2559550.5%48 W · 47 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over52c480.75$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.991,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa09e…9368backed Over51c455.98$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.678353%44 W · 39 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Over49c453.11$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.1847436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2cf…c231backed Under49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.16633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-33.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over50c400$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19884150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1c…a6c5backed Over49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1965046%23 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under52c296.71$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.792,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18d5…2bb6backed Over47c268.12$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1256250%31 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under50c237.62$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.8155347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7752146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7743447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over50c209.92$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10689048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6abc…bd1bbacked Under49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0814549%71 W · 74 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013750.4%69 W · 68 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ddb…513dbacked Under52c191.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.165846.6%27 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under54c150.15$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.071,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Over57c145.79$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.6520049%98 W · 102 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Over49c144.68$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2758450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42f2…fdb4backed Under49c122.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4511558.3%67 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under50c103.17$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6581349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5047738.2%182 W · 295 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf89f…32b0backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505042%21 W · 29 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Under47c99.99$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5363353.1%336 W · 297 L-2.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over50c99.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Under50c95.33$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3348152%250 W · 231 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28ad…9805backed Over48c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.422942.8%98 W · 131 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfed…096dbacked Over48c75$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-34.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc44f…af90backed Over50c73.94$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9722454.5%122 W · 102 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d69…6f27backed Over49c73.47$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361020%2 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-60.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Over49c72.91$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7338853.4%207 W · 181 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under50c72.59$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.360945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x647c…a772backed Over47c72.3$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.981637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-29.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over56c68$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.081,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Over47c63.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7226450%132 W · 132 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Over49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3049246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Over49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3034854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.496956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3033251.2%170 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under50c55.9$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.953,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b95…07e5backed Over54c55.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.999244.6%41 W · 51 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x38ab…4e8dbacked Over47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259340.9%38 W · 55 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fa7…d4febacked Over54c52.31$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810850.9%55 W · 53 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Under51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.51,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.578648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d7…0df5backed Over50c48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244434.1%15 W · 29 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5593145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.