TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Celtics (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Celticsof Celtics, Hawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$581,183
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$708,119

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $581,183 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 273 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Celtics48c210,929$101,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109,712.2772648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Celtics48c120,867$58,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62,850.616841.1%69 W · 99 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Hawks52c50,000$26,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,00044352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Hawks52c45,102$23,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,453.0360351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Hawks52c28,846$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,00016640.4%67 W · 99 L-14.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Hawks52c27,579$14,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,341.081,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x287a…7976backed Hawks52c20,713$10,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,770.695754.4%31 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Celtics46c20,044$9,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,747.081,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hawks53c20,000$10,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,507.964,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Hawks54c18,519$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00017251.7%89 W · 83 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e70…f06fbacked Hawks52c14,038$7,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,3006746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Hawks55c12,053$6,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,614.3524045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Hawks52c11,065$5,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,753.848352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Hawks52c10,481$5,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,45041649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x906f…88b4backed Hawks57c9,900$5,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,611.5522453.1%119 W · 105 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Hawks54c9,323$5,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,034.4211335.4%40 W · 73 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Hawks52c8,843$4,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,598.2218749.2%92 W · 95 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Hawks52c8,654$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,50016249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Hawks52c8,045$4,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,184.5337747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Celtics46c7,630$3,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,119.9687144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Hawks52c6,666$3,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,466.3274748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Hawks52c6,065$3,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,153.5717850%89 W · 89 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f6e…84b4backed Hawks52c5,903$3,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,069.465349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Hawks52c5,769$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00038750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Hawks52c5,608$2,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,915.9917550.9%89 W · 86 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Hawks52c5,404$2,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8101,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Celtics39c5,293$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,223.478,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…fb34backed Hawks52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Hawks52c4,544$2,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,363.012,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21d4…84bdbacked Hawks54c4,340$2,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,343.547850%39 W · 39 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Hawks52c4,231$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20014251.4%73 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Hawks52c4,120$2,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,142.430446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d4…ad01backed Celtics48c3,952$1,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,054.919558.9%56 W · 39 L+13.3wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+27.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hawks52c3,637$1,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,881.964,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb091…040dbacked Hawks52c2,885$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Hawks52c2,687$1,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,39718241.2%75 W · 107 L-17.6wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Hawks52c2,471$1,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,284.8736351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c1…5d15backed Hawks52c2,357$1,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225.7130%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Hawks52c2,310$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,201.22,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Celtics45c2,278$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,255.658740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Hawks52c2,212$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,150.2427455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Celtics47c2,100$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,110.531,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Hawks52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04014245.8%65 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x45b0…4857backed Hawks52c1,930$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.62157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Hawks52c1,921$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020963.2%132 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe156…134bbacked Hawks54c1,836$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011235.7%40 W · 72 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Hawks53c1,573$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.4933945.1%153 W · 186 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Hawks39c1,546$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.43,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Hawks52c1,538$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.762,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Hawks52c1,520$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.6649249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Hawks53c1,500$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.8469149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Hawks52c1,259$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.623,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Celtics47c1,244$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.6811543.5%50 W · 65 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Hawks54c1,200$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.9613857.2%79 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Hawks55c1,110$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.526553.2%141 W · 124 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Celtics47c1,087$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.446,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Hawks52c1,058$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55087453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked Celtics48c1,050$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54620651.5%106 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Hawks55c1,043$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.342,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Hawks5c975.72$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1526337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76e0…a0ccbacked Hawks52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Hawks52c927$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.0419745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Hawks52c899.91$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.9580737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Celtics49c893.88$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.8823845%107 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Hawks35c818.84$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.552,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbbd…d6f0backed Hawks62c788.71$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4897248.6%35 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8778…83b5backed Celtics49c683.63$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.658653.5%46 W · 40 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Celtics58c681.36$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.182,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ba9…4fa1backed Hawks52c651.47$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.7615353.6%82 W · 71 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Hawks52c600$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31225155%138 W · 113 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Celtics44c589.79$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.5947436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfb3…f4f6backed Hawks51c585.96$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.03475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+49%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Celtics45c578.51$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.3322140.7%90 W · 131 L+0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x026c…8d76backed Celtics46c545$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.36946.4%32 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Celtics43c533.56$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.8995047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Hawks52c525$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27315240.8%62 W · 90 L-12.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e6a…a249backed Celtics47c499.99$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2651560%9 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Celtics46c498.73$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.3944551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Hawks45c486$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.71,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d46…3248backed Hawks13c474$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.884746.8%22 W · 25 L+6.5wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+81.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0556…132abacked Celtics46c460$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.49346.2%43 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Celtics37c452.28$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.714,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Hawks45c443.96$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20065649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Hawks52c441.9$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.7930453.3%162 W · 142 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Celtics47c438.41$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.541449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed Hawks54c431.87$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.2114152.5%74 W · 67 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Celtics45c422.81$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.2356447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Celtics46c422.76$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.292,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe940…624dbacked Celtics49c406.03$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.61181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.6wins+0.33per pick49cpaid+86.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2c1b…7768backed Hawks52c403.88$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.3727645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf16…65a6backed Celtics50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20025753.7%138 W · 119 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x300b…e032backed Hawks52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019045.8%87 W · 103 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2c7…2e93backed Hawks53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021152.6%111 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Hawks53c377$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.8123553.6%126 W · 109 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Celtics45c347.68$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.875,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcd8…9908backed Hawks52c337.79$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.6522552.4%118 W · 107 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Hawks52c321.84$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.6591746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Celtics45c317.32$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.461,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0439…3f80backed Celtics47c315.96$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.468742.5%37 W · 50 L-7.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8fc1…cd9fbacked Hawks53c299.52$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.991136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.