NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fbd674a3f98558c34b26ae304c067aa0160d7f3445cc1fda93147a0435a79f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,882
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over | 56c | 1,364$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 1,349$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.36 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 41c | 816.9$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.87 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Under | 45c | 710.91$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.37 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 520.49$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.09 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Over | 61c | 438.64$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.72 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…2f90backed Over | 61c | 408.11$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 46c | 310.13$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.58 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 56c | 270$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 249 | 55.8%139 W · 110 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09c7…66e4backed Over | 48c | 245$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.7 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -6.7wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 44c | 234.5$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.01 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 13c | 221.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x315d…b420backed Over | 72c | 209.04$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d46…3248backed Over | 7c | 207$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +6.5wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Over | 8c | 199.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 302 | 24.8%75 W · 227 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed Over | 56c | 179.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.41 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…2ee3backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 44c | 173.98$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.1 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Under | 32c | 168.76$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.17 | 208 | 37.5%78 W · 130 L | +38.2wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 41c | 160.34$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.13 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 42c | 153.2$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.31 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b01…75dfbacked Over | 55c | 152.53$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.68 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 150.13$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.54 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Over | 57c | 150$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 384 | 64.3%247 W · 137 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 43c | 143$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.23 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x199f…7e77backed Over | 57c | 140.7$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…b58ebacked Over | 56c | 126.79$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 107 | 25.2%27 W · 80 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 56c | 111$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4692…0feebacked Over | 56c | 110.16$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.69 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -6.8wins | -0.26per pick | 57cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8e…d985backed Over | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -78%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Over | 57c | 99.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 633 | 53.1%336 W · 297 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 40c | 97.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.46 | 221 | 40.7%90 W · 131 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 96.51$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 58c | 96.47$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.85 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Under | 43c | 96$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.72 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 43c | 88.68$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.95 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 48c | 82.37$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.53 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Over | 24c | 78.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Under | 37c | 75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 330 | 30.9%102 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under | 40c | 73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.95 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…abcbbacked Over | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 42c | 61.49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.66 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x069a…1dc4backed Over | 54c | 59.83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f3…685cbacked Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa7…d4febacked Over | 60c | 49.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb44…71dfbacked Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec3b…fbabbacked Over | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 58c | 42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 40c | 40.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.35 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Under | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 455 | 44.8%204 W · 251 L | +21.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e68…75bbbacked Over | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 42c | 36.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…dab7backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x353f…bdd4backed Over | 58c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8661…4378backed Over | 61c | 34.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -5.6wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb712…7bf2backed Over | 54c | 33.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…3243backed Over | 57c | 31.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 42c | 31.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f3…7ccbbacked Under | 43c | 29.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 47c | 29.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…dd5abacked Over | 58c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Under | 56c | 26.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 405 | 48.6%197 W · 208 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeed1…0d39backed Over | 58c | 26.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14d1…c2a1backed Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.42per pick | 54cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcd…74c6backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff8…9d2dbacked Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.33per pick | 55cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x28fe…d2edbacked Over | 56c | 19.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…1013backed Over | 66c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 67c | 15.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-3.5)Hawks won
- Derrick White: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Derrick White: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Dyson Daniels: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Hawks vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Hawks vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Hawks vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 218.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 226.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 227.5Under won
- Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Neemias Queta: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Celtics (-4.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.