NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 226.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd08be6725f61007ab78ad03377d923ec17c4fc7363b7114221c46fdf844e3f1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,819
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,466
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,819 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Under | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Under | 49c | 8,907$4,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,528.48 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 51c | 7,983$4,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,071.32 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Over | 47c | 4,307$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5907…86f1backed Under | 50c | 2,917$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6478…38b4backed Under | 50c | 2,615$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Over | 47c | 2,602$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.23 | 277 | 35%97 W · 180 L | -30.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Over | 47c | 2,480$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.6 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…e6eabacked Over | 50c | 2,370$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ca…48b5backed Over | 50c | 2,216$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5891…9b8fbacked Over | 50c | 2,147$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x069d…19d2backed Under | 50c | 1,951$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5765…d478backed Over | 50c | 1,716$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab27…0a14backed Over | 50c | 1,418$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 53c | 1,388$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.34 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d37…2f62backed Under | 50c | 1,364$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b6…0fbabacked Over | 50c | 1,248$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a32…e2b3backed Under | 50c | 1,150$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89fc…80b7backed Under | 50c | 1,116$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 48c | 1,080$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.8 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Over | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef99…ef8dbacked Over | 50c | 671.42$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.71 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Over | 48c | 558$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.44 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 52c | 555$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.8 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 552.23$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.77 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…3f72backed Over | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Over | 47c | 465.96$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa04…796bbacked Under | 52c | 434.07$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.73 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6abc…bd1bbacked Under | 52c | 308.36$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.36 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x242f…fe5fbacked Under | 58c | 293.1$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.1 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 49c | 200.5$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.26 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c8…04febacked Under | 50c | 195.75$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.88 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 52c | 170$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 43c | 149.65$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.09 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…1436backed Under | 49c | 143$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.93 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 53c | 129.53$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.98 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 48c | 123.41$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.24 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09c0…9740backed Under | 54c | 103.3$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.92 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x514e…a604backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 48c | 92.73$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.53 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd13…62fbbacked Over | 47c | 75.41$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.56 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce5…af2ebacked Over | 47c | 71.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.46 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 47c | 62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fa…b505backed Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa09e…9368backed Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5b…f5e7backed Over | 51c | 56.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 34c | 46.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6276…7f2ebacked Under | 74c | 39.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 191 | 66.5%127 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba00…747cbacked Over | 50c | 36.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…1013backed Over | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x479a…f7f1backed Over | 47c | 31.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e2…d6d2backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 47c | 29.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc951…51a8backed Over | 51c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbef4…8244backed Over | 51c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa7…d4febacked Under | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd650…8d74backed Under | 65c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 85 | 71.8%61 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 226.5this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-3.5)Hawks won
- Derrick White: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Derrick White: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Dyson Daniels: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Hawks vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Hawks vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Hawks vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 218.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 227.5Under won
- Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Neemias Queta: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Celtics (-4.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.