TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hawks vs. Celtics: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Hawksof Hawks, Celtics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,702
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,312

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,702 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Hawks64c853.13$543 inWon+$310.035,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Celtics58c578.21$337 inLost-$336.92,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x692e…ee58backed Celtics29c522.31$149 inLost-$14917428.2%49 W · 125 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x258f…4493backed Celtics40c450$180 inLost-$180922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-56%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Hawks42c424.55$178 inWon+$246.2428657.3%164 W · 122 L+1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Hawks41c153.66$63 inWon+$90.6626545.3%120 W · 145 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Hawks17c150$26 inWon+$124.550651.2%259 W · 247 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Celtics43c132.38$58 inLost-$57.551,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Celtics38c78.96$30 inLost-$30.331,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x12c4…ff8cbacked Hawks43c58.37$25 inWon+$33.3715245.4%69 W · 83 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Hawks40c50$20 inWon+$3093145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30f4…8c1ebacked Hawks66c50$33 inWon+$175759.6%34 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b50…c7ebbacked Celtics60c50$30 inLost-$301070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+58.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Celtics57c45.25$26 inLost-$25.792,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbf0…4046backed Hawks66c40$26 inWon+$13.88164.2%52 W · 29 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc57f…cfffbacked Hawks79c27.7$22 inWon+$5.821070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+24.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7346…5cf8backed Hawks73c21.15$16 inWon+$5.624254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f8d…a19bbacked Hawks77c20$15 inWon+$4.63751.4%19 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.