Tennis · resolved market
BNP Paribas Open: Reilly Opelka vs Ethan Quinn
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9fc4cab7fb2ad80e1e5d78a888f88095b14c24ff5dc096ddc5532ffe0a3c4b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Reilly Opelkaof Reilly Opelka, Ethan Quinn
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $208,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $208,465 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Ethan Quinn | 50c | 19,272$9,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,611 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Reilly Opelka | 56c | 15,538$8,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,819.8 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Ethan Quinn | 42c | 12,605$5,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,321 | 183 | 37.7%69 W · 114 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Ethan Quinn | 43c | 9,209$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 440 | 38.4%169 W · 271 L | -27.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Reilly Opelka | 50c | 7,598$3,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,798.93 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Reilly Opelka | 51c | 7,589$3,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,755.43 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8234…37b6backed Ethan Quinn | 53c | 7,442$3,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,956.62 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Reilly Opelka | 73c | 6,300$4,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.72 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Reilly Opelka | 48c | 5,341$2,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,763.17 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Ethan Quinn | 56c | 4,989$2,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,794.1 | 246 | 43.9%108 W · 138 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2301…c95fbacked Reilly Opelka | 54c | 4,956$2,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,273.08 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Ethan Quinn | 58c | 4,317$2,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,503.72 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…412ebacked Ethan Quinn | 27c | 3,371$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 134 | 39.6%53 W · 81 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Reilly Opelka | 59c | 3,116$1,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.52 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ethan Quinn | 35c | 2,907$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.91 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfb…9c40backed Reilly Opelka | 45c | 2,380$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.98 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…71b4backed Reilly Opelka | 52c | 2,330$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.93 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Reilly Opelka | 53c | 2,056$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.72 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b96…b053backed Ethan Quinn | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Reilly Opelka | 63c | 1,895$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.83 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Ethan Quinn | 38c | 1,733$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.8 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…8189backed Reilly Opelka | 46c | 1,535$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Reilly Opelka | 78c | 1,500$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Ethan Quinn | 55c | 1,452$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.81 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ceb…68e3backed Reilly Opelka | 79c | 1,375$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.81 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Ethan Quinn | 5c | 1,316$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.73 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d3…c2f0backed Reilly Opelka | 79c | 1,206$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.25 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | -27.7wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Reilly Opelka | 69c | 1,177$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.26 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Ethan Quinn | 7c | 1,058$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.08 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f10…c927backed Ethan Quinn | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Reilly Opelka | 45c | 999.61$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.79 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Ethan Quinn | 27c | 997.65$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.11 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Ethan Quinn | 26c | 961.54$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Reilly Opelka | 44c | 909.04$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.06 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Reilly Opelka | 44c | 900$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…c866backed Reilly Opelka | 50c | 819$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…838fbacked Ethan Quinn | 50c | 819$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Reilly Opelka | 50c | 809.8$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.27 | 175 | 52.6%92 W · 83 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Reilly Opelka | 56c | 790.9$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.14 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Reilly Opelka | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 386 | 52.3%202 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f2…a822backed Reilly Opelka | 50c | 752$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…22d6backed Reilly Opelka | 67c | 731.28$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.32 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Reilly Opelka | 46c | 717.87$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.84 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Ethan Quinn | 40c | 680.82$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.55 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Reilly Opelka | 50c | 664.78$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Reilly Opelka | 73c | 639.64$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.9 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Reilly Opelka | 73c | 600$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 600 | 55.7%334 W · 266 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35ea…99bcbacked Reilly Opelka | 48c | 582.53$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.17 | 240 | 60.8%146 W · 94 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Ethan Quinn | 41c | 567.66$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.3 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Ethan Quinn | 54c | 562.78$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.9 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Ethan Quinn | 52c | 545.25$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.56 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ethan Quinn | 50c | 488.77$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.92 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Reilly Opelka | 45c | 478.98$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.12 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Reilly Opelka | 45c | 471.38$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.42 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Ethan Quinn | 55c | 447.27$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…69f2backed Reilly Opelka | 46c | 438.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.74 | 311 | 46%143 W · 168 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Ethan Quinn | 48c | 424.49$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.14 | 254 | 33.5%85 W · 169 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…a488backed Reilly Opelka | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Ethan Quinn | 54c | 414.74$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.98 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Reilly Opelka | 45c | 403.7$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.09 | 485 | 52.8%256 W · 229 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…9f40backed Ethan Quinn | 56c | 392.86$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Reilly Opelka | 57c | 349.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.7 | 706 | 52.7%372 W · 334 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b64…a351backed Ethan Quinn | 55c | 334.55$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 352 | 68.2%240 W · 112 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Reilly Opelka | 76c | 313.16$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.16 | 503 | 64.6%325 W · 178 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Reilly Opelka | 52c | 308.25$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.96 | 799 | 51.1%408 W · 391 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Reilly Opelka | 66c | 304.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.1 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Ethan Quinn | 24c | 297.6$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.78 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…4392backed Reilly Opelka | 40c | 281.63$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.98 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Reilly Opelka | 45c | 265$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.75 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Reilly Opelka | 49c | 255.87$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.87 | 245 | 60%147 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Reilly Opelka | 49c | 244$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.92 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Reilly Opelka | 45c | 226.67$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.67 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97a0…da35backed Reilly Opelka | 44c | 225.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.97 | 479 | 46.3%222 W · 257 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Reilly Opelka | 44c | 220.57$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.52 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Reilly Opelka | 45c | 220.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.03 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Ethan Quinn | 50c | 220$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.8 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Ethan Quinn | 48c | 219.32$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.92 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Reilly Opelka | 50c | 217.49$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.4 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Ethan Quinn | 54c | 217.39$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.39 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fb…5623backed Reilly Opelka | 68c | 204.88$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Ethan Quinn | 42c | 202.63$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8612…6a0abacked Reilly Opelka | 50c | 201.4$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.7 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Ethan Quinn | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 273 | 44.7%122 W · 151 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Ethan Quinn | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…61c5backed Reilly Opelka | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Reilly Opelka | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 1,026 | 50%513 W · 513 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Ethan Quinn | 56c | 187$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.57 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Reilly Opelka | 54c | 186.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.76 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Ethan Quinn | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Ethan Quinn | 52c | 176$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.52 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Ethan Quinn | 53c | 175$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.75 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Ethan Quinn | 51c | 172.24$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.37 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed Reilly Opelka | 60c | 161.03$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Reilly Opelka | 47c | 159$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.27 | 552 | 41.3%228 W · 324 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc63d…a59bbacked Reilly Opelka | 51c | 156.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.59 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Ethan Quinn | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 389 | 51.9%202 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…3ee9backed Reilly Opelka | 48c | 150$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 119 | 61.3%73 W · 46 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…5c9fbacked Reilly Opelka | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 158 | 48.7%77 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Reilly Opelka | 45c | 138$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.1 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3d…7a79backed Ethan Quinn | 51c | 135.29$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BNP Paribas Open: Reilly Opelka vs Ethan Quinnthis page
- Opelka vs. Quinn: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Opelka vs. Quinn: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Opelka vs QuinnOpelka won
- Set Handicap: Quinn (-1.5) vs Opelka (+1.5)Opelka won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.