TailMyPicks
Market

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-03-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$557,529

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $557,529 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8f03…64d6backed No49c238,214$115,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122,575.311770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+39.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes52c236,526$122,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122,740.511464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+32.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed Yes51c119,969$61,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61,047.53875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+38%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No48c62,580$30,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,556.7198844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No48c41,646$19,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,798.0914755.1%81 W · 66 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd29…77aebacked Yes51c32,632$16,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,599.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed No49c21,020$10,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,720.23844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc43…96d3backed Yes52c19,959$10,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,378.7530%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x43b6…9a9bbacked No41c16,028$6,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,535.59757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+33%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes53c12,006$6,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,385.332835.7%10 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked No48c7,020$3,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,650.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+45.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe501…5c4fbacked No49c5,940$2,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,029.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No48c5,542$2,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,880.9743748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No26c5,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,70012055%66 W · 54 L+12.6wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+29.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfabc…2134backed Yes52c3,700$1,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,923.8814060.7%85 W · 55 L+19.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+31%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No48c3,659$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,918.764355.8%24 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes65c3,166$2,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,055.0746644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No48c2,625$1,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,368.3522652.7%119 W · 107 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc2c1…9fe2backed No50c2,273$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,129.182100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+63.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed No48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked No48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0409336.6%34 W · 59 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No39c1,902$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,167.1147850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e09…0901backed No50c1,251$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.85475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+31.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No13c1,250$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,082.465119.6%10 W · 41 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick15cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed No43c1,170$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.378139.5%32 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No48c1,155$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.0316858.3%98 W · 70 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No48c1,126$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.326453.1%34 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Yes46c1,117$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5152025%5 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed No49c1,069$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.227048.6%34 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca38…720fbacked Yes51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick46cpaid-64.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked No38c977.35$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.886129.5%18 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed No37c975.11$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+43.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed No50c916.49$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.251060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked No48c735.9$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.291752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes71c713.21$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick42cpaid-74.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes52c700$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3641050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No48c699.98$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.991163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No48c633.91$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.699257.6%53 W · 39 L+10.1wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+33.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No46c609$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.865558.2%32 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf3d…fd74backed No49c545.89$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.4450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed No47c536$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.642650%13 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25510160.4%61 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No27c500$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.54928.6%14 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+47.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34f6…eab4backed No20c500$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+89.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed No26c467.65$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.185129.4%15 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4068…aeb1backed No48c430$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes67c408.08$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.6423551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ab0…ddd0backed Yes75c402.43$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300520%1 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.43per pick63cpaid-70.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8bc2…7ed7backed Yes75c400$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe44c…f15cbacked No49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Yes53c400$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2121154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+47.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x549e…c680backed Yes53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes74c375.02$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.4714047.1%66 W · 74 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No26c369.82$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.934454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes30c359.93$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.6810633%35 W · 71 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No31c331.01$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.6124732.4%80 W · 167 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes49c306.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504845.8%22 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+28.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ea1…f17ebacked Yes6c300$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed Yes75c295.5$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.41020%2 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-66.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf34f…4d6ebacked Yes51c274.51$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No48c264.47$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.610857.4%62 W · 46 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes52c250$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes69c225$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.7528659.4%170 W · 116 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No16c220$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.354647.8%22 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed No48c201$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.523354.5%18 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x02b1…c764backed Yes76c200$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aef…f8dfbacked No26c199.97$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.981266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+74.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No49c199.08$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.538747.1%41 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005048%24 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007833.3%26 W · 52 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes49c188.46$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.3513243.2%57 W · 75 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x447d…bd4abacked No27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.191250%6 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bea…038ebacked Yes10c175.42$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.250%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No48c172.19$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.2311057.3%63 W · 47 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No48c170.18$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6911752.1%61 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc13…5eb6backed Yes74c162.16$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed No48c161.91$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.192748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed No50c157.81$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.961428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No49c149.65$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.713050%15 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No48c143$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.362948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed No48c138.37$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.952755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76a0…fb5bbacked Yes74c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Yes51c128.51$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.542259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No49c126.5$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.02666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+41.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Yes80c125$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No49c123$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.8514843.9%65 W · 83 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No49c120.18$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.7930055.3%166 W · 134 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e0b…d6c6backed No49c111.45$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked No51c110.97$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.669065.6%59 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick65cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed No49c109.43$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.811275%9 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+36.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5210…2037backed No49c109.39$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.79366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+23.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed No49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.042454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd5…11bbbacked No50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x389c…9a68backed Yes74c100$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ca7…0c48backed No47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+47.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515935.6%21 W · 38 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7bc5…4626backed Yes75c100$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick34cpaid+1.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed No50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+29.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511020%2 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-41.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.