Australian A League · resolved market
Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-03-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8488f8085ded28a5bbec48463b9ec5ac389bc959ceeeac1bb586bc527324a42f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,501
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,501 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5016…58e4backed Yes | 15c | 4,646$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.89 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf424…ef50backed Yes | 0c | 2,410$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed No | 78c | 2,281$1,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 17c | 2,110$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.7 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 24c | 2,083$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed No | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…cea5backed Yes | 1c | 1,297$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 23c | 1,199$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.77 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 22c | 1,041$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.75 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed No | 77c | 1,033$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.59 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x549e…c680backed Yes | 23c | 769.57$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 21c | 712.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.62 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 9c | 642.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.54 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Yes | 2c | 501.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes | 5c | 399.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5eb6backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 74c | 358$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.23 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 19c | 344.65$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…b422backed Yes | 9c | 337.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…431dbacked Yes | 23c | 269.57$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes | 24c | 209.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 42cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…b7debacked Yes | 24c | 209.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…2222backed Yes | 9c | 161.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed Yes | 24c | 157.79$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 76c | 143.46$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.43 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed No | 78c | 128$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 77c | 105$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed Yes | 21c | 97.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4929…b9f9backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c78…aad1backed Yes | 24c | 83.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3af…2c0abacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 76c | 75.58$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…e929backed Yes | 24c | 63.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 75c | 61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 23c | 60.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Yes | 25c | 60.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 79c | 58.06$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +10.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 22c | 56.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 24c | 54.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba6…2a7ebacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…22b6backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 74c | 44.02$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 147 | 55.1%81 W · 66 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 74c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed No | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…c558backed No | 77c | 32.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…0901backed No | 76c | 27.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked No | 78c | 25.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefd3…83d5backed No | 80c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 77cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd83…632fbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-03-22?this page
- Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-03-22?No won
- Will Perth Glory FC vs. Melbourne City FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.