NHL · resolved market
Flyers vs. Sharks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x088c589df54ea087b3117cd89737153b53a91175bf27d5970869be5c4ecca8f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flyersof Flyers, Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $685,930
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $685,930 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 446 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Sharks | 53c | 219,167$115,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115,658.45 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Flyers | 47c | 184,028$87,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96,768.66 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Flyers | 48c | 69,995$33,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,597.2 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84af…9e87backed Sharks | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Flyers | 47c | 43,206$20,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,899.38 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Flyers | 47c | 43,206$20,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,899.18 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Sharks | 54c | 36,072$19,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,350.93 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…999ebacked Sharks | 52c | 29,914$15,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,555.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Flyers | 46c | 29,680$13,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,880.2 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Sharks | 53c | 17,036$9,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,029.06 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Flyers | 47c | 16,858$7,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,917.64 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Sharks | 52c | 16,103$8,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,363.26 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Flyers | 61c | 15,034$9,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,825.36 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Sharks | 50c | 13,668$6,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,772.53 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Sharks | 53c | 11,000$5,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,829.97 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Sharks | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Flyers | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed Sharks | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ebf…3b02backed Flyers | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,299.96 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Sharks | 16c | 8,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 128 | 38.3%49 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6f…ce60backed Flyers | 47c | 7,560$3,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,006.8 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sharks | 52c | 7,042$3,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,662.09 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Flyers | 47c | 6,500$3,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,445 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x656f…76b9backed Sharks | 52c | 6,477$3,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,368.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…53a1backed Flyers | 47c | 5,319$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.15 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…b4a7backed Flyers | 47c | 4,731$2,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,507.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Sharks | 53c | 4,422$2,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,343.66 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Flyers | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.32 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Sharks | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,119.98 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Flyers | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.97 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Sharks | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.92 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Flyers | 46c | 3,545$1,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,914.13 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Flyers | 47c | 3,500$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Flyers | 48c | 3,333$1,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,744.27 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Flyers | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Flyers | 47c | 3,020$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.6 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Flyers | 48c | 3,008$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.33 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Flyers | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Flyers | 49c | 2,956$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,518.86 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Flyers | 47c | 2,800$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.99 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Sharks | 52c | 2,620$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.4 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Sharks | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Flyers | 71c | 2,445$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.63 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Sharks | 16c | 2,389$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.41 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Sharks | 52c | 2,346$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.48 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Flyers | 65c | 2,262$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.66 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Sharks | 51c | 2,225$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.92 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Sharks | 30c | 2,176$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.84 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Flyers | 47c | 2,120$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.6 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Flyers | 47c | 2,120$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.54 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3233…a4ddbacked Flyers | 47c | 2,088$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.65 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Flyers | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.94 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Sharks | 53c | 1,890$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Flyers | 48c | 1,875$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8946…aa24backed Flyers | 47c | 1,825$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.25 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Flyers | 47c | 1,795$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.03 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Sharks | 52c | 1,794$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.93 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d0…9b55backed Flyers | 48c | 1,788$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.68 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…a992backed Sharks | 17c | 1,765$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Flyers | 79c | 1,763$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.97 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Sharks | 52c | 1,730$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.78 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Flyers | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.99 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sharks | 21c | 1,483$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.36 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sharks | 52c | 1,452$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.28 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Sharks | 52c | 1,250$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.99 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92e7…87a4backed Flyers | 47c | 1,150$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sharks | 10c | 1,050$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.86 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Sharks | 49c | 1,045$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d0…972cbacked Flyers | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.13 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Flyers | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf05…f8e1backed Sharks | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Sharks | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Sharks | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Flyers | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Flyers | 47c | 999.82$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.9 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa1…2c8abacked Flyers | 47c | 951.06$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df1…6583backed Sharks | 53c | 940$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Sharks | 54c | 930$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.2 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Flyers | 47c | 923$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.19 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Flyers | 69c | 875.6$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.52 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Sharks | 25c | 865.18$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.11 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Flyers | 48c | 850$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69d9…9881backed Sharks | 53c | 837.74$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 306 | 57.8%177 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa70b…7a8abacked Flyers | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.33 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…e27fbacked Flyers | 47c | 833$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.49 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3c…28a2backed Sharks | 54c | 805.5$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.97 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Flyers | 47c | 794.54$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.11 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Flyers | 48c | 779.91$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.55 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Sharks | 52c | 700$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Sharks | 52c | 674.57$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.03 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f3…e4a1backed Flyers | 48c | 660$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.2 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Flyers | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Flyers | 46c | 634$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.36 | 339 | 41.3%140 W · 199 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…ffcabacked Flyers | 48c | 626$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.52 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Sharks | 52c | 619.24$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.01 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Flyers | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Flyers | 47c | 600$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbc…8a18backed Flyers | 47c | 597$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.41 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Sharks | 52c | 571.48$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 369 | 48%177 W · 192 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…5c69backed Flyers | 79c | 563.98$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.86 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flyers vs. Sharksthis page
- Flyers vs. Sharks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Flyers vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5Under won
- Flyers vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Flyers (-1.5)Flyers won
- Spread: Sharks (-1.5)Flyers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.