NHL · resolved market
Flyers vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60eac6ad375a86e5fdf6c802c7f5a6c927c3255619380299e623cfecc2ffd3ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,366
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,366 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 45c | 23,914$10,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,082.91 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 46c | 12,045$5,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,504.03 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 54c | 12,000$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Over | 54c | 6,540$3,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,531.6 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 45c | 5,717$2,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,144.26 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed Over | 55c | 4,356$2,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,395.6 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Over | 55c | 4,318$2,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,375 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 55c | 4,089$2,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,248.95 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 3,543$1,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,888.14 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 57c | 2,530$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 39c | 2,505$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.05 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 45c | 1,967$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.1 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…aedfbacked Over | 55c | 1,900$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 55c | 1,500$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 45c | 1,364$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.08 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 46c | 1,204$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.38 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Under | 45c | 1,087$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.85 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 45c | 831$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.05 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 55c | 750$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.5 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 39c | 366.61$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.56 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed Over | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…b93dbacked Over | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Over | 55c | 260$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 347 | 52.4%182 W · 165 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Over | 54c | 183.48$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.08 | 175 | 53.1%93 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Under | 48c | 170.46$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Over | 55c | 163.64$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Over | 54c | 160$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 53c | 150.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.58 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked Over | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked Under | 46c | 134$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.36 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 55c | 130$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 43c | 120.27$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.55 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7583…0469backed Over | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Under | 47c | 106.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.6 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over | 56c | 103$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.68 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 54c | 100.79$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.81 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…39e2backed Under | 46c | 96$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Under | 46c | 96$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Over | 54c | 92.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 72c | 91.52$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…776ebacked Over | 55c | 83.44$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.89 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x902f…fb2dbacked Under | 45c | 82.22$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.92 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Under | 45c | 79$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Under | 78c | 64.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 37c | 59.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 71c | 57.55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Under | 46c | 53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 43c | 51.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 53c | 45.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0893…c760backed Under | 46c | 40.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7397…05babacked Under | 46c | 39.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +44%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc03a…d7c4backed Over | 56c | 37.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9401…38cbbacked Over | 54c | 37.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…bcabbacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 69c | 35.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…20e9backed Under | 45c | 31.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Under | 46c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 152 | 48%73 W · 79 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 44c | 26.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5a…724cbacked Over | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flyers vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5this page
- Flyers vs. SharksFlyers won
- Flyers vs. Sharks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Flyers vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Flyers (-1.5)Flyers won
- Spread: Sharks (-1.5)Flyers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.