NHL · resolved market
Flyers vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2de47bf479f9180e3083463b76c177158462b0b67d025d156067f8bad012dc7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $272,620
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $272,620 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Under | 58c | 224,201$129,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94,221.78 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 42c | 100,000$42,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,000 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 42c | 95,478$40,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,120.25 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 43c | 17,000$7,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,300 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 57c | 15,558$8,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,690.09 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 58c | 12,000$6,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,040 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 56c | 9,900$5,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,356 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 42c | 9,545$4,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,040.76 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Over | 43c | 8,000$3,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,440 | 128 | 38.3%49 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Over | 43c | 6,467$2,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,780.81 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 42c | 5,112$2,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,122.32 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 42c | 4,907$2,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,085.35 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Over | 42c | 3,454$1,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.64 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.99 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5f…ced0backed Over | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 42c | 1,800$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.18 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 44c | 1,720$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.59 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Over | 42c | 1,481$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 58c | 1,213$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.38 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Over | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b6…159dbacked Over | 42c | 950.48$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2c…bb26backed Over | 42c | 869.98$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.39 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 44c | 800.8$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.35 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 42c | 759.92$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.09 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 42c | 752.16$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.15 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 42c | 712.98$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.55 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 42c | 700$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 42c | 557.5$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.15 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 42c | 540.24$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.09 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 43c | 500$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.5 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Over | 44c | 465.12$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.65 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 42c | 455.45$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.29 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Over | 41c | 398.87$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.31 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…776ebacked Over | 42c | 293.93$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.45 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Under | 56c | 290.22$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.7 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…81f7backed Under | 58c | 268.9$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.94 | 276 | 52.2%144 W · 132 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeccd…d100backed Over | 46c | 220$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.99 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Over | 42c | 206.77$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.85 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x642e…063bbacked Over | 43c | 200$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace9…f74abacked Under | 60c | 166.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -10.7wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -13%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…20e9backed Over | 44c | 165.97$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.23 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 43c | 162.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.73 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 55c | 140.4$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.18 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…8ca1backed Under | 58c | 134.43$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.46 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 27c | 134.3$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.61 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 75c | 126.76$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.69 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +195.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Over | 44c | 113.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 42c | 103.22$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.35 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccc1…1b63backed Over | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -5.3wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Under | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4074…6059backed Over | 33c | 84.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…676ebacked Over | 40c | 74.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 45c | 67.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Over | 42c | 63.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 44c | 61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Under | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d651backed Under | 76c | 59.4$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under | 56c | 57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 27c | 56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b22…887fbacked Over | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 48cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a37…180cbacked Under | 58c | 55.55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.28 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 58cpaid | +44%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 33c | 46.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7468…3d24backed Over | 45c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Over | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 44c | 39.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Over | 34c | 34.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 41c | 33.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c38…13b1backed Over | 42c | 33.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -5.9wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7397…05babacked Under | 56c | 32.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +44%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 42c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc03a…d7c4backed Over | 44c | 25.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a8…d8cdbacked Under | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed Over | 44c | 23.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Under | 59c | 22.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cac…988ebacked Under | 76c | 19.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Under | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flyers vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5this page
- Flyers vs. SharksFlyers won
- Flyers vs. Sharks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Flyers vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Flyers (-1.5)Flyers won
- Spread: Sharks (-1.5)Flyers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.