TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,310,152
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,136,895

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,310,152 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 587 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes1c23,707$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.454440.7%3 W · 441 L-0.7wins0.00per pick1cpaid-87.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Yes13c18,198$2,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,416.8425337.2%94 W · 159 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e8b…a8bbbacked Yes2c14,868$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d7e…a7b0backed Yes19c11,151$2,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,151.556346%29 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a86…dea8backed Yes5c9,846$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.348224.7%119 W · 363 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a81…58b0backed Yes9c7,158$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.53300%0 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0b0…a5fbbacked Yes2c7,039$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.211625%4 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc2e…2358backed Yes2c6,767$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.651942.1%8 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3524…812fbacked Yes1c5,788$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-72.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e2a…54a4backed Yes3c4,932$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d65…c752backed Yes3c4,679$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.6920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f7c…cb5fbacked Yes13c4,650$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.952441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f9…1245backed Yes13c4,500$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.9818036.7%66 W · 114 L-0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b1e…592cbacked Yes6c4,317$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x097d…7a5abacked Yes4c4,316$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.9230%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cf7…e62cbacked Yes6c4,283$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.4120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes8c4,269$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.0817037.6%64 W · 106 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes9c4,170$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.193844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-26.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2831…bf88backed Yes3c3,953$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.5930%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dec…2fc3backed Yes6c3,900$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.8550%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca6…8e5ebacked Yes2c3,900$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.6540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick27cpaid-34.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd04…a1dcbacked Yes6c3,823$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa331…7092backed Yes5c3,821$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.26922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+135.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa708…7dc8backed Yes3c3,759$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.33333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-54.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aba…e2c6backed Yes0c3,604$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.511353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31c5…ede4backed Yes12c3,600$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.991533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-49.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes12c3,561$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.1115932.7%52 W · 107 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+102.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64b6…0d78backed Yes6c3,479$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9b9…03b8backed Yes15c3,409$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa3d…8a9fbacked Yes15c3,364$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.1550%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x729d…d851backed Yes6c3,340$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19050%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9305…32aabacked Yes6c3,275$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.9520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa123…e64fbacked Yes2c3,156$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.06633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-48.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85bb…23e4backed Yes6c3,137$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.5420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb227…1f3ebacked Yes6c3,119$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7e0…c1bbbacked Yes20c3,058$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.852254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5128…19e7backed Yes6c3,058$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e7a…8802backed Yes6c2,982$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab55…a1dabacked Yes4c2,932$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes8c2,916$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.347919%15 W · 64 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-46.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5544…c1cabacked Yes6c2,841$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.6220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c67…2710backed Yes6c2,792$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.5230%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50f7…10bdbacked Yes6c2,742$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.7820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf07…c770backed Yes4c2,716$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.771127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick19cpaid+39.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa426…22b1backed Yes3c2,703$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.7920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Yes11c2,669$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.7811741%48 W · 69 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-24.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x57db…66a0backed Yes4c2,666$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.0810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0644…01e3backed Yes4c2,655$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…7426backed Yes6c2,643$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cb0…94c6backed Yes4c2,601$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8369…4cbbbacked Yes6c2,562$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68cf…745dbacked Yes3c2,557$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.4630%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb3b4…d89dbacked Yes8c2,537$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.7630%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaedf…8617backed Yes6c2,533$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.1770%0 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd74b…8039backed Yes6c2,491$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc741…5e35backed Yes6c2,446$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.87250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick4cpaid+1,566.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9151…fd33backed Yes3c2,416$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x382d…7280backed Yes6c2,401$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb62e…8a6bbacked Yes16c2,399$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38540%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9753…5debbacked Yes3c2,394$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb461…a7bebacked Yes3c2,370$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.250%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fda…6c62backed Yes9c2,318$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.361926.3%5 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-26%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x178f…771bbacked Yes4c2,302$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.1710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x097b…1e48backed Yes3c2,299$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.3740%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46e5…5361backed Yes6c2,278$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f59…1456backed Yes4c2,278$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95ce…7417backed Yes2c2,267$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8740%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb1…9f67backed Yes3c2,253$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f0c…e03dbacked Yes6c2,238$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.0420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf4…3263backed Yes6c2,224$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.2220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd80a…35dbbacked Yes15c2,221$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.9520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e32…535bbacked Yes4c2,210$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3528430.3%86 W · 198 L+0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-29.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffd4…474ebacked Yes4c2,204$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9386…b2b7backed Yes4c2,198$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.63633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67ff…d3dabacked Yes3c2,195$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.8510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b7e…f81abacked Yes6c2,187$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13ff…6ec1backed Yes3c2,176$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2830%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ba7…dec0backed Yes1c2,166$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1750%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x82f2…f61dbacked Yes6c2,158$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63a9…c0fcbacked Yes4c2,120$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd848…7498backed Yes6c2,107$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf37…c6ecbacked Yes3c2,104$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe09a…1c8ebacked Yes7c2,095$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x17f0…6c9abacked Yes3c2,080$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.7220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f7a…c5c5backed Yes3c2,076$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.2820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe49b…cf9dbacked Yes6c2,065$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe047…9627backed Yes6c2,050$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f38…74f1backed Yes6c2,028$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d50…61d5backed Yes6c2,008$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5bb…5e61backed Yes3c2,006$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes2c2,000$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.571344.5%6 W · 128 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x179d…079fbacked Yes20c2,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b61…7365backed Yes3c1,998$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x862c…ace6backed Yes3c1,982$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd923…ef6fbacked Yes3c1,977$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9442…734abacked Yes8c1,973$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.62728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac16…fee5backed Yes5c1,969$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5740%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95f8…e66cbacked Yes3c1,955$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.17333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid-48.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39e4…2cfbbacked Yes4c1,927$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3740%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31a0…99f3backed Yes6c1,913$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.8720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.