World Politics · resolved market
Will Alex Vanopslagh be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5216e4e5eca3fad9349a5f85b04bd32d001f0fbba60cb090c45d0c9c4ec2dd21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $729,360
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $534,003
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $729,360 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 28,696$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.49 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 1c | 16,284$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ce…7417backed Yes | 2c | 10,576$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 1c | 9,857$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.26 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2e…2358backed Yes | 1c | 8,710$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.19 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e58…9de4backed Yes | 2c | 8,333$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ae…9d2bbacked Yes | 0c | 7,164$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb62e…8a6bbacked Yes | 1c | 7,142$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fda…6c62backed Yes | 1c | 6,358$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7673…9fc8backed Yes | 1c | 5,822$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4c…60a7backed Yes | 3c | 5,745$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.3 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf07…c770backed Yes | 1c | 5,059$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.05 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 4,649$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 134 | 4.5%6 W · 128 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 5c | 4,581$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.86 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7c…cb5fbacked Yes | 0c | 4,520$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x064d…c104backed Yes | 2c | 4,500$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3717…ae19backed Yes | 3c | 4,187$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b7…8030backed Yes | 1c | 3,882$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -47%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3d…8a9fbacked Yes | 3c | 3,858$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.35 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b68…95efbacked Yes | 3c | 3,752$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc64b…516dbacked Yes | 2c | 3,734$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.07 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0f…006bbacked Yes | 3c | 3,669$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc461…479dbacked Yes | 4c | 3,569$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb329…6bffbacked Yes | 2c | 3,293$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd211…8a43backed Yes | 9c | 3,274$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…a7b0backed Yes | 1c | 3,265$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x535e…5d4bbacked Yes | 3c | 3,035$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba7…dec0backed Yes | 1c | 2,971$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa331…7092backed Yes | 0c | 2,894$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +135.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1d…8b01backed Yes | 4c | 2,793$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 3c | 2,749$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.33 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…51fdbacked Yes | 1c | 2,744$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd6…df61backed Yes | 4c | 2,719$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3524…812fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,565$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa5…8863backed Yes | 6c | 2,522$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…35dbbacked Yes | 8c | 2,503$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 5c | 2,502$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.3 | 167 | 6.6%11 W · 156 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32c…53e2backed Yes | 4c | 2,501$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5330…99cfbacked Yes | 4c | 2,485$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 4c | 2,482$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.75 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +304.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe09a…1c8ebacked Yes | 5c | 2,471$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…c9f3backed Yes | 4c | 2,456$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac6…427dbacked Yes | 4c | 2,455$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91a5…b9f8backed Yes | 7c | 2,419$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b5…1eddbacked Yes | 4c | 2,389$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 5cpaid | +1,349.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d4…1b4abacked Yes | 6c | 2,371$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabc0…e428backed Yes | 5c | 2,265$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…e967backed Yes | 0c | 2,239$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…46f0backed Yes | 7c | 2,188$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…416bbacked Yes | 4c | 2,170$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 5c | 2,165$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.33 | 141 | 26.2%37 W · 104 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x074d…904dbacked Yes | 5c | 2,160$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x030e…1179backed Yes | 7c | 2,102$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8316…e206backed Yes | 4c | 2,078$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…8a93backed Yes | 5c | 2,066$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3f…f43bbacked Yes | 3c | 2,042$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf6…c61bbacked Yes | 5c | 2,030$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aeb…8908backed Yes | 5c | 1,991$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x162e…61e7backed Yes | 5c | 1,982$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x231d…6e56backed Yes | 1c | 1,954$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked Yes | 2c | 1,947$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.17 | 227 | 25.1%57 W · 170 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e0…b25abacked Yes | 2c | 1,881$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ec…02e5backed Yes | 2c | 1,877$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x837d…b746backed Yes | 3c | 1,873$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x613e…c5f8backed Yes | 2c | 1,837$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb04a…0340backed Yes | 1c | 1,787$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6da0…df03backed Yes | 6c | 1,739$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ef…8959backed Yes | 2c | 1,733$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…eff5backed Yes | 2c | 1,728$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1cd…68fdbacked Yes | 3c | 1,718$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 3c | 1,699$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.66 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a0…f9d1backed Yes | 7c | 1,669$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee49…2880backed Yes | 5c | 1,665$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x444c…9d2ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,658$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3254…5219backed Yes | 2c | 1,650$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 4cpaid | +671.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…8e2fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,631$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 7cpaid | +220.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…48f0backed Yes | 3c | 1,628$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 1,627$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…1a70backed Yes | 3c | 1,615$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd7…fe1dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,606$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 1c | 1,597$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 150 | 14%21 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbdb…6935backed Yes | 2c | 1,596$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9268…8cf7backed Yes | 5c | 1,573$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfb…348dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,570$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x798f…277bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,558$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd36a…580ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,544$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…71ffbacked Yes | 6c | 1,544$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9321…9822backed Yes | 4c | 1,515$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5026…a317backed Yes | 6c | 1,511$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d80…66f5backed Yes | 4c | 1,488$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 3c | 1,488$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 135 | 7.4%10 W · 125 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x572b…be9ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,482$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc32c…4007backed Yes | 6c | 1,450$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…c92bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,443$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5814…1ce0backed Yes | 5c | 1,384$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0b…7e3bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,334$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf86…b19dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,301$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.47 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a6…070ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,298$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.91 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2709…b1f1backed Yes | 8c | 1,297$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e8…8b11backed Yes | 3c | 1,293$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alex Vanopslagh be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?this page
- Will Inger Støjberg be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?No won
- Will Lars Boje Mathiesen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?No won
- Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?No won
- Will Martin Lidegaard be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?No won
- Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Yes won
- Will Mona Juul be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?No won
- Will Morten Messerschmidt be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?No won
- Will Pelle Dragsted be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?No won
- Will Pia Olsen Dyhr be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?No won
- Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.