TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,152,298
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,969,684

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,152,298 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 804 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3a86…dea8backed Yes6c33,440$2,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,097.148224.7%119 W · 363 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e0…1120backed Yes5c18,083$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc2e…2358backed Yes2c15,397$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.111942.1%8 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes5c14,032$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.147919%15 W · 64 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-46.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes4c11,149$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.884440.7%3 W · 441 L-0.7wins0.00per pick1cpaid-87.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa3d…8a9fbacked Yes3c10,364$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.0150%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f53…0c97backed Yes3c9,285$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95ce…7417backed Yes4c8,901$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.5140%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f67…2f3dbacked Yes6c8,605$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa123…e64fbacked Yes6c8,011$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.27633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-48.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x729d…d851backed Yes5c7,980$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.350%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd04…dda0backed Yes4c6,954$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.97742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick34cpaid-15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb62e…8a6bbacked Yes10c5,630$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55040%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbce3…4793backed Yes6c5,292$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.1420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf07…c770backed Yes7c5,282$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.541127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick19cpaid+39.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3524…812fbacked Yes5c5,156$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.69520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-72.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes4c4,930$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.596883.6%25 W · 663 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-59.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7d2…3ce6backed Yes9c4,582$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03e9…52a8backed Yes4c4,377$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e3c…da97backed Yes6c4,350$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaedf…8617backed Yes6c4,331$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25070%0 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x22ca…7807backed Yes3c4,063$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e60…908bbacked Yes6c4,043$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.5820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e01…787fbacked Yes6c3,972$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac16…fee5backed Yes5c3,879$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc7f…888cbacked Yes6c3,861$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce4b…2389backed Yes4c3,817$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.7930%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f7c…cb5fbacked Yes7c3,731$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.692441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7673…9fc8backed Yes5c3,719$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.9230%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34b5…b334backed Yes6c3,650$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb50b…d661backed Yes3c3,462$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.0120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74b3…05e3backed Yes6c3,428$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c93…be13backed Yes6c3,426$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x173c…7d05backed Yes6c3,403$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31ba…dce0backed Yes9c3,364$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce8b…d839backed Yes5c3,340$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a65…cad7backed Yes6c3,284$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0e0…4815backed Yes3c3,240$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bb0…c0a0backed Yes6c3,195$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e8d…b124backed Yes5c3,181$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e4c…60a7backed Yes5c3,175$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.9570%0 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e55…b29dbacked Yes9c3,171$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6af1…dd4dbacked Yes6c3,146$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.4720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8652…2e25backed Yes9c3,063$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick6cpaid+1,566.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb4b…c72abacked Yes6c3,045$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick8cpaid+410.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc519…c2d9backed Yes10c3,021$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2068…9f2ebacked Yes3c2,996$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.4930%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1222…9a13backed Yes7c2,983$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99b1…2f62backed Yes3c2,923$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.6930%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1293…32b5backed Yes10c2,906$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.55911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-82.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdeb6…2db2backed Yes6c2,903$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2da…fb05backed Yes3c2,894$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f68…8926backed Yes6c2,864$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.6420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x530e…2da6backed Yes3c2,852$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bf3…72e9backed Yes4c2,852$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc75e…6f4ebacked Yes5c2,819$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2905…2affbacked Yes3c2,797$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12ba…0d17backed Yes6c2,793$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb89d…2da3backed Yes5c2,739$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aae…bc6dbacked Yes6c2,712$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.72333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick6cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb10…9ae8backed Yes3c2,700$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48bf…e96bbacked Yes6c2,680$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89ec…bbd6backed Yes6c2,663$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes3c2,663$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.171,43110.1%145 W · 1,286 L-4.9wins0.00per pick10cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d1f…2ffbbacked Yes6c2,642$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0133…f5a1backed Yes9c2,618$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4e4…9803backed Yes6c2,596$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7aa…afe8backed Yes6c2,588$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6655…4e8abacked Yes7c2,587$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce6d…e1fcbacked Yes3c2,553$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb257…2492backed Yes2c2,545$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5ae…8989backed Yes9c2,542$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick6cpaid+1,566.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0005…e672backed Yes9c2,541$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc47f…dc26backed Yes5c2,526$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3944…d633backed Yes4c2,496$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0516…76e8backed Yes9c2,468$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc2ac…2db0backed Yes6c2,458$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c1d…8b01backed Yes3c2,444$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.7330%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4428…1202backed Yes9c2,440$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb50b…0ef2backed Yes3c2,429$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5930%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3eb…37f1backed Yes3c2,392$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2484…7569backed Yes9c2,391$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8f9…7b39backed Yes3c2,375$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.6320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd543…bf70backed Yes6c2,358$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.6330%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5750…3bb7backed Yes5c2,329$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ae…d849backed Yes2c2,312$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedff…f3b7backed Yes6c2,286$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.5920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b78…ec29backed Yes3c2,281$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11e6…aad7backed Yes6c2,276$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8521…8854backed Yes6c2,270$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05ec…010ebacked Yes2c2,258$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e8f…8001backed Yes7c2,255$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15830%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc32f…f96cbacked Yes9c2,249$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.6220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x82b0…8280backed Yes6c2,231$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcef6…9781backed Yes6c2,207$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.5930%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cb6…c4c6backed Yes6c2,200$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf32c…53e2backed Yes4c2,165$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.2720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbd3…5d5fbacked Yes3c2,157$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c28…95d6backed Yes6c2,143$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3392…c7babacked Yes6c2,134$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.