NBA · resolved market
Spread: Hornets (-18.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81d2f93335a4b3cb82b1d8d0487bccdbc0616d3aa2a35b59dfe8297d79276f62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Hornets, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $409,370
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $409,370 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Hornets | 52c | 173,317$89,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83,908.97 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 139,272$67,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,284.3 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Hornets | 52c | 58,904$30,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,358.61 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Hornets | 52c | 53,743$27,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,796.52 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Grizzlies | 49c | 32,449$15,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,757.33 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 20,752$9,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,961 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hornets | 51c | 16,624$8,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,145.67 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 13,750$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc540…f7e5backed Grizzlies | 48c | 13,750$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 12,364$5,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,922.62 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 12,067$5,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,792.06 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 10,833$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 10,071$4,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,914 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Hornets | 52c | 8,654$4,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,178.75 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6395backed Grizzlies | 48c | 7,640$3,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,667 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6f…e420backed Grizzlies | 48c | 7,500$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x144e…eca0backed Grizzlies | 49c | 7,143$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Grizzlies | 48c | 6,875$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Hornets | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0697…fb17backed Grizzlies | 48c | 5,833$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…3760backed Grizzlies | 48c | 5,424$2,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,615 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Grizzlies | 49c | 5,306$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 4,488$2,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,218.98 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…9b9fbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 4,113$2,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,053 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…41c1backed Grizzlies | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8149…abf4backed Grizzlies | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Hornets | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 3,958$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Grizzlies | 48c | 3,550$1,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,704.05 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Hornets | 52c | 3,473$1,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,682.04 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bee…a369backed Grizzlies | 48c | 2,917$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8724…efccbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 2,756$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Hornets | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Hornets | 52c | 1,761$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.21 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Grizzlies | 48c | 1,740$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.15 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Hornets | 53c | 1,688$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.11 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Hornets | 53c | 1,119$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.56 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Hornets | 52c | 1,047$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.39 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Hornets | 52c | 954.13$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.13 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Hornets | 52c | 938.98$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.31 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Hornets | 51c | 900$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Hornets | 53c | 896.64$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.67 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f3…e4a1backed Hornets | 52c | 764$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.72 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Hornets | 51c | 740.18$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.69 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Hornets | 52c | 701.03$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.09 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…aa15backed Hornets | 52c | 611.54$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.54 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbc…8a18backed Hornets | 52c | 611$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.28 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Hornets | 51c | 597$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.53 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Hornets | 52c | 589$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.72 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb6…e3bbbacked Hornets | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Hornets | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Hornets | 53c | 561.01$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Hornets | 52c | 530.86$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.26 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99fb…8ea0backed Grizzlies | 49c | 504.08$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Hornets | 52c | 484.05$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.64 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Hornets | 52c | 465$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.44 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4be…a13dbacked Hornets | 52c | 421.15$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.15 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6d…71b4backed Grizzlies | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Grizzlies | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…85ddbacked Hornets | 53c | 389.85$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.47 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Hornets | 51c | 382.63$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.49 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Hornets | 51c | 366.08$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.38 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Grizzlies | 48c | 340$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.2 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Grizzlies | 48c | 338.39$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.43 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0d…82c9backed Hornets | 51c | 338$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.62 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked Hornets | 52c | 307$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.36 | 114 | 53.5%61 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e58…fb5abacked Hornets | 52c | 306$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.88 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x108c…122dbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -10.1wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e1…4925backed Hornets | 53c | 296.44$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.44 | 170 | 57.1%97 W · 73 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Grizzlies | 52c | 289.48$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 112 | 61.6%69 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Hornets | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Hornets | 52c | 265$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.2 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…2a41backed Hornets | 53c | 264.46$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.45 | 229 | 53.3%122 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Grizzlies | 48c | 248.58$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.32 | 293 | 45.7%134 W · 159 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa028…0031backed Hornets | 53c | 247.03$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.15 | 306 | 54.6%167 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…dcabbacked Hornets | 52c | 243.31$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.78 | 236 | 55.5%131 W · 105 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Hornets | 52c | 232.1$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.54 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Grizzlies | 47c | 215.79$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.42 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc03a…d7c4backed Grizzlies | 48c | 202.04$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.98 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…3d9dbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197a…d3d1backed Hornets | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Hornets | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…f1fcbacked Hornets | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 190 | 54.7%104 W · 86 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Hornets | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed Hornets | 52c | 187.29$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.27 | 251 | 53.8%135 W · 116 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb92b…cc3fbacked Hornets | 53c | 172.46$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Grizzlies | 47c | 160$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a0…f673backed Hornets | 52c | 155$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c2…ad6bbacked Hornets | 52c | 155$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Hornets | 52c | 154$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.92 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Hornets | 52c | 154$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.92 | 187 | 44.4%83 W · 104 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…c3a0backed Hornets | 52c | 153$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.44 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce3a…2477backed Hornets | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…62cbbacked Hornets | 53c | 146.15$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.29 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +17.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Grizzlies | 47c | 142.68$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.06 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc8…47d0backed Hornets | 51c | 139$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Hornets | 51c | 138.25$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.45 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 136$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.64 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…e769backed Hornets | 52c | 123$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.04 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hornets (-18.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-10.5)Hornets won
- Grizzlies vs. HornetsHornets won
- Grizzlies vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Grizzlies vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Hornets: O/U 226.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Hornets: O/U 234.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Hornets: O/U 235.5Under won
- Spread: Hornets (-16.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-17.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-20.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-21.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-22.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-23.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Hornets (-24.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Hornets (-25.5)Grizzlies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.