NBA · resolved market
Spread: Hornets (-16.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa60533e87163b9aa1a228dae6b3dc21bc345a6e1919e1ee39c3dc800f369067f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Hornets, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,016
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,016 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Hornets | 51c | 43,179$22,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,157.49 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…9a9bbacked Grizzlies | 43c | 26,906$11,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,569.72 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Grizzlies | 49c | 14,121$6,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,919.29 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Hornets | 57c | 13,674$7,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,828.19 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Grizzlies | 42c | 9,479$3,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,981.18 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…c211backed Grizzlies | 49c | 8,275$4,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,054.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Grizzlies | 49c | 7,178$3,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,517 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hornets | 55c | 6,252$3,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.72 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a4…b364backed Hornets | 49c | 6,150$3,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,136.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Hornets | 57c | 5,500$3,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,365 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hornets | 57c | 3,641$2,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.53 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff8…a2cabacked Grizzlies | 47c | 3,638$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.86 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67fe…fea5backed Hornets | 57c | 3,545$2,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Grizzlies | 47c | 2,117$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.18 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x245d…6d13backed Grizzlies | 51c | 2,084$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f6…4713backed Grizzlies | 51c | 2,055$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…7bcebacked Grizzlies | 51c | 2,011$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Grizzlies | 48c | 1,339$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.7 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…4767backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,260$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.4 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,208$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 1,160$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.4 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2c…bb26backed Grizzlies | 47c | 954.97$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.84 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Hornets | 54c | 930$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.8 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Hornets | 53c | 914.04$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.55 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Hornets | 58c | 912.81$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.32 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Hornets | 54c | 820.55$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.5 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Grizzlies | 49c | 653.06$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed Hornets | 54c | 588.89$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.89 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Grizzlies | 49c | 569.39$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 324 | 50.6%164 W · 160 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Grizzlies | 49c | 547.59$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.32 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Grizzlies | 48c | 439.33$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.97 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d02bbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 404.77$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.35 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Grizzlies | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hornets | 76c | 368.54$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.44 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Grizzlies | 45c | 320$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Hornets | 57c | 284$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.12 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Grizzlies | 47c | 276.87$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.51 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Grizzlies | 47c | 267.93$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Grizzlies | 49c | 255.35$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.06 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Hornets | 54c | 235.91$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.57 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked Grizzlies | 49c | 220.96$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.27 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Hornets | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Hornets | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…de1ebacked Grizzlies | 51c | 194.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…9a2bbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Hornets | 50c | 176$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…022dbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 172.96$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.29 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Grizzlies | 46c | 165.92$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.01 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Grizzlies | 45c | 160$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa143…c081backed Hornets | 49c | 158$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Grizzlies | 45c | 153$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.85 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Grizzlies | 27c | 152.04$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.68 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Hornets | 57c | 139.26$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.88 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Hornets | 57c | 129.88$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.85 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Hornets | 55c | 124$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Grizzlies | 28c | 104.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 221 | 40.7%90 W · 131 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Grizzlies | 42c | 102.07$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.95 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Grizzlies | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 303 | 48.2%146 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Grizzlies | 49c | 99.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x514e…a604backed Grizzlies | 43c | 99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x862a…d26bbacked Hornets | 54c | 91.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.18 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f21…e36bbacked Hornets | 72c | 82.88$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5886…b8ffbacked Hornets | 60c | 75.79$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -8.0wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Grizzlies | 42c | 70.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccb0…44c1backed Grizzlies | 51c | 67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x341b…b92cbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 63.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61e0…4b62backed Grizzlies | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 527 | 60%316 W · 211 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92df…1e90backed Grizzlies | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Hornets | 54c | 59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Grizzlies | 46c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bd…463dbacked Hornets | 53c | 53.53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 382 | 61.5%235 W · 147 L | +30.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Hornets | 54c | 53.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Hornets | 58c | 52.49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Grizzlies | 40c | 51.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Hornets | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Grizzlies | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | +12.3wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03eb…47b0backed Hornets | 54c | 49.56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 198 | 51%101 W · 97 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0435…cf1dbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…776ebacked Grizzlies | 45c | 44.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Grizzlies | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 270 | 50%135 W · 135 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1508…5760backed Grizzlies | 46c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Grizzlies | 40c | 36.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c80…efb9backed Grizzlies | 47c | 35.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…b46ebacked Hornets | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Grizzlies | 47c | 32.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe212…5243backed Grizzlies | 51c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…c0bfbacked Hornets | 52c | 30.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Grizzlies | 49c | 29.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb2…e33fbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 131 | 35.1%46 W · 85 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x323c…2fa4backed Hornets | 50c | 25.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Hornets | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2841…3c5abacked Hornets | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 213 | 49.3%105 W · 108 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Hornets | 53c | 23.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Grizzlies | 48c | 23.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Hornets | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7efe…edabbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hornets (-16.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-10.5)Hornets won
- Grizzlies vs. HornetsHornets won
- Grizzlies vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Grizzlies vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Hornets: O/U 226.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Hornets: O/U 234.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Hornets: O/U 235.5Under won
- Spread: Hornets (-17.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-18.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-20.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-21.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-22.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-23.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Hornets (-24.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Hornets (-25.5)Grizzlies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.