NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Hornets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43de365f01f3e9b3bf1e86780a4cc5e024c53b1e89f04ab2724a769f3b54f99e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Grizzlies, Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,541,022
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,541,022 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Grizzlies | 8c | 633,000$49,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,121 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Grizzlies | 8c | 50,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.99 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Grizzlies | 6c | 45,392$2,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,723.55 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Grizzlies | 7c | 33,567$2,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,290.84 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Grizzlies | 7c | 31,000$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,169.99 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1efc…1a6bbacked Grizzlies | 8c | 25,255$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Grizzlies | 7c | 20,296$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.72 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0a…ca20backed Grizzlies | 3c | 20,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Grizzlies | 7c | 19,999$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.96 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f82…9b01backed Grizzlies | 10c | 16,685$1,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,668.53 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Grizzlies | 5c | 16,513$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.1 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b22…ddcabacked Grizzlies | 8c | 14,793$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.29 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Grizzlies | 6c | 12,985$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.1 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Grizzlies | 7c | 11,563$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdab4…a27abacked Grizzlies | 6c | 8,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa9…243fbacked Grizzlies | 6c | 7,560$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01f5…5cfbbacked Grizzlies | 8c | 6,762$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 164 | 21.3%35 W · 129 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Grizzlies | 0c | 5,720$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa25d…2227backed Grizzlies | 6c | 5,500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.99 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92fe…99bdbacked Grizzlies | 9c | 5,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.03 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…e4e7backed Grizzlies | 7c | 4,609$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…b357backed Grizzlies | 8c | 4,368$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.04 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a5…eb4abacked Grizzlies | 1c | 4,293$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Grizzlies | 6c | 4,239$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.33 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Grizzlies | 6c | 4,201$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.04 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Grizzlies | 9c | 4,160$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.61 | 613 | 36.1%221 W · 392 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe133…74dcbacked Grizzlies | 7c | 3,700$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4073…86e3backed Grizzlies | 9c | 3,400$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0689…9171backed Grizzlies | 7c | 3,247$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.46 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9477…4820backed Grizzlies | 15c | 3,082$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Grizzlies | 5c | 3,018$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.97 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Grizzlies | 8c | 3,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03e7…0609backed Grizzlies | 9c | 3,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Grizzlies | 9c | 2,667$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.19 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Grizzlies | 2c | 2,644$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Grizzlies | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e98…3a8abacked Grizzlies | 9c | 2,334$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.26 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -71%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Grizzlies | 7c | 2,329$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 173 | 56.1%97 W · 76 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…ac64backed Grizzlies | 6c | 2,121$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.66 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x348a…9c6bbacked Grizzlies | 7c | 2,057$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Grizzlies | 4c | 2,045$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.86 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34c6…3637backed Grizzlies | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Grizzlies | 9c | 1,970$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.3 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd839…8fc8backed Grizzlies | 8c | 1,839$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccb…bbd7backed Grizzlies | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3c…e044backed Grizzlies | 3c | 1,609$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 55 | 16.4%9 W · 46 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd099…13e4backed Grizzlies | 14c | 1,569$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde38…7a4abacked Grizzlies | 13c | 1,565$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe29e…fa35backed Grizzlies | 1c | 1,531$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 341 | 36.1%123 W · 218 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…4b33backed Grizzlies | 14c | 1,501$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Grizzlies | 6c | 1,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 194 | 41.2%80 W · 114 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf09…9687backed Grizzlies | 9c | 1,500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +64%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf59a…4518backed Grizzlies | 14c | 1,447$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed Grizzlies | 7c | 1,433$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 156 | 39.1%61 W · 95 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…cbe8backed Grizzlies | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +8.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe531…8936backed Grizzlies | 14c | 1,425$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47a5…6834backed Grizzlies | 6c | 1,400$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.9 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Grizzlies | 7c | 1,341$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 481 | 32.6%157 W · 324 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b5…5d87backed Grizzlies | 5c | 1,314$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.1 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9391backed Grizzlies | 10c | 1,289$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.9 | 272 | 47.1%128 W · 144 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…a329backed Grizzlies | 2c | 1,255$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Grizzlies | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 626 | 52.2%327 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a38…82f5backed Grizzlies | 5c | 1,216$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b98…7061backed Grizzlies | 9c | 1,200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -74%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc7…fe1cbacked Grizzlies | 4c | 1,200$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Grizzlies | 5c | 1,079$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.64 | 221 | 40.7%90 W · 131 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…23dabacked Grizzlies | 3c | 1,000$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 123 | 4.9%6 W · 117 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…de1ebacked Grizzlies | 5c | 999.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Grizzlies | 5c | 979.15$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.16 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e7…10c0backed Grizzlies | 11c | 976.9$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.46 | 119 | 29.4%35 W · 84 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Grizzlies | 7c | 925.67$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Grizzlies | 7c | 910.46$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.72 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a9…d871backed Grizzlies | 9c | 900$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c91…be57backed Grizzlies | 3c | 864.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0be…8cdebacked Grizzlies | 8c | 851.5$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9262…97e8backed Grizzlies | 10c | 845.97$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.78 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ac…fc08backed Grizzlies | 7c | 814.29$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Grizzlies | 8c | 781.25$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Grizzlies | 7c | 748.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 338 | 37.3%126 W · 212 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f7…7eadbacked Grizzlies | 7c | 730.95$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Grizzlies | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 337 | 49.3%166 W · 171 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc2…89a0backed Grizzlies | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7d…c7d0backed Grizzlies | 7c | 685.71$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…0debbacked Grizzlies | 3c | 630.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Grizzlies | 6c | 600.51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.69 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e07…f048backed Grizzlies | 9c | 600$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Grizzlies | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 458 | 38%174 W · 284 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed Grizzlies | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 305 | 44.6%136 W · 169 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Grizzlies | 6c | 553.04$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Grizzlies | 10c | 523.5$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.35 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Grizzlies | 2c | 519.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0f…7b85backed Grizzlies | 2c | 500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Grizzlies | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…94a4backed Grizzlies | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2055…4542backed Grizzlies | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 231 | 30.3%70 W · 161 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873f…a7cfbacked Grizzlies | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 29.2%33 W · 80 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Grizzlies | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8188…0667backed Grizzlies | 6c | 499.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 75 | 18.7%14 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Grizzlies | 12c | 499.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 252 | 36.9%93 W · 159 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Grizzlies | 9c | 496.44$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.68 | 95 | 24.2%23 W · 72 L | -9.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Hornetsthis page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-10.5)Hornets won
- Grizzlies vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Grizzlies vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Hornets: O/U 226.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Hornets: O/U 234.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Hornets: O/U 235.5Under won
- Spread: Hornets (-16.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-17.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-18.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-20.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-21.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-22.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-23.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Hornets (-24.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Hornets (-25.5)Grizzlies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.