TailMyPicks
Market

NBA · resolved market

Grizzlies vs. Hornets: O/U 235.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$281,164

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $281,164 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 205 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0d12…590ebacked Under53c16,783$8,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,888.017100%7 W · 0 L+3.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa729…9326backed Under53c14,000$7,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,5804949%24 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97d9…3c6cbacked Over47c10,464$4,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,918.08771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+42.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf789…f5b3backed Over47c10,101$4,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,747.47366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+43.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0a8…89bebacked Under53c9,869$5,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,638.43666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+26.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b62…8f9fbacked Over47c9,687$4,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,552.89560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a48…cc69backed Over47c9,674$4,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,546.78560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e83…f5c5backed Over47c9,341$4,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,390.27862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x518c…f9fbbacked Over47c9,173$4,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,311.31450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe119…1b4dbacked Under53c9,141$4,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,296.27475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick50cpaid+50.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x728e…8e52backed Under53c9,071$4,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,263.37475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+53.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7a3…b13dbacked Under53c8,894$4,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,180.18475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+53.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6168…fb7ebacked Under53c8,871$4,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,169.37580%4 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.39per pick41cpaid+57.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x93da…3ed2backed Under53c8,868$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,167.96580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+63.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb249…4151backed Under53c8,853$4,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,160.91475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+52.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d4c…2c7cbacked Under53c8,794$4,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,133.18475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick50cpaid+51.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5be1…7261backed Under53c8,756$4,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,115.32875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+56.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5ea5…4b8ebacked Under53c8,749$4,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,112.03875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+41.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa85f…342cbacked Under53c8,736$4,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,105.924100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x32c2…5639backed Over47c8,594$4,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,039.18450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x064c…ef68backed Under53c8,474$4,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,982.781361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64d6…31e2backed Over47c8,413$3,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,954.11450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a1d…3178backed Under53c8,328$4,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,914.164100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfa5…79ccbacked Under53c8,288$4,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,895.364100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1734…b77abacked Under53c8,030$4,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,774.1966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+24.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba03…3efbbacked Under53c7,985$4,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,752.95475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+48.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4b7…60c6backed Under53c7,649$4,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,595.03580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+57.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc146…6f38backed Over47c5,664$2,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,662.08450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f0f…c117backed Over47c5,632$2,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,647.04771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+49.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x64b9…22e4backed Over47c5,561$2,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,613.67450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over45c5,523$2,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,511.834,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08c2…1db7backed Under53c5,054$2,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,375.38560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56e5…a92bbacked Under53c4,986$2,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,343.424100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1fc2…6175backed Over47c4,741$2,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,228.26540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb944…2defbacked Under53c4,736$2,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,225.921258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c75…3cdcbacked Over47c4,633$2,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,177.51450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde7d…6a57backed Under53c4,628$2,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,175.16666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+40.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x972e…40c9backed Under53c4,509$2,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,119.231060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa20a…2df1backed Under53c4,477$2,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,104.19875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.26per pick50cpaid+50.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e77…6ad9backed Under53c4,371$2,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,054.37475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+53.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dd5…8ec8backed Under53c4,338$2,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,038.86366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf88…ee73backed Under53c4,242$2,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,993.74450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2a6…7072backed Under53c4,118$2,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,935.46475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+52.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under54c4,087$2,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,883.681,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d25…55fcbacked Over47c3,678$1,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,728.66560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd41…baf2backed Under53c3,553$1,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,669.91560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d56…2a1fbacked Over47c3,402$1,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,598.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe567…2574backed Over47c3,189$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,498.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf635…2a2bbacked Over47c3,189$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,498.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c2b…d972backed Under53c2,708$1,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.76560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+73.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bf2…7906backed Under53c2,607$1,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.29650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93f8…f0febacked Over47c2,562$1,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,204.14450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7529…f6afbacked Over47c2,546$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.62250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a07…e724backed Over47c2,542$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,194.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa28…3cf8backed Over47c2,529$1,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,188.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22f9…5e29backed Over47c2,509$1,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,179.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bb4…179fbacked Over47c2,501$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,175.47333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x788f…a228backed Under53c2,500$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,175450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc9b…14e5backed Over47c2,491$1,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,170.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84fd…f6afbacked Over47c2,473$1,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,162.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a31…ee53backed Over47c2,471$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09b9…a11fbacked Over47c2,468$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f66…05f5backed Over47c2,427$1,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b12…cb2dbacked Over47c2,417$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,135.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad97…0b20backed Over47c2,407$1,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,131.2920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8743…f541backed Over47c2,406$1,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,130.82560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+26.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0dd…466abacked Over47c2,402$1,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,128.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c98…46e7backed Over47c2,397$1,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,126.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c7…bac7backed Over47c2,396$1,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,126.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8743…956dbacked Over47c2,380$1,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,118.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd314…9ae9backed Over47c2,369$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,113.4320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2de0…130dbacked Over47c2,360$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9346…3becbacked Under53c2,351$1,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,104.97475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8d6…980dbacked Over47c2,343$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,101.2120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f3e…6d1ebacked Over47c2,335$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.45560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41ee…f259backed Over47c2,332$1,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.04450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4797…86ecbacked Over47c2,323$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,091.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57e5…b47fbacked Over47c2,315$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4e5…1ecbbacked Over47c2,314$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.58333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6aa6…1677backed Over47c2,313$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.1130%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd302…5027backed Over47c2,312$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc408…2630backed Over47c2,310$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,085.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe425…bef3backed Over47c2,289$1,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,075.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9665…b5ccbacked Over47c2,282$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,072.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36f8…a23dbacked Over47c2,269$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccde…d828backed Over47c2,265$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,064.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaf8…a7d6backed Over47c2,237$1,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa352…6f82backed Over47c2,229$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90e0…9ddabacked Over47c2,219$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,042.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc3d…aca5backed Over47c2,205$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.35250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd54…2694backed Over47c2,203$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x339e…5c02backed Over47c2,201$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.4720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6aa1…66a2backed Under53c2,195$1,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.65366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcff0…bb63backed Under53c2,190$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.31080%8 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+56.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x18fd…7ff0backed Over47c2,189$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.83333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14ad…1f9abacked Over47c2,185$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,026.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe786…9426backed Over47c2,181$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.07333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f9…1959backed Over47c2,179$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.1320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20cb…0f05backed Over47c2,178$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.66560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc444…0f34backed Over47c2,178$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.