TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Grizzlies vs. Hornets: O/U 234.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,948

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,948 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd48a…6e90backed Under50c6,993$3,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,475.911,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Over47c6,030$2,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,834.0931643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under52c3,204$1,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,530.679,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over47c2,475$1,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,162.824,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde79…2a1bbacked Over47c2,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00017349.7%86 W · 87 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9bf…c212backed Over49c2,049$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.0120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c2,013$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.584,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82cb…7755backed Over49c1,900$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d89…b572backed Under51c1,899$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.51250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f7…4f34backed Over49c1,855$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.95250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x651a…7c44backed Under51c1,855$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.95250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc69e…d0edbacked Under51c1,801$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.49250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8fe…340abacked Under51c1,800$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8822100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa8d…1289backed Over49c1,755$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.95250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5fb…8190backed Over49c1,722$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.7820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05c5…bbedbacked Under51c1,683$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.672100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x73b0…dcdebacked Over49c1,682$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.18250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb25f…5196backed Under51c1,622$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.782100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dc4…c05ebacked Over49c1,511$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.3920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8cc7…0602backed Over51c1,493$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.359352.7%49 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x858a…f574backed Over49c1,430$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.7250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d1…ff7cbacked Under51c1,421$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.292100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7fd…77a6backed Over49c1,263$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.8720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7275…587dbacked Under51c1,259$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.912100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31d7…e0c6backed Under51c1,107$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.432100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac9c…b321backed Under51c1,057$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.932100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9060…204cbacked Under51c1,044$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50053951.6%278 W · 261 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c29…a64ebacked Over49c980$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x830a…f6e7backed Under51c959$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.912100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda47…5f57backed Over49c925$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.2520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45d4…6370backed Over49c848$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.5220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee29…3f18backed Under51c821$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.29250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde16…4caebacked Under51c816$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.84250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba09…d908backed Over49c815$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.3520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under53c772$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.846,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfd…0142backed Over49c711$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.39250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf45d…a787backed Under51c708$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.922100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7a3…5b17backed Over49c645$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.05250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22c7…d6c6backed Under51c600$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3294…6021backed Over49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b03…436cbacked Over49c599$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.51250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8fb…51c8backed Under51c561$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.89250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81d1…b82ebacked Over49c528$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.7220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfe8…af46backed Over49c448$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.5220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf388…1ebabacked Over49c448$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.5220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd812…e78abacked Over49c438$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.6220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9643…a44bbacked Under51c430$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.72100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2871…68ffbacked Under51c425$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.25250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under53c420$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.41,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over33c384.58$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.872,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b2c…6527backed Under51c381$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.692100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42d6…2578backed Under51c361$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.892100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x983b…5811backed Under51c352$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.482100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb162…c408backed Over49c335$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under53c296.38$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.358450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under53c291.66$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.383,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Over49c290$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.145646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Under53c279.4$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.3222154.8%121 W · 100 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93a2…5181backed Over42c270.79$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.9315038%57 W · 93 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under72c260.69$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.9965872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over47c240$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.832450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under57c237.41$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.094,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f50…a9bcbacked Under51c205$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.452100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10052146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…9a2bbacked Over52c192.59$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008052.5%42 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb69…c773backed Under53c188.96$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.9613148.9%64 W · 67 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6cc…cacbbacked Under51c180$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Over49c145$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.0556547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over50c113.96$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9895047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over30c112$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.968,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under51c98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.021,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under65c97.42$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.071,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4023657.2%135 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ce9…b733backed Under51c77$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.732100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over49c75.87$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.923,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf052…9ef1backed Under51c63$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.872100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under54c62.26$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6465349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over52c61.54$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under50c59.79$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6996956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under52c48.58$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2191746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under53c43.69$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5364844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x341b…b92cbacked Under53c42.49$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.978344.6%37 W · 46 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over46c39.5$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1723651.3%121 W · 115 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc03a…d7c4backed Over50c38.44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.226342.9%27 W · 36 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Under51c35.29$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2954854.2%297 W · 251 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e0…776ebacked Under53c29.12$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.698353%44 W · 39 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e09…0901backed Over48c29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.923956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x700a…58a5backed Under50c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.522336.8%82 W · 141 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under51c20.41$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1055347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38c5…0f5cbacked Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108328.9%24 W · 59 L-14.6wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-37.1%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under53c19$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.931,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.