Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Miami Hurricanes (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b5ae31e88abc3365f8d24d9bb437e2f88b85d0475ae6d312b55cac16ba612bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Hurricanesof Miami Hurricanes, Missouri Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,769
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,769 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Miami Hurricanes | 48c | 24,782$11,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,886.43 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Missouri Tigers | 52c | 23,197$12,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,078.65 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Miami Hurricanes | 56c | 4,596$2,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,012.56 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Missouri Tigers | 53c | 3,333$1,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.49 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Miami Hurricanes | 44c | 2,921$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.09 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +34.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked Miami Hurricanes | 46c | 2,020$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.7 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked Missouri Tigers | 52c | 1,594$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.08 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Missouri Tigers | 52c | 1,563$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.67 | 180 | 48.9%88 W · 92 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…d65fbacked Missouri Tigers | 52c | 1,010$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.2 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Missouri Tigers | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91db…6fb2backed Missouri Tigers | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc6…0f6abacked Missouri Tigers | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Missouri Tigers | 52c | 993.13$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.43 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Missouri Tigers | 53c | 816.35$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.63 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Missouri Tigers | 52c | 741.05$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.35 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Missouri Tigers | 30c | 677.54$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.21 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Missouri Tigers | 53c | 629.04$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.73 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Missouri Tigers | 54c | 604.7$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.54 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Miami Hurricanes | 56c | 600$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…73e3backed Miami Hurricanes | 47c | 596.05$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.91 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a89…8e52backed Missouri Tigers | 51c | 583.09$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.38 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77d4…3983backed Miami Hurricanes | 47c | 519.32$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.24 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fff…b34ebacked Missouri Tigers | 58c | 514.42$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Miami Hurricanes | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f1…2d5fbacked Miami Hurricanes | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Missouri Tigers | 53c | 397.5$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.68 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Missouri Tigers | 51c | 391.27$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.81 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…8f03backed Miami Hurricanes | 47c | 361.25$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.46 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Missouri Tigers | 38c | 297.53$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.06 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Missouri Tigers | 53c | 297.38$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.61 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Miami Hurricanes | 46c | 278.96$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.54 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…fb99backed Missouri Tigers | 53c | 256.24$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.81 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…84e6backed Missouri Tigers | 53c | 245.22$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.97 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Missouri Tigers | 53c | 224.03$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.74 | 301 | 52.8%159 W · 142 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Missouri Tigers | 53c | 224.03$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.74 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Missouri Tigers | 49c | 202.3$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 222 | 50%111 W · 111 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Missouri Tigers | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Miami Hurricanes | 46c | 194.52$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.3 | 155 | 59.4%92 W · 63 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Missouri Tigers | 53c | 187.03$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Missouri Tigers | 56c | 177.03$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.14 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Missouri Tigers | 57c | 174.57$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.14 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Missouri Tigers | 52c | 162.77$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.64 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x692e…ee58backed Missouri Tigers | 55c | 160.21$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.57 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Missouri Tigers | 52c | 150.15$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.08 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae9a…7ceabacked Miami Hurricanes | 48c | 130.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.12 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…39e2backed Missouri Tigers | 53c | 114$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.42 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Missouri Tigers | 53c | 114$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.42 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Missouri Tigers | 54c | 104.13$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.23 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Miami Hurricanes | 46c | 103.22$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.74 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9121…bd6cbacked Miami Hurricanes | 57c | 84.27$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.24 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…746fbacked Missouri Tigers | 53c | 71.07$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.67 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…06b3backed Missouri Tigers | 56c | 66.25$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Miami Hurricanes | 48c | 58.93$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf4…66bbbacked Miami Hurricanes | 47c | 52.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…b382backed Missouri Tigers | 53c | 48.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcaca…a0b6backed Miami Hurricanes | 44c | 45.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Miami Hurricanes | 53c | 42.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…fba2backed Miami Hurricanes | 48c | 41.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…676ebacked Missouri Tigers | 53c | 41.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…0901backed Miami Hurricanes | 44c | 40.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…ab22backed Miami Hurricanes | 48c | 39.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Missouri Tigers | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c7…4459backed Miami Hurricanes | 42c | 35.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d02…46e2backed Miami Hurricanes | 46c | 34.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Miami Hurricanes | 53c | 31.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Missouri Tigers | 57c | 29.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0310…4745backed Missouri Tigers | 53c | 26.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Miami Hurricanes | 78c | 26.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Miami Hurricanes | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 144 | 61.8%89 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Miami Hurricanes | 46c | 24.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Missouri Tigers | 53c | 23.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Missouri Tigers | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Missouri Tigers | 53c | 19.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 133 | 56.4%75 W · 58 L | +10.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Miami Hurricanes (-2.5)this page
- Missouri Tigers vs. Miami HurricanesMiami Hurricanes won
- Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanes: O/U 138.5Over won
- Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanes: O/U 140.5Over won
- Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanes: O/U 142.5Over won
- Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanes: O/U 145.5Over won
- Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanes: O/U 146.5Under won
- Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanes: O/U 147.5Under won
- Spread: Miami Hurricanes (-1.5)Miami Hurricanes won
- Spread: Miami Hurricanes (-3.5)Miami Hurricanes won
- Spread: Miami Hurricanes (-5.5)Miami Hurricanes won
- Spread: Miami Hurricanes (-7.5)Miami Hurricanes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.