TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanes: O/U 142.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,813

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,813 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x01b4…372ebacked Under1c3,466$35 inLost-$34.66160%0 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd3…41f8backed Under31c939.96$288 inLost-$288.032556%14 W · 11 L+4.2wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+26.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over69c844.4$586 inWon+$258.573,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec15…9b0cbacked Under48c414.68$198 inLost-$198.2511741.9%49 W · 68 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over55c380.83$208 inWon+$173.184854.5%462 W · 386 L+32.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Under60c252.32$152 inLost-$151.928754%47 W · 40 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0b84…6accbacked Over40c192.07$77 inWon+$115.171361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+64.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Over62c89$56 inWon+$33.385362.3%33 W · 20 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Over53c82$44 inWon+$38.286272.6%45 W · 17 L+10.9wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+29.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xb0ef…39b6backed Under68c70$48 inLost-$47.66464.1%41 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2886…9bb2backed Over32c69.47$22 inWon+$47.244843.8%21 W · 27 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over60c50.4$30 inWon+$20.1624121.2%51 W · 190 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+299%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8441…7925backed Over66c38.87$26 inWon+$13.324067.5%27 W · 13 L+5.2wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+27.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.