Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanes: O/U 146.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb0050a7abbc98975b77f273e2dd1293ff49efa86ae046b41642b6f896e3b690
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,658
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,658 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f1…2d5fbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…d65fbacked Over | 51c | 764.4$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.57 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed Over | 51c | 710.58$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.7 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f2…2ba5backed Over | 51c | 640$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.4 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Over | 51c | 605.48$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.79 | 180 | 48.9%88 W · 92 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 46c | 499.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Over | 51c | 480$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.8 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd817…ac33backed Over | 51c | 480$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.8 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee0…5233backed Under | 48c | 452.26$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.18 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…5344backed Under | 48c | 448.05$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.99 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Over | 51c | 407.4$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.37 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 295.95$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.54 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Under | 49c | 284.62$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.16 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | +14.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 54c | 257.27$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.35 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77d4…3983backed Over | 51c | 254.8$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.95 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked Over | 51c | 254.8$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.95 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Over | 51c | 254.8$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.95 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Under | 54c | 218.09$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.32 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…84e6backed Under | 49c | 198.25$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.11 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc098…7e69backed Over | 48c | 172.69$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.89 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -39%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 53c | 145.72$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.49 | 218 | 50.5%110 W · 108 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 50c | 141.52$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.38 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…aa9fbacked Over | 51c | 140$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 137$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.39 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa957…318bbacked Over | 51c | 127.4$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.97 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 202 | 54.5%110 W · 92 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Over | 47c | 62.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 276 | 50.7%140 W · 136 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 47c | 42.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30f8…b824backed Under | 50c | 39.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Over | 49c | 29.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83fe…23d9backed Over | 52c | 27.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanes: O/U 146.5this page
- Missouri Tigers vs. Miami HurricanesMiami Hurricanes won
- Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanes: O/U 138.5Over won
- Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanes: O/U 140.5Over won
- Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanes: O/U 142.5Over won
- Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanes: O/U 145.5Over won
- Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanes: O/U 147.5Under won
- Spread: Miami Hurricanes (-1.5)Miami Hurricanes won
- Spread: Miami Hurricanes (-2.5)Miami Hurricanes won
- Spread: Miami Hurricanes (-3.5)Miami Hurricanes won
- Spread: Miami Hurricanes (-5.5)Miami Hurricanes won
- Spread: Miami Hurricanes (-7.5)Miami Hurricanes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.