Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanes: O/U 145.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9d587be02130ed8fbc0f7def97a3fd2e8b4de28262dc8c130ef99be91b5484e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,949
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,949 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Over | 50c | 14,972$7,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,506.82 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 10,346$5,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,173.1 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 51c | 7,608$3,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,880.28 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 49c | 7,167$3,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,689.81 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 51c | 4,010$2,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,044.91 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd3…41f8backed Under | 56c | 3,561$1,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,982.73 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 52c | 3,040$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580.91 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 36c | 2,832$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.87 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…aa9fbacked Over | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Over | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.99 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…3371backed Over | 49c | 1,493$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.9 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 40c | 1,255$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.83 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Under | 1c | 1,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc6…0f6abacked Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…f1afbacked Under | 64c | 602.44$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.34 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 51c | 524.37$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.43 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 51c | 421.28$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.85 | 218 | 50.5%110 W · 108 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59a8…eb4ebacked Over | 52c | 419.38$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.3 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x743a…ddcdbacked Under | 48c | 411.26$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.4 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Over | 50c | 396.5$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.25 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 21c | 371.69$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.89 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…d9f3backed Over | 50c | 356.85$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.43 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 349.88$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.51 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9657…d3d8backed Over | 40c | 314.13$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.75 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 49c | 283.22$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.78 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under | 72c | 275.26$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.26 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Over | 50c | 257.73$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.86 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 30c | 214.52$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.37 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 49c | 200.41$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 69c | 200.25$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.6 | 222 | 50%111 W · 111 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Over | 51c | 194.36$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.24 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3324…3b4cbacked Under | 69c | 166.58$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed Over | 27c | 159.52$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.03 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…c3ffbacked Under | 51c | 145.77$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.34 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 31c | 140.88$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.3 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…e187backed Over | 46c | 123.33$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.08 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…75ecbacked Over | 50c | 93.47$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.74 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 52c | 78.21$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.67 | 213 | 42.3%90 W · 123 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Under | 70c | 70.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…91a8backed Under | 61c | 65.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bc03backed Over | 43c | 63.77$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7473…89eebacked Over | 36c | 55.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.27 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 23c | 55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 241 | 21.2%51 W · 190 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +299%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Under | 55c | 50.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed Under | 77c | 49.69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…50c2backed Under | 76c | 49.68$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.76 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Over | 50c | 49.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 33c | 49.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.34 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Over | 41c | 47.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcaca…a0b6backed Over | 50c | 39.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 69c | 39.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 39c | 37.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 227 | 56.4%128 W · 99 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa657…1b1fbacked Over | 32c | 37.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Under | 52c | 37.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked Over | 50c | 33.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 70c | 31.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…676ebacked Over | 45c | 28.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under | 49c | 27.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa71c…e905backed Under | 51c | 25.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Under | 50c | 24.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 51c | 19.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 133 | 56.4%75 W · 58 L | +10.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 71c | 18.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanes: O/U 145.5this page
- Missouri Tigers vs. Miami HurricanesMiami Hurricanes won
- Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanes: O/U 138.5Over won
- Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanes: O/U 140.5Over won
- Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanes: O/U 142.5Over won
- Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanes: O/U 146.5Under won
- Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanes: O/U 147.5Under won
- Spread: Miami Hurricanes (-1.5)Miami Hurricanes won
- Spread: Miami Hurricanes (-2.5)Miami Hurricanes won
- Spread: Miami Hurricanes (-3.5)Miami Hurricanes won
- Spread: Miami Hurricanes (-5.5)Miami Hurricanes won
- Spread: Miami Hurricanes (-7.5)Miami Hurricanes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.