TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

California Baptist Lancers vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 138.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$348,252

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $348,252 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 263 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under48c52,586$25,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,308.152,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Over52c47,811$24,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,861.534348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c2b…2575backed Over50c46,221$23,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,052.7760949.8%303 W · 306 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2537…bff9backed Over52c37,468$19,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,458.0544452.7%234 W · 210 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over54c32,116$17,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,342.4724451.2%125 W · 119 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde7b…5f4bbacked Under46c31,073$14,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,779.562729.6%8 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-29.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c23,713$11,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,351.9512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under49c15,569$7,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,993.311,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Over51c11,000$5,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,609.912729.6%8 W · 19 L-5.6wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-40.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Under49c10,904$5,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,560.9312251.6%63 W · 59 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c10,522$5,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,447.15,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3846…9742backed Under45c9,331$4,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,117.273956.4%22 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Under48c8,618$4,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,481.485759.6%34 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Over51c7,485$3,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,817.3912054.2%65 W · 55 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Under48c6,900$3,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5884744.7%21 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Over55c6,755$3,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,705.4510749.5%53 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ba…b283backed Under48c6,000$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1202544%11 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x188e…70d8backed Under49c5,379$2,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,759.972100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90ed…b5bcbacked Under45c4,848$2,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,651.141631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-30.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Under48c4,500$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3403554.3%19 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+23.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over54c4,356$2,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,352.3784147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under47c4,041$1,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,158.33,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d45…652abacked Under48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,080955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200e…4048backed Under48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0802035%7 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under46c4,000$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,16010739.3%42 W · 65 L-8.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Over54c3,650$1,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9714540%18 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbca6…73e3backed Over51c3,539$1,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,804.868946.1%41 W · 48 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under43c3,449$1,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,966.0489645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Over49c3,349$1,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,657.282321.7%5 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-40.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3817…7d10backed Over55c2,704$1,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,487.2929845.3%135 W · 163 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over47c2,584$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,219.512,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Under50c2,130$1,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.1818556.8%105 W · 80 L+14.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Over50c2,109$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.9542246.2%195 W · 227 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08fe…aedfbacked Under49c2,082$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.634946.9%23 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over55c2,040$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.2774152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Under49c2,032$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,036.364656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12f2…2ba5backed Over51c2,024$1,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,042.292737%10 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Under49c2,023$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.7110650.9%54 W · 52 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebfd…dd70backed Under48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0403345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6560…e164backed Under48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0403647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b1e…6738backed Over51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.995054%27 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x201a…66a8backed Over52c1,991$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.544337.2%16 W · 27 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Over55c1,983$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,090.476342.9%27 W · 36 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Over55c1,902$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.948548.2%41 W · 44 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Over50c1,702$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.8216341.7%68 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under48c1,667$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.8315858.2%92 W · 66 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Over51c1,594$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.0710443.3%45 W · 59 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under47c1,483$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.281,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Over50c1,419$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.3518048.9%88 W · 92 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under46c1,339$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.6539454.6%215 W · 179 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x04d2…4c2cbacked Over54c1,322$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.7415748.4%76 W · 81 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cfe…e4debacked Under49c1,289$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.2933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd817…ac33backed Over54c1,237$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.968444%37 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Over54c1,110$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.1223754.9%130 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c83…cf0abacked Under45c1,100$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60513343.6%58 W · 75 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x743a…ddcdbacked Under48c1,100$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5726142.6%26 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+49.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Under43c1,091$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.6510451%53 W · 51 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked Under48c1,085$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.2412344.7%55 W · 68 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd2b…9ff9backed Under48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5205356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x126d…f863backed Under52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4802646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc6…0f6abacked Under48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5202157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf1e…63bbbacked Under48c991.26$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.461450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under48c991.26$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.4982048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77d4…3983backed Over51c968.17$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.775341.5%22 W · 31 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x561e…2093backed Over51c968.17$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.773333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under48c826.28$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.6730649%150 W · 156 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under49c810.58$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.391,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Under76c781.02$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.773372.7%24 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x06e1…8b57backed Under48c768.23$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.48560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under48c700$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36416147.2%76 W · 85 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fbc…8a18backed Under47c691.91$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.714353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under49c668.21$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.7931448.7%153 W · 161 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Under48c650.52$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.273357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Under80c621.5$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.32892.9%26 W · 2 L+8.0wins+0.29per pick64cpaid+46.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under48c619.54$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.1624847.6%118 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e4a…249cbacked Over55c609.74$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.361513.3%2 W · 13 L-5.0wins-0.33per pick47cpaid-71.9%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x3b54…db07backed Under49c608.69$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.432245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d6…d65fbacked Over51c603.99$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.035639.3%22 W · 34 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Over48c601.52$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.733661.1%22 W · 14 L+6.3wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+31.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under48c585.84$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.6440755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe732…898fbacked Over48c576.92$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.926246.8%29 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b02…f3d9backed Under52c571.88$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.55959.3%35 W · 24 L+7.9wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Over55c560.93$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.2822250%111 W · 111 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c533.01$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.5118744.9%84 W · 103 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb752…cabcbacked Under47c499.99$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2654454.5%24 W · 20 L+5.1wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+18.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Under46c499.5$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.7337246.2%172 W · 200 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Under49c498.6$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.297143.7%31 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xec15…9b0cbacked Under54c437.98$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.0711741.9%49 W · 68 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under49c397.4$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.97366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+55.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under46c390.15$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.9116650%83 W · 83 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2567…2371backed Under48c375.85$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.441850%9 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x401d…23c6backed Over55c361.04$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.274055%22 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over48c357.03$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.0264647.5%307 W · 339 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f0…96bebacked Under48c351.07$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.561250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Over54c342.62$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.967057.1%40 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under45c333.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.3346246.5%215 W · 247 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e56…8243backed Under49c326.12$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.322540%10 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Under49c326.12$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.325959.3%35 W · 24 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb89b…a39dbacked Under49c326.12$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.325457.4%31 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed Under49c323.67$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.073046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.