Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
California Baptist Lancers vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 139.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7059b54abb803c8622c87c743b197026a4ffd73f215aaa452703a911d3549ae9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,020
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,020 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 46c | 21,688$9,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,711.73 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 54c | 18,712$10,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,101.79 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 46c | 3,333$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.82 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 54c | 2,473$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.77 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 50c | 2,329$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.58 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Over | 54c | 1,431$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.98 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Under | 49c | 784$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.84 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 54c | 665.69$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.37 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 50c | 318.63$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.29 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 53c | 198.26$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.08 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 141.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.19 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x743a…ddcdbacked Over | 53c | 111.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.23 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Under | 47c | 99.13$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.54 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Over | 52c | 95.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +19.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Over | 56c | 88.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +10.0wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ef…39b6backed Under | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 32c | 72.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 54c | 68.9$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2072…5266backed Under | 45c | 47.39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over | 50c | 26.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 56c | 22.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- California Baptist Lancers vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 139.5this page
- California Baptist Lancers vs. Kansas JayhawksKansas Jayhawks won
- California Baptist Lancers vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 133.5Under won
- California Baptist Lancers vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 137.5Under won
- California Baptist Lancers vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 138.5Under won
- California Baptist Lancers vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 141.5Under won
- Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-13.5)California Baptist Lancers won
- Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-14.5)California Baptist Lancers won
- Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-16.5)California Baptist Lancers won
- Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-18.5)California Baptist Lancers won
- Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-22.5)California Baptist Lancers won
- Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-24.5)California Baptist Lancers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.