TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-14.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
California Baptist Lancersof Kansas Jayhawks, California Baptist Lancers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,788

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,788 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6027…4320backed Kansas Jayhawks47c13,051$6,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,133.991,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed California Baptist Lancers53c12,500$6,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,874.8936944.2%163 W · 206 L-19.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked California Baptist Lancers53c9,987$5,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,693.825650%28 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kansas Jayhawks47c8,445$3,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,955.1212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked California Baptist Lancers53c7,930$4,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,727.229250%46 W · 46 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kansas Jayhawks47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,41090645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed Kansas Jayhawks47c2,875$1,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,351.446149.2%30 W · 31 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Kansas Jayhawks47c2,124$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.2727755.2%153 W · 124 L+19.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Kansas Jayhawks47c2,005$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.0518048.9%88 W · 92 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77d4…3983backed Kansas Jayhawks47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9405341.5%22 W · 31 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1f7…c4e5backed Kansas Jayhawks47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94013343.6%58 W · 75 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x335d…8f03backed Kansas Jayhawks47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9408748.3%42 W · 45 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Kansas Jayhawks47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9406349.2%31 W · 32 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x561e…2093backed Kansas Jayhawks47c1,991$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.693333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Kansas Jayhawks48c1,821$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.183842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kansas Jayhawks46c1,517$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.595,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed California Baptist Lancers54c1,487$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6845131.4%16 W · 35 L-8.7wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-39.2%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed California Baptist Lancers50c1,191$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.8942934.3%147 W · 282 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Kansas Jayhawks47c1,055$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.647550.7%38 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x201a…66a8backed Kansas Jayhawks47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4704337.2%16 W · 27 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf12e…7939backed Kansas Jayhawks47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4703748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x91db…6fb2backed Kansas Jayhawks47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4705843.1%25 W · 33 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa79e…5e9ebacked Kansas Jayhawks47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4701540%6 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Kansas Jayhawks47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47016341.7%68 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked Kansas Jayhawks47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47012344.7%55 W · 68 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d8…37e6backed Kansas Jayhawks47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4703554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfc4…079fbacked Kansas Jayhawks47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4703043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Kansas Jayhawks47c776.18$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.818556.8%105 W · 80 L+14.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcdf6…d7f7backed California Baptist Lancers52c728.31$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.595552.7%29 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed California Baptist Lancers43c659$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.856538.5%25 W · 40 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a89…8e52backed California Baptist Lancers53c654.62$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.672958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3abc…b096backed Kansas Jayhawks49c654.23$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.573470.6%24 W · 10 L+7.0wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+39.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Kansas Jayhawks46c643.12$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.8318744.9%84 W · 103 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Kansas Jayhawks57c581.96$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.7244146.5%205 W · 236 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kansas Jayhawks55c526.01$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.385,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed California Baptist Lancers53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23591848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed California Baptist Lancers53c498.57$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.332948.3%14 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c83…cf0abacked California Baptist Lancers53c371.58$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.6413343.6%58 W · 75 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Kansas Jayhawks46c250$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1156437.5%24 W · 40 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed California Baptist Lancers47c238.27$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.3652843.6%230 W · 298 L-19.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x59a8…eb4ebacked California Baptist Lancers54c220.4$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.4410150.5%51 W · 50 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Kansas Jayhawks47c210.91$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1322250%111 W · 111 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Kansas Jayhawks47c210.91$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1379448.9%388 W · 406 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4ac…8fc5backed Kansas Jayhawks49c202.3$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.137044.3%31 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x268e…bb7fbacked Kansas Jayhawks47c199.67$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.852245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca4…fde7backed Kansas Jayhawks47c198.26$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.18728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-58.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed California Baptist Lancers52c194.95$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.5757448.3%277 W · 297 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc442…8d9cbacked California Baptist Lancers52c190.63$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.5850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed California Baptist Lancers54c183.58$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.4533855%186 W · 152 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed California Baptist Lancers53c160$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.28535.3%30 W · 55 L-8.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc7f9…ab4ebacked Kansas Jayhawks48c138.78$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.5120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc15…3a2ebacked California Baptist Lancers53c136.8$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.294546.7%21 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf37c…3c74backed Kansas Jayhawks47c128.47$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3821830.7%67 W · 151 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7592…f661backed Kansas Jayhawks48c127.29$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.13647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked California Baptist Lancers43c103.74$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.1346246.5%215 W · 247 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked California Baptist Lancers51c103.38$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.774,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked California Baptist Lancers53c99.89$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9520254.5%110 W · 92 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Kansas Jayhawks48c94.17$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9839454.6%215 W · 179 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f34…94d0backed California Baptist Lancers53c93.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9511654.3%63 W · 53 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcf4…66bbbacked California Baptist Lancers54c92.02$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.465246.2%24 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x843a…2687backed California Baptist Lancers54c91.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.227450%37 W · 37 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed California Baptist Lancers52c75$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3640849.8%203 W · 205 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Kansas Jayhawks47c74.05$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.850745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e4a…249cbacked Kansas Jayhawks47c63.27$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.741513.3%2 W · 13 L-5.0wins-0.33per pick47cpaid-71.9%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x15e3…b3e8backed California Baptist Lancers52c61$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.285444.4%24 W · 30 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3437…1e5ebacked Kansas Jayhawks47c52.73$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.789952.5%52 W · 47 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Kansas Jayhawks47c52.73$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7812054.2%65 W · 55 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb49…1fbebacked Kansas Jayhawks48c51.63$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.787951.9%41 W · 38 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d8e…3d55backed Kansas Jayhawks48c51.63$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.787655.3%42 W · 34 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x544c…7029backed Kansas Jayhawks48c51.63$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.782055%11 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9de1…b3a0backed Kansas Jayhawks47c51.25$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.09450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe64…873ebacked California Baptist Lancers52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243842.1%16 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Kansas Jayhawks57c43.48$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7913445.5%61 W · 73 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Kansas Jayhawks47c42.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.133058.2%192 W · 138 L+24.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf32c…ff08backed Kansas Jayhawks47c42.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.832245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x461b…30ddbacked Kansas Jayhawks48c41.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.831450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa496…9eccbacked Kansas Jayhawks48c41.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.834344.2%19 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x20b4…b218backed Kansas Jayhawks48c40.4$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.39977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+36.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed California Baptist Lancers44c38.91$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7635338.5%136 W · 217 L-18.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked California Baptist Lancers52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.464,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7d9…bad0backed California Baptist Lancers52c38.13$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.32352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcba8…11a2backed California Baptist Lancers53c37.73$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.732955.2%16 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d02…46e2backed California Baptist Lancers53c33.3$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.548640.7%35 W · 51 L-8.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc4cb…a917backed Kansas Jayhawks48c30.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.875139.2%20 W · 31 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ef7…136cbacked Kansas Jayhawks47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.11060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf17e…c12ebacked California Baptist Lancers45c28.97$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.93933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed California Baptist Lancers53c28.06$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1917446.6%81 W · 93 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0448…5a75backed California Baptist Lancers54c27.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.677153.5%38 W · 33 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaec…eaafbacked California Baptist Lancers54c27.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.673745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked California Baptist Lancers39c27.42$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.777745.5%35 W · 42 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Kansas Jayhawks47c25.27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x9681…fbadbacked Kansas Jayhawks47c24.78$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.65922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-40.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x56ce…ea8dbacked Kansas Jayhawks48c24.29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.664346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed California Baptist Lancers52c20.82$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9919454.6%106 W · 88 L+10.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.