Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 140.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5d7ff7bf8f8362f152a00a4cfcc4dbeccdc8d9b88e4a1212c5cd5140328e37e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $209,051
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $209,051 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 46c | 45,096$20,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,819.9 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Over | 52c | 37,013$19,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,654.62 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…331abacked Under | 48c | 16,635$7,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,984.69 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Over | 53c | 13,878$7,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,522.63 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2814…68dbbacked Under | 48c | 13,314$6,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,390.77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Over | 54c | 11,746$6,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,403.31 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3d…d364backed Under | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 9,359$4,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,266.7 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c7…92f8backed Under | 47c | 8,800$4,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,136 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ab…f0a5backed Under | 48c | 8,208$3,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,940.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe182…b624backed Under | 48c | 6,500$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Under | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 180 | 48.9%88 W · 92 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…8f03backed Under | 48c | 4,980$2,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,390.2 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Under | 48c | 4,969$2,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,385.25 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…b7f8backed Under | 48c | 3,100$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked Over | 52c | 1,406$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.93 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4347…7cdfbacked Under | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e6…dcdfbacked Over | 51c | 1,122$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91db…6fb2backed Over | 51c | 1,003$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.47 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…3438backed Under | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6447…8075backed Under | 49c | 991.25$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.71 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x973b…a912backed Under | 45c | 914.01$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.31 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Under | 47c | 882.24$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.65 | 220 | 43.2%95 W · 125 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…aa15backed Under | 44c | 533.99$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.96 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x960e…77d6backed Under | 44c | 533.99$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.96 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbc…8a18backed Under | 45c | 522.43$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.1 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Under | 45c | 403.47$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.56 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 46c | 330.55$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.14 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0d…82c9backed Under | 45c | 324.46$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.01 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Under | 46c | 323.25$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.7 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 58c | 297.66$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.2 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 45c | 275.37$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.92 | 308 | 53.2%164 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 55c | 255.77$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.09 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 47c | 252.78$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.81 | 301 | 52.8%159 W · 142 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Under | 44c | 240.9$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Under | 48c | 220$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 52c | 200.24$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.11 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 52c | 198.25$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.16 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 52c | 191.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.9 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 52c | 178.43$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.65 | 218 | 50.5%110 W · 108 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Under | 45c | 130.86$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.89 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Under | 47c | 125.89$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.17 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…6807backed Under | 44c | 124.83$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.92 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -6.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Over | 51c | 123.71$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.62 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77a7…bb11backed Under | 43c | 123$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.89 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…39e2backed Under | 44c | 121.94$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.65 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfab0…e0f5backed Under | 44c | 120.81$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.16 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 43c | 116.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3afdbacked Under | 45c | 114$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 48c | 113.21$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.34 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Under | 46c | 108.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +10.0wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…0b8abacked Under | 47c | 107.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.26 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9d…8498backed Under | 45c | 99.13$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.61 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Over | 52c | 99.13$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.58 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 52c | 95.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.74 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Under | 43c | 89.23$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.37 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…746fbacked Under | 46c | 84.05$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 56c | 79.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x635a…e7a9backed Under | 45c | 70.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0310…4745backed Under | 45c | 69.39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Under | 49c | 68.79$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Over | 58c | 59.83$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 43c | 59.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d6…bdc2backed Under | 45c | 55.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Under | 47c | 50.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Under | 47c | 47.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 52c | 47.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…e4bcbacked Under | 43c | 46.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e56…8243backed Under | 43c | 45.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Under | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 241 | 48.5%117 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc439…40cdbacked Under | 47c | 44.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe9…dc0abacked Under | 45c | 44.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2225…1838backed Under | 45c | 44.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Under | 45c | 39.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked Under | 45c | 39.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Over | 52c | 37.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Over | 52c | 37.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 43c | 33.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…4c13backed Under | 49c | 33.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…4145backed Under | 44c | 32.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +10.4wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d38…71efbacked Under | 49c | 28.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked Under | 44c | 25.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7133…69d6backed Under | 45c | 25.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Under | 44c | 25.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4921…5238backed Under | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x940c…b006backed Under | 44c | 24.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Over | 51c | 20.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | +14.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2585…b74fbacked Over | 56c | 19.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee68…6936backed Over | 55c | 18.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 140.5this page
- Howard Bison vs. UMBC RetrieversHoward Bison won
- Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 139.5Over won
- Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 142.5Over won
- Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 143.5Over won
- Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 170.5Under won
- Spread: Howard Bison (-1.5)Howard Bison won
- Spread: Howard Bison (-2.5)Howard Bison won
- Spread: Howard Bison (-3.5)UMBC Retrievers won
- Spread: Howard Bison (-7.5)UMBC Retrievers won
- Spread: Howard Bison (-8.5)UMBC Retrievers won
- Spread: UMBC Retrievers (-1.5)Howard Bison won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.