TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 140.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$209,051

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $209,051 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under46c45,096$20,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,819.92,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Over52c37,013$19,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,654.621353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked Under48c16,635$7,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,984.693732.4%12 W · 25 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-37.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Over53c13,878$7,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,522.634348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2814…68dbbacked Under48c13,314$6,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,390.77520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2537…bff9backed Over54c11,746$6,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,403.3144452.7%234 W · 210 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3d…d364backed Under48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,80020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under46c9,359$4,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,266.712,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c7…92f8backed Under47c8,800$4,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,13610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5ab…f0a5backed Under48c8,208$3,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,940.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe182…b624backed Under48c6,500$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1205552.7%29 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Under48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40018048.9%88 W · 92 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x335d…8f03backed Under48c4,980$2,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,390.28748.3%42 W · 45 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Under48c4,969$2,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,385.259839.8%39 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e2c…b7f8backed Under48c3,100$1,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4882330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-39%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked Under48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96012344.7%55 W · 68 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6eaa…9baebacked Over52c1,406$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.9310458.7%61 W · 43 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4347…7cdfbacked Under44c1,136$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33e6…dcdfbacked Over51c1,122$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.92666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+37.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under48c1,100$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52814447.9%69 W · 75 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50035147.6%167 W · 184 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91db…6fb2backed Over51c1,003$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.475843.1%25 W · 33 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Under48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48011542.6%49 W · 66 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x705d…3438backed Under43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4305154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6447…8075backed Under49c991.25$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.713348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x973b…a912backed Under45c914.01$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.313050%15 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Under47c882.24$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.6522043.2%95 W · 125 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8e…aa15backed Under44c533.99$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.963050%15 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x960e…77d6backed Under44c533.99$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.963745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fbc…8a18backed Under45c522.43$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.14353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22093941.6%391 W · 548 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Under45c403.47$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.5622954.1%124 W · 105 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under46c330.55$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.1429650.7%150 W · 146 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a0d…82c9backed Under45c324.46$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.013141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Under46c323.25$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.73357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over58c297.66$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.25,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under45c275.37$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.9230853.2%164 W · 144 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Over55c255.77$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.0963551.5%327 W · 308 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under47c252.78$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.8130152.8%159 W · 142 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60c…d2e2backed Under44c240.9$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1066261.3%38 W · 24 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Under48c220$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.66437.5%24 W · 40 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over52c200.24$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.1150548.9%247 W · 258 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over52c198.25$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.1662451.1%319 W · 305 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over52c191.46$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.958652.9%310 W · 276 L+23.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over52c178.43$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.6521850.5%110 W · 108 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Under45c130.86$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.897258.3%42 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Under47c125.89$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.176251.6%32 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…6807backed Under44c124.83$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.923033.3%10 W · 20 L-6.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-40.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Over51c123.71$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.625054%27 W · 23 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x77a7…bb11backed Under43c123$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.893754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5818…39e2backed Under44c121.94$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.658245.1%37 W · 45 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfab0…e0f5backed Under44c120.81$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.163458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under43c116.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ace…3afdbacked Under45c114$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.33151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Under48c113.21$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3482846.1%382 W · 446 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Under46c108.87$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.566963.8%44 W · 25 L+10.0wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+32.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9a67…0b8abacked Under47c107.32$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.264537.8%17 W · 28 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c9d…8498backed Under45c99.13$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.611050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x983a…ac6bbacked Over52c99.13$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.588245.1%37 W · 45 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Over52c95.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7433058.2%192 W · 138 L+24.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Under43c89.23$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.376152.5%32 W · 29 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc64e…746fbacked Under46c84.05$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.661855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over56c79.99$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.213457.5%77 W · 57 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x635a…e7a9backed Under45c70.5$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.721172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+25.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0310…4745backed Under45c69.39$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.233548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed Under49c68.79$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.71425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Over58c59.83$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.133253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under43c59.49$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5838837.6%146 W · 242 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8d6…bdc2backed Under45c55.07$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.781442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Under47c50.56$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.766056.7%34 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked Under47c47.92$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.728350.6%42 W · 41 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Over52c47.58$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8448551.1%248 W · 237 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d5f…e4bcbacked Under43c46.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.023246.9%15 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e56…8243backed Under43c45.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.592540%10 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Under44c45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.824148.5%117 W · 124 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc439…40cdbacked Under47c44.73$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.93250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fe9…dc0abacked Under45c44.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.832751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2225…1838backed Under45c44.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.834951%25 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Under45c39.65$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.845354.7%29 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe293…d3edbacked Under45c39.08$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.594240.5%17 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Over52c37.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0830050.7%152 W · 148 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Over52c37.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0832850%164 W · 164 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Under43c33.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.588548.2%41 W · 44 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf10e…4c13backed Under49c33.32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.335457.4%31 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6c9…4145backed Under44c32.7$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.393551.4%18 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Over56c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.24372.1%31 W · 12 L+10.4wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+72.4%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over57c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.960551.4%311 W · 294 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over57c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.957655%317 W · 259 L+17.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d38…71efbacked Under49c28.32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd425…603ebacked Under44c25.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4313560%81 W · 54 L+8.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7133…69d6backed Under45c25.77$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.64953.1%26 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Under44c25.17$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1511743.6%51 W · 66 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4921…5238backed Under44c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x940c…b006backed Under44c24.78$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.912850%14 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Over51c20.4$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1018556.8%105 W · 80 L+14.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2585…b74fbacked Over56c19.02$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee68…6936backed Over55c18.78$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.451346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.