TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x635a…e7a9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
32
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 56 out of 100; worst NHL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+25.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.51
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.86
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.71
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-4.5)backed Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.19
California Baptist Lancers vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 138.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.11
Prairie View A&M Panthers vs. Florida Gators: O/U 155.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.11
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-11.5)backed Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.73
LIU Sharks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 150.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.23
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhornsbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.86
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 140.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.72
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jackets vs. Islandersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Lightning vs. Flamesbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Bruins vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Predators vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Sharks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
All 5 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wizards vs. Knicks: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.07
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
76ers vs. Jazzbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
Spread: Thunder (-21.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 4 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+70.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Coco Gauff vs Karolina Muchovabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$17.54
Miami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegulabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$11.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago White Sox vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$8.58
Athletics vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$9.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs Leviatan Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: ShindeN vs Melser Kindergarten (BO5) - VCL Latin America South Playoffsbacked ShindeN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.