TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

LIU Sharks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 150.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$201,228
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$204,626

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,228 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2537…bff9backed Under49c74,114$36,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,919.2244452.7%234 W · 210 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over50c51,035$25,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,330.912,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c2b…2575backed Under50c41,283$20,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,681.2560949.8%303 W · 306 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe248…f293backed Over52c35,047$18,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,224.3478155.6%434 W · 347 L+38.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Over52c17,500$9,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,1004540%18 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over46c11,498$5,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,306.1612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Over48c8,421$4,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,042.125759.6%34 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Under50c5,354$2,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,677.1712054.2%65 W · 55 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Over47c5,294$2,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,484.624656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6368…6dc8backed Under58c5,128$2,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,153.996056.7%34 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9553…cfc7backed Over47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3502653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1f7…c4e5backed Over48c3,560$1,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,700.7713343.6%58 W · 75 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked Over48c3,520$1,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,689.59540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd2b…9ff9backed Over49c3,000$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4605356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa59…75ecbacked Over51c2,151$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,095.4114346.9%67 W · 76 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Over47c1,832$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.2730649%150 W · 156 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over49c1,688$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.5718744.9%84 W · 103 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbee0…aa9fbacked Over47c1,500$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7057643.4%33 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Over45c1,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6753554.3%19 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+23.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Over50c1,108$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.1122043.2%95 W · 125 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x201a…66a8backed Over47c1,047$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.084337.2%16 W · 27 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x42d0…77e2backed Over47c1,038$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.743751.4%19 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7e9…bdacbacked Over46c1,010$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.68046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4d6…d65fbacked Over47c1,010$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.75639.3%22 W · 34 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1f1…2d5fbacked Under52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4803154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c997.52$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.685,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Under56c991.38$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.216342.9%27 W · 36 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd817…ac33backed Over47c991.28$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.98444%37 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Under49c991.25$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.5411542.6%49 W · 66 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under49c943.53$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.242246.2%195 W · 227 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x960d…4629backed Over48c911.97$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.763375.8%25 W · 8 L+8.0wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+46.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Under44c888.3$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.19235.9%33 W · 59 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c83…cf0abacked Over47c621.86$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.2713343.6%58 W · 75 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68a9…e73abacked Over49c611.99$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.8726749.1%131 W · 136 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over68c606.27$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.994,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Over50c594.75$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.383357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fbc…8a18backed Over48c586.83$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.684353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Under57c570.07$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.1323754.9%130 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over50c567.99$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.9940755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fb5…cabdbacked Under55c560.07$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.031850%9 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Under48c521.88$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.3818048.9%88 W · 92 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under51c518.52$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.0831448.7%153 W · 161 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over52c517.4$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.0769350.4%349 W · 344 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Over51c513.47$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.8722954.1%124 W · 105 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Over51c512.53$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.3916341.7%68 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over45c509.95$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.611,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb89b…a39dbacked Over47c496.63$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.65457.4%31 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Over51c489.8$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.815561.8%34 W · 21 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3b54…db07backed Over47c421.82$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.262245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under56c412.08$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.3122349.3%110 W · 113 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b02…f3d9backed Under49c404.59$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.345959.3%35 W · 24 L+7.9wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2d58…1aeabacked Over51c399.16$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.574654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93a2…5181backed Under44c378.23$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.8113141.2%54 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over64c374.23$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.885,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x77a7…bb11backed Over47c307.67$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.093754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Over48c297.38$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.747143.7%31 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7e56…8243backed Over48c294.41$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.312540%10 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over48c294.41$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.3130152.8%159 W · 142 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Over50c277.55$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.781,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78ba…0b74backed Over48c258.14$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.911471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+37.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Over46c241.88$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.265959.3%35 W · 24 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Over43c230.69$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1422250%111 W · 111 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over44c225.31$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.145234.6%18 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Over43c223.07$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.928548.2%41 W · 44 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Over47c209.16$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.317258.3%42 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41f9…84e6backed Under53c198.26$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.1820642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Over50c198.25$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1383350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d27…676ebacked Over48c179.11$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.979441.5%39 W · 55 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf558…b2cbbacked Over46c161.15$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.731442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x927f…b921backed Under49c160.24$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.327146.5%33 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb996…038cbacked Over50c158.6$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.35660.7%34 W · 22 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb81f…2fd6backed Over48c157.61$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.652951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5818…39e2backed Over48c148.69$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.378245.1%37 W · 45 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd30…c3a0backed Over48c148.69$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.372860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce3a…2477backed Over48c148.69$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.371758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb74f…030abacked Over48c148.69$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.371566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e58…fb5abacked Over48c148.69$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.374459.1%26 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed Over51c146.71$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.827354.8%40 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3995…88c2backed Under50c142.68$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2d9…58f5backed Over51c141.57$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Over46c131.84$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.6516546.7%77 W · 88 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x009b…e769backed Over50c126.88$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.447360.3%44 W · 29 L-0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Over46c122.92$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.546251.6%32 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb983…9c30backed Over50c117.96$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9830%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x08a1…10dcbacked Over44c113.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.572157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Over48c113$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.246152.5%32 W · 29 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477950.6%40 W · 39 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4621455.6%119 W · 95 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Over46c90.24$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0933058.2%192 W · 138 L+24.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under56c88.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.0313457.5%77 W · 57 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x04e5…070fbacked Under49c80.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.271127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-47.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x94bb…6807backed Over50c79.3$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.653033.3%10 W · 20 L-6.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-40.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Over51c77.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6140849.8%203 W · 205 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Over48c77.15$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0350745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0654…f5a9backed Over47c70.18$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.052882.1%23 W · 5 L+7.5wins+0.27per pick55cpaid+48.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xe732…898fbacked Over50c65.59$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.796246.8%29 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe182…b624backed Over51c65.58$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.455552.7%29 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08d1…28adbacked Under51c63.54$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.275944.1%26 W · 33 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x669d…3a77backed Over50c63.44$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.724055%22 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5ed…96e1backed Over47c63.27$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.747162%44 W · 27 L+8.4wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.