Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
LIU Sharks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 148.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa01f621ca711ee7052eaa6d5f5bcf0ac27c1c1dfbb043e12e3d8162db101df2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,712
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,712 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 3,243$1,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.56 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 51c | 3,070$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.22 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80ef…3973backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 53c | 824.9$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.79 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Over | 48c | 786.81$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.14 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 52c | 683.72$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.59 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 45c | 672.92$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.23 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 48c | 619.54$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.16 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce70…0be2backed Over | 48c | 451.92$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc339…ba5bbacked Under | 52c | 447.98$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.95 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.9wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 45c | 440.74$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.27 | 222 | 50%111 W · 111 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Under | 38c | 423.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.63 | 131 | 41.2%54 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 51c | 407.14$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.5 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 68c | 321.03$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.22 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 63c | 286.74$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.48 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 41c | 191.16$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.84 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 46c | 184.36$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.53 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 48c | 176.76$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.92 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…aa9fbacked Over | 51c | 160.61$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.7 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…75ecbacked Under | 48c | 140.16$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.28 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 48c | 99.13$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.55 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Over | 48c | 99.13$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.55 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Over | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 49c | 97.64$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.74 | 528 | 43.6%230 W · 298 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b70…3102backed Over | 52c | 95.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 46c | 79.37$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…3bc3backed Under | 53c | 74.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Over | 61c | 65.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 28c | 61.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Over | 69c | 55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 144 | 61.8%89 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 43c | 46.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 68c | 35.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 51c | 21.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b3…70c5backed Over | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 59c | 17.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LIU Sharks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 148.5this page
- LIU Sharks vs. Arizona WildcatsArizona Wildcats won
- LIU Sharks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 147.5Over won
- LIU Sharks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 149.5Over won
- LIU Sharks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 150.5Under won
- LIU Sharks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 151.5Under won
- LIU Sharks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 157.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-30.5)Arizona Wildcats won
- Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-33.5)Arizona Wildcats won
- Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-36.5)LIU Sharks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.