Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
LIU Sharks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 149.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8cf12bfc5675c4b6cf31bc86092507f3b6cf6c3cfff82ef338702fd0e7222de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,127
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,127 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb5a4…5780backed Over | 47c | 6,325$2,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,352.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under | 55c | 6,134$3,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,373.52 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Over | 50c | 2,486$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.89 | 180 | 48.9%88 W · 92 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa5…8232backed Over | 50c | 2,010$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.18 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12e…7939backed Over | 50c | 2,000$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ce…22e5backed Over | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 1,444$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.43 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Over | 50c | 1,254$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.94 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Over | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91db…6fb2backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x201a…66a8backed Under | 51c | 991.25$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.54 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Over | 49c | 946.4$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.66 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 48c | 746.12$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.14 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42d0…77e2backed Over | 50c | 520.19$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.1 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 422.45$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Over | 51c | 198.25$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.14 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 50c | 198.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 222 | 50%111 W · 111 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Under | 50c | 198.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked Under | 50c | 134.12$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.06 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 48c | 72.88$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.59 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Under | 50c | 59.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Under | 50c | 49.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +10.0wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Under | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x268e…bb7fbacked Over | 46c | 39.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f71…9a06backed Under | 52c | 38.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…4c13backed Under | 50c | 26.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb96d…0877backed Under | 50c | 26.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…d9fabacked Over | 47c | 24.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LIU Sharks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 149.5this page
- LIU Sharks vs. Arizona WildcatsArizona Wildcats won
- LIU Sharks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 147.5Over won
- LIU Sharks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 148.5Over won
- LIU Sharks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 150.5Under won
- LIU Sharks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 151.5Under won
- LIU Sharks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 157.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-30.5)Arizona Wildcats won
- Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-33.5)Arizona Wildcats won
- Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-36.5)LIU Sharks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.