Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 139.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88fac219c7e73018b57f745fc170c41aa0cad8365d340cfd159f7ec8a23cd73b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $147,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,222 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Over | 52c | 42,299$21,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,486.33 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…331abacked Under | 46c | 23,016$10,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,527.91 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 14c | 9,475$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.26 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05fd…50c9backed Under | 47c | 9,000$4,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,230 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 55c | 6,954$3,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,119.31 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 48c | 6,141$2,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,935.75 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Under | 45c | 5,928$2,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,683.4 | 180 | 48.9%88 W · 92 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Under | 45c | 5,000$2,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,246 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe182…b624backed Under | 45c | 5,000$2,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,260 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d66…22d1backed Over | 57c | 4,756$2,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,043.67 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8907…a996backed Under | 50c | 3,991$1,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,985.54 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d58…1aeabacked Under | 45c | 3,453$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.8 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Under | 46c | 3,256$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.7 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Under | 45c | 3,000$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Under | 42c | 2,507$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.62 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 43c | 2,442$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.79 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2651…3471backed Over | 66c | 2,253$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6447…8075backed Under | 45c | 2,111$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.71 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 46c | 2,080$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.69 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under | 46c | 2,032$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.18 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…b7f8backed Under | 45c | 2,031$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.32 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0778…1276backed Under | 45c | 2,000$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Under | 45c | 1,961$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 1,692$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.44 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…73e3backed Under | 45c | 1,639$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.81 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…8f03backed Under | 48c | 1,457$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.76 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd49…7fe8backed Over | 61c | 1,356$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 36c | 1,293$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.42 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Over | 60c | 1,124$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.44 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4347…7cdfbacked Over | 55c | 1,005$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4595…df87backed Under | 42c | 1,000$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…7d57backed Under | 51c | 997.08$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…5e2abacked Under | 46c | 991.32$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf87e…5752backed Under | 42c | 943.36$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked Over | 55c | 697.31$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.49 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Under | 41c | 660.47$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.93 | 216 | 46.8%101 W · 115 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…cd1abacked Over | 58c | 620$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda2c…2a5ebacked Over | 62c | 541$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15c6…91d7backed Over | 58c | 498$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab4…fe7abacked Over | 58c | 493$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Under | 45c | 433.34$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.87 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | +14.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 46c | 409.41$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.33 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 41c | 398.51$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.38 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…75ecbacked Under | 42c | 374.74$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.64 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 48c | 229.93$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.83 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc67…a7ddbacked Under | 46c | 225.49$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 45c | 221.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.78 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Under | 45c | 219.32$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c31…cbafbacked Over | 55c | 208.35$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 49c | 202.3$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.12 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…84e6backed Under | 51c | 198.25$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.11 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…2037backed Over | 51c | 194.34$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.23 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x662f…c8d0backed Over | 55c | 192.01$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1754…dce6backed Over | 55c | 172.78$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a3…93d5backed Under | 46c | 167.21$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51b…421dbacked Under | 46c | 166.41$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…61aabacked Under | 46c | 166.01$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27fe…95e3backed Over | 55c | 151.98$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 49c | 135.95$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.3 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc32…a158backed Over | 58c | 126.33$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 57c | 121.45$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.66 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 42c | 120.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 55c | 118.94$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 43c | 115.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 214 | 55.6%119 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…f3d1backed Over | 55c | 99.13$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Under | 45c | 99.05$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.79 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e66…e1b2backed Under | 42c | 98.49$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Under | 49c | 97.22$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.64 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Under | 44c | 82.86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.37 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +10.0wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Over | 56c | 79.31$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.82 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…f968backed Under | 46c | 79.31$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 49c | 78.82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.74 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 46c | 76.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00b3…0991backed Over | 60c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 45c | 66.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Over | 55c | 66.16$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked Under | 35c | 57.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…4145backed Under | 35c | 54.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Under | 45c | 54.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 55c | 48.46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…1be7backed Under | 45c | 47.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 55c | 45.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee68…6936backed Over | 52c | 43.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Under | 45c | 43.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 65c | 42.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…8b79backed Over | 55c | 39.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa23c…ae92backed Over | 55c | 36.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -7.1wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Over | 55c | 35.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Over | 55c | 35.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4e…e44abacked Under | 50c | 35.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Under | 45c | 32.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…ade4backed Under | 43c | 28.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -4.6wins | -0.35per pick | 43cpaid | -85.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd650…8d74backed Over | 61c | 19.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 139.5this page
- Howard Bison vs. UMBC RetrieversHoward Bison won
- Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 140.5Over won
- Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 142.5Over won
- Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 143.5Over won
- Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 170.5Under won
- Spread: Howard Bison (-1.5)Howard Bison won
- Spread: Howard Bison (-2.5)Howard Bison won
- Spread: Howard Bison (-3.5)UMBC Retrievers won
- Spread: Howard Bison (-7.5)UMBC Retrievers won
- Spread: Howard Bison (-8.5)UMBC Retrievers won
- Spread: UMBC Retrievers (-1.5)Howard Bison won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.